Buy now: trend and fundamentals are strong, and Wall Street targets imply meaningful upside from ~$141.5.
Momentum is extended (overbought), but given your impatience/unwillingness to wait for an “ideal dip,” the better decision is to ride the uptrend rather than wait.
Near-term path: likely continuation toward the ~$144 area (next resistance) if strength holds.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with improving momentum.
MACD: Histogram +1.152 and expanding → bullish acceleration.
RSI (6): 83.18 → clearly overbought, suggesting short-term pullback risk even within an uptrend.
Pattern-based forward read (provided): ~30% chance of about +0.86% next day; ~+0.3% next week; ~+0.12% next month (modest positive edge).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Put/Call OI ratio 0.26 → calls dominate, generally bullish sentiment.
Activity: Very light volume today (total 4 calls, 0 puts), so sentiment is skewed bullish but based on thin trading.
Volatility: IV (30d) 29.15 vs historical vol 36.13 → options imply less volatility than realized recently; IV percentile 46 (mid-range), IV rank ~7 (low vs its own history).
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
**Strong Q4 (2025/Q
growth**: Revenue +9.91% YoY, Net Income +31.60% YoY, EPS +41.04% YoY.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Technicals are stretched: RSI overbought and price is approaching the next resistance zone (~$144), increasing odds of a near-term stall.
Hedge fund flow: “Hedge Funds are Selling,” selling amount up 145.22% QoQ (possible near-term supply/rotation).
Large holder trimmed: Polaris Capital sold 204,200 shares in Q4 (still a major holder, but it’s a visible reduction).
Wall Street cons: stock near highs and potentially “crowded” after a strong run; some caution via UBS Neutral and hedge fund selling.
Wall Street analysts forecast BPOP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BPOP is 143 USD with a low forecast of 135 USD and a high forecast of 160 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BPOP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BPOP is 143 USD with a low forecast of 135 USD and a high forecast of 160 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 142.840
Low
135
Averages
143
High
160
Current: 142.840
Low
135
Averages
143
High
160
UBS
Neutral
maintain
$136 -> $142
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$136 -> $142
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on Popular (BPOP) to $142 from $136 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Mid-cap banks have delivered strong results and avoided early Q4 credit concerns. Investor momentum into regional banks is expected to continue, supported by curve steepening, accelerating loan growth, and M&A activity such as Santander's (SAN) acquisition of Webster (WBS).
BofA
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$141 -> $156
2026-02-03
New
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$141 -> $156
2026-02-03
New
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
BofA upgraded Popular to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $156, up from $141. Shares are trading at or near their 52-week high, but the firm thinks there is further upside, the analyst tells investors. Credit quality, which is normalizing but not at alarming rates, has performed better-than-expected, while the drivers toward sustainable mid-teens ROTCE are largely unchanged, the analyst added.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for BPOP