Should I Buy BGS? BGS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy B&G Foods Inc (BGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

5.140

1 Day change

3.84%

52 Week Range

7.830

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: short-term technicals improved, but options flow is strongly bearish and fundamentals are deteriorating.
Price (4.48 pre-market) is already near first resistance (R1 4.511), limiting immediate upside for an impatient entry unless it cleanly breaks and holds above ~4.51–4.62.
Heavy insider selling (+256% last month) is a major negative signal; combined with recent losses, it outweighs the modest technical bounce.
Best stance today: avoid new longs; if already holding, reduce/exit into strength near 4.51–4.62.

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0289) and expanding, indicating a developing bullish momentum phase.
RSI (6): 63.7, neutral-to-bullish but not yet overbought; suggests some room, but momentum is getting “late” for a chase entry.
Moving averages: converging MAs suggest the downtrend may be stabilizing, but not a strong confirmed uptrend.
Key levels: Pivot 4.343; Support S1 4.175 (then S2 4.071). Resistance R1 4.511 (then R2 4.615).
Setup read: with price at 4.48, you’re buying into resistance; risk/reward is unfavorable unless there’s a decisive breakout above 4.51.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Open Interest P/C at 1.08 is mildly bearish positioning; Volume P/C at 6.51 is extremely bearish for the session flow.
Activity: today’s volume (338) is ~26.3x the 30-day average, signaling unusual options attention.
Positioning: total OI 63,310 and today vs OI avg 30D at 113.61 suggests elevated positioning/engagement.
Volatility: IV30 at 46.04 vs HV 76.61; IV percentile 24.4 / IV rank 15.39 implies options are not expensive versus recent history—bearish flow is not being “priced out.”

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

on 2026-02-26 after hours could re-rate the stock if results/guide surprise to the upside.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

where rallies can fail quickly.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 439.3M, down -4.72% YoY (continued top-line contraction).
Profitability: Net income -19.14M, down -356.46% YoY; EPS -0.24, down -366.67% YoY (loss-making and worsening).
Margins: gross margin 21.38%, up +1.38% YoY (a bright spot, but not enough to offset losses).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price-target change data was provided, so a recent Wall Street trend assessment cannot be confirmed from the dataset.
Practical “pros vs cons” view from the available data: Pros—improving gross margin and tentative technical stabilization; Cons—shrinking revenue, large losses, and strong insider selling/ bearish options flow dominating the tape.

5 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast BGS stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BGS is 4.1 USD with a low forecast of 3 USD and a high forecast of 5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

4 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 4.950

Low

Averages

4.1

High

Current: 4.950

Low

Averages

4.1

High

TD Cowen

Robert Moskow

Sell

downgrade

$4 -> $3

AI Analysis

2025-08-07

Reason

TD Cowen

Robert Moskow

Price Target

$4 -> $3

AI Analysis

2025-08-07

downgrade

Sell

Reason

TD Cowen analyst Robert Moskow lowered the firm's price target on B&G Foods to $3 from $4 and keeps a Sell rating on the shares. The firm notes management described Q2 as in line with internal expectations and lowered guidance for divestitures as opposed to the core business. NULLtheless, the core sales decline of -4.2% and EBITDA decline of -9% reinforced TD Cowen's concerns about structural challenges in the portfolio, the risk of rising refinancing costs, and what looks like overly optimistic guidance for the second half of the year.

Piper Sandler

Neutral

downgrade

$7 -> $5

2025-05-08

Reason

Piper Sandler

Price Target

$7 -> $5

2025-05-08

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on B&G Foods to $5 from $7 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm says it had feared B&G's outlook might be worse when it published its 10-Q, which gave color on potential "significant" tariff impacts. However, its exposure looks mostly manageable, with any impact skewed to Spices & Seasonings, Piper adds.

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BGS Should I Buy

BGS Should I Buy

Should You Buy B&G Foods Inc (BGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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