Not a good buy right now at ~$60.82 pre-market: the stock is technically overextended (RSI>80) and is trading above/near key resistance with limited near-term upside vs recent Street targets.
Sentiment is bullish (options skew + analyst upgrades), but price already reflects much of the good news; risk/reward into earnings is not favorable for a fresh entry.
Best stance today: HOLD / avoid chasing; a better entry would typically be closer to the ~$58.7 pivot (or lower) rather than near ~$61 resistance.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with positive momentum; MACD histogram +0.291 and expanding supports the uptrend.
Overbought: RSI_6 = 82.64 signals a stretched, chase-prone area where pullbacks are common even in strong uptrends.
Levels: Pivot 58.687 (near-term “fair value” support), Resistance R1 61.176 (price is close), then R2 62.713; Support S1 56.198.
Pattern/forward odds (model): modest next-day upside (+0.6% chance set), but negative bias over next week/month (-1.61% / -1.53%), aligning with “cool-off” risk after a run.
Positioning is strongly call-skewed: put/call OI ratio 0.05 (very bullish) and put/call volume ratio 0.17.
Activity: today’s option volume is low in absolute terms (7 contracts) but elevated vs 30-day average (13.46x), suggesting a small burst of interest.
Volatility: 30D IV ~39.21 vs historical ~29.29 (options pricing in elevated movement), with IV percentile ~61.85 (not cheap). This can amplify pre-earnings swings.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
Earnings catalyst ahead: Q4/FY2025 results due 2026-02-18 pre-market (EPS est. 0.57). A beat/raise could extend the uptrend.
Strategic expansion: Koch Filter deal (per analyst notes) adds an industrial platform and supports the “diversification/valuation unlock” narrative.
Operational momentum: last reported quarter showed strong YoY growth in revenue, earnings, and margins.
Profitability: Net income $54.8M (+25.11% YoY) and EPS $0.66 (+26.92% YoY) indicate operating leverage.
Margins: Gross margin 28.9% (up 4.82% YoY) supports the bull case that mix/efficiency are improving.
Overall: fundamentals are strong, but the current price looks like it’s already rewarding that execution.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: ratings/targets have moved upward since Nov 2025, especially around the Koch Filter acquisition (JPM upgrade to Overweight with PT $60; Baird Outperform PT $59; Northland Outperform PT $59).
Mixed stance remains: Wells Fargo stays Equal Weight with a lower PT ($54), highlighting the risk of underwhelming 2026 guidance.
Wall Street pros: strong execution, margin expansion, diversification from Koch Filter, potential valuation unlock.
Wall Street cons: expectations may be elevated into 2026 guidance; with price already ~at/above most targets, upside likely requires a clear earnings/guidance surprise.
Wall Street analysts forecast ATMU stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATMU is 58 USD with a low forecast of 54 USD and a high forecast of 60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ATMU stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATMU is 58 USD with a low forecast of 54 USD and a high forecast of 60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 60.570
Low
54
Averages
58
High
60
Current: 60.570
Low
54
Averages
58
High
60
Baird
Robert Mason
Outperform
maintain
$54 -> $59
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
Reason
Baird
Robert Mason
Price Target
$54 -> $59
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Baird analyst Robert Mason raised the firm's price target on Atmus Filtration to $59 from $54 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm raised its estimates after the Koch Filter deal was finalized as it adds an industrial platform to its business.
Wells Fargo
Joseph O'Dea
Equal Weight
maintain
$52 -> $54
2026-01-07
Reason
Wells Fargo
Joseph O'Dea
Price Target
$52 -> $54
2026-01-07
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Joseph O'Dea raised the firm's price target on Atmus Filtration to $54 from $52 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Discussing the Electrical Equipment & Multi-Industry space, the firm says it expects largely underwhelming initial 2026 guidance ranges in a prudent approach to expectation setting.
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