Should I Buy ATGE? ATGE 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Adtalem Global Education Inc (ATGE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

104.480

1 Day change

1.22%

52 Week Range

156.260

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now (despite strong fundamentals): price action is decisively bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, MACD worsening) and there are no Intellectia buy signals to justify chasing an oversold bounce pre-market.
For an impatient buyer, the higher-probability outcome is more downside/volatility first (next technical support is ~94.72) rather than an immediate clean reversal.
What would change this to a buy: stabilization back above ~101 (S1) and/or a momentum turn (MACD histogram contracting toward 0) while holding higher lows.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling sustained downside pressure.
Momentum: Weakening. MACD histogram -2.432, below zero and negatively expanding → downtrend still accelerating.
Condition: RSI(6) = 19.09 (oversold) → bounce risk is elevated, but oversold can persist in strong downtrends.
Key levels: Pivot 111.62 (well above current), S1 101.17 (already below), S2 94.72 (next downside magnet). Immediate resistance is the 101–102 area; reclaiming it would be the first sign of stabilization.
Quant/Pattern read: Similar-pattern model implies a bias to mild further weakness (~70% chance of -0.8% next day; -1.97% next month).

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call 0.54 skews bullish (more call OI than puts), while volume put/call 0.9 is closer to neutral-to-slightly defensive on the day.
Volatility: IV (30D) 49.31 with IV percentile 78.4 → options are relatively expensive vs recent history (market pricing elevated move/risk).
Activity: Today’s volume 57 vs avg (ratio 21.84) and open interest metrics elevated → increased attention, but not necessarily directional certainty.
Takeaway: Options lean cautiously bullish on positioning, but the elevated IV suggests the market expects turbulence—consistent with the bearish chart.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Strong quarter & guidance: Q2 FY2026 revenue grew +12.4% YoY and management raised adjusted EPS guidance to $7.80–$8.00.
- Capital return tailwind: Completed $150M buyback and announced a new $750M repurchase plan through 2028.
- Sell-side support improving: BMO raised PT to $138 (from $120) and reiterated Outperform, citing better-than-expected results and improving marketing efficiency/conversion at Chamberlain.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical downtrend dominates near-term: bearish MA stack + deteriorating MACD increases odds that oversold becomes “more oversold” before a durable reversal.
- Institutional selling headline: Peregrine Asset Advisers fully exited (~$10.66M), which can weigh on sentiment short term.
- Near-term price levels are broken: trading below 101 support increases risk of a move toward **94.7** before buyers regain control.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: FY2026 Q2
Revenue: $503.4M, +12.43% YoY (clear top-line momentum).
Net income: $76.38M, +0.69% YoY (profit growth lagged revenue).
EPS: $2.11, +6.57% YoY (solid per-share growth).
Gross margin: 59.19%, up +1.51% YoY (margin trend improving).
Read-through: Fundamentals look healthy (growth + improving margin), but the stock is currently being driven more by technical derisking than by deteriorating business performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Most recent update (2026-01-30): BMO Capital raised price target to $138 from $120 and reiterated Outperform after results beat expectations.
Wall Street pro view: Strength at Walden and improving marketing efficiency/conversion at Chamberlain support the bull case; guidance raise and buybacks add credibility.
Wall Street con view: Chamberlain growth has been slowing; until enrollment momentum clearly re-accelerates and the chart turns, upside can be capped by sentiment/positioning.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ATGE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATGE is 163.67 USD with a low forecast of 158 USD and a high forecast of 170 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 103.220

Low

158

Averages

163.67

High

170

Current: 103.220

Low

158

Averages

163.67

High

170

BMO Capital

Outperform

maintain

$120 -> $138

AI Analysis

2026-01-30

Reason

BMO Capital

Price Target

$120 -> $138

AI Analysis

2026-01-30

maintain

Outperform

Reason

BMO Capital raised the firm's price target on Adtalem Global Education to $138 from $120 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The company's results beat expectations as Walden growth offset slowing Chamberlain results, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The management also noted improvements in marketing efficiency and enrollment funnel conversion at Chamberlain, hoping leading to enrollments once again increasing this fall, the firm added.

Baird

Outperform -> NULL

downgrade

$169 -> $163

2025-10-31

Reason

Baird

Price Target

$169 -> $163

2025-10-31

downgrade

Outperform -> NULL

Reason

Baird lowered the firm's price target on Adtalem Global Education to $163 from $169 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q3 results which saw guidance held despite execution missteps pressuring Chamberlain post licensure.

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ATGE Should I Buy

ATGE Should I Buy

Should You Buy Adtalem Global Education Inc (ATGE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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