Should I Buy BOX? BOX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Box Inc (BOX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

24.670

1 Day change

1.48%

52 Week Range

38.800

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: trend is bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and momentum is still deteriorating (MACD histogram negative and expanding).
Price (24.2 pre-market) is sitting just below/around key support (S1 ~24.3). That can produce a short bounce, but the setup is not confirmed without a reclaim of 24.3–25.62.
Options flow is cautious/defensive (put volume dominates), insiders are selling heavily, and there are no proprietary “strong buy” signals today.
If you want to act immediately, the higher-probability plan is to wait for strength (reclaim above ~25.62 pivot) rather than buy into a weakening tape.

Technical Analysis

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Trend/Momentum: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating the prevailing trend is down.
MACD: Histogram -0.127 (below zero) and negatively expanding → downside momentum is strengthening, not stabilizing.
RSI (6): 22.0 → near oversold/washed-out conditions (despite the label saying “neutral”), which can allow a reflex bounce, but it’s not a trend reversal signal by itself.
Levels: Support S1 ~24.3 (price ~24.2 pre-market slightly below), next support S2 ~23.484. Resistance/pivot at ~25.622, then R1 ~26.944.
Pattern-based odds (provided): Historical analogs suggest a modest positive drift (60% chance of +1.72% next day), but this conflicts with current bearish momentum—treat as bounce potential, not a confirmed uptrend.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning vs. flow: Open interest put/call ratio 0.54 (call-heavy OI) suggests longer-dated positioning is relatively optimistic, but today’s volume put/call ratio 2.78 signals near-term traders are leaning bearish/hedging.
Volatility: IV (30d) ~39.98 vs historical vol ~21.95 → options are pricing elevated risk; IV percentile 84.4 indicates IV is high relative to its history.
Activity spike: Today’s option volume is ~397% of 30-day average → heightened attention, often around positioning/hedging rather than calm accumulation.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

~~22 and price near support (~~24.
can fuel a short-term rebound if support holds.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

is slightly below S1 (~24.3); a clean break opens room toward ~23.
- Insiders are selling: Insider selling increased ~186.95% over the last month—weak internal confidence signal near-term.
alongside elevated IV → market paying up for protection.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter (FY2026/Q3): Revenue $301.107M, +9.13% YoY (solid growth trend).
Profitability mixed: Net income $6.895M, -9.59% YoY (earnings quality/profit growth not keeping pace with revenue).
EPS: $0.05, effectively flat YoY (0.00% YoY), suggesting limited operating leverage this quarter.
Margins: Gross margin 79.55%, down ~0.39 pts YoY—small but negative directionally.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Most recent update (2025-12-03): DA Davidson maintained Buy with a $45 price target after Q3, citing pipeline growth, revenue acceleration, and Enterprise Advanced driving seat expansion/pricing.
Wall Street pros view (from provided data):
- Pros: Confidence in enterprise demand tailwinds, pipeline strength, and monetization via seat expansion/pricing.
- Cons: Current tape/technicals don’t confirm the fundamental story yet; insider selling and defensive options flow weaken the near-term bull case for an immediate entry.

8 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast BOX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BOX is 36.67 USD with a low forecast of 26 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

3 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 24.310

Low

Averages

36.67

High

Current: 24.310

Low

Averages

36.67

High

DA Davidson

Buy

maintain

$45

AI Analysis

2025-12-03

Reason

DA Davidson

Price Target

$45

AI Analysis

2025-12-03

maintain

Buy

Reason

DA Davidson keeps a Buy rating and $45 price target on Box after its Q3 results and guidance. The company reported another impressive quarter of pipeline growth and revenue acceleration as demand for Enterprise Advanced is driving better than expected seat expansions and pricing realization, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

UBS

Buy -> Neutral

downgrade

$42 -> $36

2025-09-18

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$42 -> $36

2025-09-18

downgrade

Buy -> Neutral

Reason

UBS downgraded Box to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $36, down from $42, after assuming coverage of the name. The company's core business fundamentals remain stable but the stock's near-term upside is limited, the analyst tells investors in a research note. UBS models Box's revenue growth at 7% in fiscal 2027 and 2028, in-line with consensus but below the company's long term guide of 10%-11%. Channel checks show the company's spending trends appear neutral heading into 2026, with greater optimism emerging for 2027, contends the firm.

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BOX Should I Buy

BOX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Box Inc (BOX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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