Should I Buy BAER? BAER 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc (BAER) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

2.890

1 Day change

6.64%

52 Week Range

3.440

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price is sitting near the pivot (~2.945) with weakening momentum (MACD histogram negative and expanding), and there are no Intellectia buy signals today.
Trend structure is still bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), so BAER is not bearish—but the timing is not ideal for an impatient entry.
A higher-conviction buy would be either (1) a clean push/hold above R1 ~~3.323, or (2) a controlled pullback toward the pivot (~~2.945) with momentum improvement.

Technical Analysis

Pre-market price ~3.00 (+0.33%), trading slightly above the pivot (2.945) and below first resistance (R1 3.323).
Moving averages: Bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) supports an uptrend/backdrop.
MACD: Histogram -0.0114 and negatively expanding → downside momentum is building short-term despite bullish MAs.
RSI(6): 57.0 (neutral) → no clear overbought/oversold edge.
Key levels: Support S1 2.567 (then S2 2.333); Resistance R1 3.323 (then R2 3.557).
Pattern-based forecast: 70% chance of modest gains (+1.13% next day, +1.91% next week, +3.44% next month), but the current momentum indicators don’t confirm an immediate high-quality entry.

Positive Catalysts

- Financial momentum in latest reported quarter (2025/Q3): revenue, net income, EPS, and gross margin all grew YoY.
- Bullish moving-average stack suggests the broader trend remains constructive.
- No negative news flow in the last week (no headline overhang identified).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- MACD momentum is deteriorating (negative and expanding), increasing the odds of chop/pullback near current levels.
- No Intellectia proprietary buy signals today (neither AI Stock Picker nor SwingMax), reducing short-term conviction.
- Hedge funds and insiders show neutral activity—no strong “smart money” confirmation.
- No recent news catalysts to drive an immediate re-rating or breakout.
- Analyst rating data provided appears mismatched/irrelevant to BAER (references “Julius Baer”), so it cannot be used as supportive coverage for this ticker.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 67,886,000 (+5.24% YoY) → steady top-line growth.
Net income: 27,580,000 (+32.15% YoY) → profitability accelerating faster than revenue.
EPS: 0.37 (+19.35% YoY) → earnings power improving.
Gross margin: 68.87 (+7.04% YoY) → margin expansion supports quality of growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Provided analyst note is not usable for BAER: it states “Oddo BHF initiated coverage of Julius Baer…”, which is a different company/ticker.
Therefore, no reliable recent analyst rating/price-target trend can be concluded for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (BAER) from the supplied data.
Wall Street pros/cons view cannot be credibly assessed here due to missing/incorrect BAER-specific analyst coverage data.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast BAER stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BAER is 5.25 USD with a low forecast of 5.25 USD and a high forecast of 5.25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 2.710

Low

5.25

Averages

5.25

High

5.25

Current: 2.710

Low

5.25

Averages

5.25

High

5.25

Oddo BHF

Outperform

initiated

CHF 68

AI Analysis

2025-12-11

Reason

Oddo BHF

Price Target

CHF 68

AI Analysis

2025-12-11

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Oddo BHF initiated coverage of Julius Baer with an Outperform rating and CHF 68 price target.

Canaccord

Austin Moeller

Buy

maintain

2025-05-28

Reason

Canaccord

Austin Moeller

Price Target

2025-05-28

maintain

Buy

Reason

Canaccord analyst Austin Moeller raised the firm's price target on Bridger Aerospace to $5.25 from $5 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted the company announced that it entered into a sale-leaseback agreement for its headquarters at Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport and also that it has received two separate 120-day task orders from the US Forest Service to utilize four total Super Scoopers. The moves are an encouraging signal as the company looks to generate EBITDA using its airframe assets and achieve deleveraging of its mostly municipal debt.

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BAER Should I Buy

BAER Should I Buy

Should You Buy Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc (BAER) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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