Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Clear bearish technical regime (MA stack + worsening MACD) increases probability that any bounce is sold.
- Statistical forward trend provided is materially negative over the next week/month.
- Very high IV often accompanies uncertainty and can coincide with downside continuation, not necessarily upside.
- No notable supportive flows: hedge funds neutral, insiders neutral, and no recent congress trading data indicating confidence.