Trend: Bearish alignment of moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) confirms a sustained downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0645 and negatively expanding → selling pressure is still increasing.
RSI: RSI_6 at 32.405 (low/near-oversold region but not a confirmed reversal signal).
Key levels: Price ~4.12 is just above S1 support 4.03; a breakdown targets S2 at 3.755. Upside hurdles: Pivot 4.475 then R1 4.92.
Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern study suggests positive drift (80% chance of ~+2.01% next day; +1.11% next week; +8.95% next month), but current indicators still show bearish control.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Very call-skewed open interest (put/call OI 0.21) and put/call volume 0.7 → bullish-to-speculative sentiment.
Activity: Today’s option volume is ~21.49x the 30-day average (unusually elevated), signaling heightened attention.
Volatility: IV_30d 73.13 vs historical volatility 58.19 (options imply bigger moves than realized).
Relative IV: IV percentile/rank ~27 suggests IV is not extreme versus its own history (options not at peak expensiveness historically).
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
on 2026-02-11 after hours can act as a directional catalyst.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No near-term news catalysts in the last week (nothing new to flip sentiment immediately).
Technicals remain bearish: downtrend MAs + deteriorating MACD momentum.
Analyst tone: Goldman Sachs cut price target to $4 from $6 while keeping Neutral (signals reduced confidence/upside).
Business fundamentals still show heavy losses (limits “buy-the-dip” appeal without a clear catalyst).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $1.0M, flat YoY (0.00%) → no meaningful top-line acceleration.
Net income: -$201.0M, worsened ~3.37% YoY (larger loss).
EPS: -$0.11, down ~15.38% YoY (deteriorating per-share profitability).
Gross margin: reported as -500 and flat YoY (still not showing a clean improvement trajectory).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent change: [2025-11-26] Goldman Sachs lowered price target to $4 (from $6) and maintained a Neutral rating.
Wall Street pros view (implied): Neutral stance suggests “wait for clearer execution/traction,” with limited near-term upside vs risk.
Wall Street cons view (implied): Target cut highlights softer expectations and uncertainty, consistent with the bearish chart.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential figure trading flagged in provided data.
Wall Street analysts forecast AUR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AUR is 10.36 USD with a low forecast of 4 USD and a high forecast of 15 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AUR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AUR is 10.36 USD with a low forecast of 4 USD and a high forecast of 15 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.780
Low
4
Averages
10.36
High
15
Current: 3.780
Low
4
Averages
10.36
High
15
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
downgrade
$6 -> $4
AI Analysis
2025-11-26
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$6 -> $4
AI Analysis
2025-11-26
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs lowered the firm's price target on Aurora Innovation to $4 from $6 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
TD Cowen
Itay Michaeli
Hold
downgrade
2025-10-30
Reason
TD Cowen
Itay Michaeli
Price Target
2025-10-30
downgrade
Hold
Reason
TD Cowen analyst Itay Michaeli lowered the firm's price target on Aurora Innovation to $5.50 from $7.40 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm views Q3 as mixed but solidly intact. They are encouraged by the company's underlying progress but are adjusting its model to reflect a more measured 2026-27 revenue ramp to reflect timing risks in validating/launching the 2nd gen HW fleet.
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