Not a good buy right now (for an impatient entry): the short-term technicals are stretched (RSI extremely overbought) and price is pressing into near-term resistance, so odds favor a near-term pullback/chop rather than a clean immediate breakout.
Trend remains bullish overall: medium-term momentum and moving averages are constructive, so BALL is still a name to buy on weakness rather than chase at current levels.
Positioning check: hedge funds/insiders are neutral and no congress trading data is available—no strong “smart money” urgency signal here.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with positive momentum.
MACD: Histogram at 0.173 and expanding above zero → bullish momentum still building.
RSI (6): 88.29 → very overbought; near-term pullback risk is elevated.
Levels: Pivot 58.30; price (~61.7) is above R1 61.29 and approaching R2 63.14 → overhead resistance nearby; support to watch is the 58–55 zone (pivot/S1).
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Open interest P/C = 1.23: more puts than calls outstanding → mildly cautious/hedged positioning.
IV: 30D IV 29.82 vs HV 25.98 with IV percentile 67.6 → options pricing implies elevated uncertainty; not “cheap” volatility.
Activity: volume appears below typical (today vs 30D avg ~28.83%) while open interest is relatively elevated (today vs OI avg ~123.88%) → sentiment is mixed (more positioning than aggressive fresh flow).
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
and strong free cash flow ($956M); Q4 results beat expectations per news.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Short-term overbought condition: RSI ~88 increases probability of a near-term dip or sideways consolidation.
Nearby resistance: price is pushing into the 61–63 area (R1/R2); upside may be capped short-term without a new catalyst.
Fundamental/margin pressure: gross margin down YoY (14.61%, -4.38% YoY) suggests cost/price mix headwinds still exist.
Net income: $200M (news notes a recovery vs prior-year loss; YoY % in snapshot looks distorted by prior-period base effects).
EPS: $0.75 (snapshot shows YoY decline, but quarter narrative indicates improved profitability vs last year).
Gross margin: 14.61% (-4.38% YoY) → profitability/mix still a watch item.
Full-year tone (from news): record EPS ($3.57) and strong FCF ($956M) point to improving cash generation and shareholder-return capacity.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: early January saw multiple upgrades/raised targets (Citi to Buy $67; Wells Fargo to Overweight $60; Truist Buy PT to $69; BofA Buy with PT around low 60s), followed by Morgan Stanley downgrade to Equal Weight with PT $63.
Price targets vs current (~61.7): cluster around $60–$69 → modest implied upside to the high end, but not huge.
Wall Street pros: Europe growth leadership, World Cup-related demand tailwind, improved operating performance, refreshed leadership.
Wall Street cons: uncertainty around a clear rebound catalyst, consumer weakness impacting volumes/promotions, and mixed conviction given the MS downgrade.
Wall Street analysts forecast BALL stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BALL is 61.89 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 69 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BALL stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BALL is 61.89 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 69 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 66.190
Low
50
Averages
61.89
High
69
Current: 66.190
Low
50
Averages
61.89
High
69
Citi
Anthony Pettinari
Buy
maintain
$67 -> $74
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Citi
Anthony Pettinari
Price Target
$67 -> $74
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Citi analyst Anthony Pettinari raised the firm's price target on Ball Corp. to $74 from $67 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported strong Q4 results and has a "compelling" outlook for 2026 and 2027, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
JPMorgan
Jeffrey Zekauskas
Neutral
maintain
$50 -> $60
2026-02-04
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Jeffrey Zekauskas
Price Target
$50 -> $60
2026-02-04
New
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas raised the firm's price target on Ball Corp. to $60 from $50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
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