Should I Buy AWI? AWI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

198.250

1 Day change

2.33%

52 Week Range

206.080

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Good buy right now (pre-market) for an impatient, near-term swing trader because SwingMax flashed an entry signal (2026-02-03) and price is holding near the pivot (~187).
Upside path is favorable if AWI can reclaim R1 ~191.15; next target R2 ~193.69.
Positioning/sentiment is mixed short-term (puts dominated today’s volume), but open-interest structure is bullish (low put/call OI) and fundamentals are growing into the next earnings window (2026-02-24).

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.788) but contracting, implying downside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI(6) ~50.46 (neutral): no overbought/oversold edge; supports a “base/coil” setup rather than a momentum chase.
Moving averages converging: typically a consolidation phase; breakouts tend to be more meaningful once direction resolves.
Key levels: Pivot 187.03 (current pre-market 187.55 slightly above = constructive). Resistance 191.15 (R1) then 193.69 (R2). Support 182.91 (S1) then 180.37 (S2).
Pattern-based forward view: similar-pattern stats imply ~+2.37% next week vs slight weakness next day (-0.32%), consistent with a choppy near-term but constructive week setup.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest: Calls OI 3582 vs Puts OI 784 → OI put/call 0.22 (bullish positioning).
Today’s flow: Total volume is light (36 contracts), but skewed to puts (put/call volume 5.0) → near-term caution/hedging despite bullish OI backdrop.
Volatility: IV(30d) 28.4 vs HV 21.76 → options pricing in elevated movement; IV percentile 61.6 (not cheap).
Signal read: Longer-lived positioning leans bullish, but today’s tape shows protection/short-term defensiveness (though on low absolute volume).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- SwingMax entry signal (2026-02-03): favors a buy-low/sell-high swing setup now.
- Price sitting just above pivot (~187): supportive location for a tactical long with nearby defined risk.
- Fundamental growth: revenue, EPS, and net income all up ~10–13% YoY in the latest quarter (2025/Q3).
- Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-24 (pre-market) can re-rate the stock if results/guide beat expectations.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- MACD still below zero: trend isn’t decisively bullish yet; breakout still needs confirmation above resistance.
- Options volume skew bearish today (put-heavy): suggests short-term hedging pressure even if OI is bullish.
- Margins: Gross margin down YoY (-1.11%) in 2025/Q3, a potential narrative risk if it persists.
- No fresh news flow this week: fewer immediate external catalysts until earnings.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $425.2M, +9.98% YoY (solid top-line growth).
Net income: $86.3M, +12.22% YoY (profit growth outpacing sales).
EPS: $1.98, +13.14% YoY (strong per-share growth).
Gross margin: 41.98%, down 1.11% YoY (watch cost/price mix discipline).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating / price target change data was provided in the dataset, so the recent trend cannot be verified here.
Wall Street pros/cons view (inferred from available data only): Pros: consistent YoY growth in revenue/earnings; Cons: margin compression risk and lack of near-term narrative catalysts before earnings.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders shown as neutral (no significant recent trend).

5 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AWI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AWI is 207.25 USD with a low forecast of 189 USD and a high forecast of 220 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 193.740

Low

189

Averages

207.25

High

220

Current: 193.740

Low

189

Averages

207.25

High

220

UBS

John Lovallo

Neutral

maintain

$178 -> $200

AI Analysis

2025-10-29

Reason

UBS

John Lovallo

Price Target

$178 -> $200

AI Analysis

2025-10-29

maintain

Neutral

Reason

UBS analyst John Lovallo raised the firm's price target on Armstrong World to $200 from $178 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

JPMorgan

NULL -> Overweight

maintain

$210 -> $220

2025-10-29

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$210 -> $220

2025-10-29

maintain

NULL -> Overweight

Reason

JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Armstrong World to $220 from $210 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The company showed "robust" execution in Q3 and issued upbeat guidance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for AWI

Unlock Now

AWI Should I Buy

AWI Should I Buy

Should You Buy Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch