Should I Buy AWX? AWX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Avalon Holdings Corp (AWX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

2.660

1 Day change

-2.92%

52 Week Range

5.430

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price is below the pivot (2.731) with weakening momentum (MACD still positive but contracting) and a short-term probabilistic outlook that skews negative over the next week/month.
With no proprietary buy signals today (AI Stock Picker/SwingMax) and no near-term news catalysts, the risk/reward favors waiting rather than chasing a pre-market entry.
If you must act immediately, the higher-probability approach is to avoid buying until price reclaims the pivot (2.731) and holds, or dips closer to support (2.647/2.595) and stabilizes.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish moving average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the broader trend is constructive, but near-term price action is softer.
Momentum: MACD histogram is above 0 (bullish), but “positively contracting” indicates upside momentum is fading.
RSI: RSI_6 at 44.88 is neutral-to-slightly weak, not showing a strong buy setup.
Levels: Pre-market 2.7056 is below Pivot 2.731; upside levels R1 2.815 / R2 2.867; supports S1 2.647 / S2 2.595.
Pattern-based outlook: Similar-pattern projection implies +0.92% next day, but -2.68% next week and -5.4% next month (near-term headwinds).

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings event ahead: Q earnings on 2026-02-12 after hours could act as an event-driven catalyst if results/forward commentary surprise positively.
- Longer-term technical backdrop remains supportive due to bullish moving-average alignment.
- Fundamentals show modest YoY growth in revenue, net income, and EPS (latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No news in the past week, reducing the odds of a near-term upside catalyst.
- Momentum is cooling (MACD histogram contracting) and price is currently below the pivot level (2.731).
- Pattern-based forward bias is negative over the next week/month.
- Gross margin declined YoY (2025/Q3), which can pressure valuation and sentiment if it persists.
- Trading trends: Hedge funds neutral (no significant last-quarter trend); insiders neutral (no significant last-month trend).
- Congress trading: No recent congress trading data available (no signal from influential political trading activity).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 25,746,000 (+6.23% YoY), indicating modest top-line growth.
Net income: 1,902,000 (+3.37% YoY), profitability improving but slower than revenue.
EPS: 0.49 (+4.26% YoY), steady improvement.
Gross margin: 20.09 (down 2.48% YoY), a key negative trend (margin compression).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data provided, implying limited or no meaningful recent Wall Street coverage.
Wall Street pro view (inferred from lack of coverage): Pros—recent YoY growth in revenue/EPS; Cons—margin pressure and limited visible catalysts/coverage to drive near-term re-rating.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AWX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AWX is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 2.740

Low

Averages

High