Buy now (impatient-friendly): trend + fundamentals are aligned bullish, and recent earnings/inflows momentum supports follow-through.
Expect near-term chop because price is pressing resistance (~27.10) with a hot short-term RSI; still, the larger trend remains up (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, MACD expanding).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: No signal on given stock today. (- AI Stock Picker: no signal; - SwingMax: no recent signal)
No notable hedge fund/insider accumulation signals recently; conviction comes primarily from earnings/inflows + technical uptrend.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram positive (0.0885) and expanding → momentum improving.
RSI: RSI_6 at 77.13 suggests short-term overbought/extended conditions (prone to pauses), even if trend remains bullish.
Levels: Pivot 26.116 (key support). Immediate resistance R1 27.10 (current area), then R2 27.707. If rejected at ~27.10, pullbacks toward ~26.12 are the first “buy-the-dip” zone.
Options Data
Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: OI put/call 1.04 = slightly defensive positioning/hedging; volume put/call 0.8 = more call-heavy trading flow (mild bullish).
Volatility: IV percentile 1.6 / IV rank 1 with 30D IV ~20.76 vs HV ~28.08 → options priced cheaply relative to realized movement (market not pricing big near-term swings).
Activity: Today’s option volume (245) is below 5D/10D averages, suggesting no strong “crowd” pressure from options right now.
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
Strong Q1 FY2026 results: EPS beat (adj. EPS 0.70 vs 0.55 est.) and revenues ahead of forecasts.
Record long-term inflows ($118.6B) and +40% sequential increase → supports AUM/revenue trajectory.
Profit acceleration: first-quarter profit up ~56% YoY; financial snapshot also shows strong YoY net income/EPS growth.
Barclays (2025-12-12): Underweight, PT raised to $22 (still cautious on traditional asset managers).
BofA (2025-12-10): Underperform, PT cut to $21 (prefers other asset-manager segments).
Wall Street pros vs cons: Pros focus on improving fundamentals and flow momentum; cons focus on valuation/upside limits and skepticism about sustained re-rating for a traditional asset manager.
Wall Street analysts forecast BEN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BEN is 23.83 USD with a low forecast of 21 USD and a high forecast of 31 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BEN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BEN is 23.83 USD with a low forecast of 21 USD and a high forecast of 31 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
1 Hold
4 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 26.910
Low
21
Averages
23.83
High
31
Current: 26.910
Low
21
Averages
23.83
High
31
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley
Underweight
maintain
$21 -> $22
AI Analysis
2026-02-03
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$21 -> $22
AI Analysis
2026-02-03
New
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Franklin Resources to $22 from $21 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm is lowering its calendar Q4 adjusted EPS forecast by 14% on higher operating expenses, but raised its calendar 2026 adjusted EPS view by 6.3% and calendar 2027 forecast by 0.7% on better fees and better non-operating investment income.
TD Cowen
Bill Katz
Hold
maintain
$30 -> $36
2026-02-02
Reason
TD Cowen
Bill Katz
Price Target
$30 -> $36
2026-02-02
maintain
Hold
Reason
TD Cowen analyst Bill Katz raised the firm's price target on Franklin Resources to $36 from $30 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q4 results and said they were incrementally bullish on the shares.
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