Should I Buy ASRT? ASRT 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Assertio Holdings Inc (ASRT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

12.740

1 Day change

9.64%

52 Week Range

15.150

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now at ~11.86 pre-market: no proprietary buy signals, technical momentum is weakening, and pattern-based stats skew bearish over the next week/month.
Risk/reward is unfavorable into nearby resistance (12.39–12.73) with limited confirmation of a sustained uptrend.
A buy becomes more compelling only if price decisively clears 12.39 and holds; otherwise downside levels (11.27 then 10.92) are in play.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.125) but contracting, implying bullish momentum is fading rather than strengthening.
RSI(6)=60.92: neutral-to-slightly-bullish, not an oversold “easy entry” setup.
Moving averages: converging MAs suggest consolidation/indecision rather than a clean trend.
Key levels: Pivot 11.83 is essentially where price is trading; resistance at 12.39 (R1) then 12.73 (R2). Support at 11.27 (S1) then 10.92 (S2).
Quant/pattern read: Similar-candle analogs imply ~60% odds of -2.31% next day, -3.66% next week, and -16.49% next month—near-term edge favors downside.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning is call-heavy: open interest put/call ratio 0.06 (very bullish skew/low put demand).
Volume skew is also call-dominant (put volume essentially 0), but total volume is small (31 contracts), so sentiment signal may be noisy.
Volatility: 30D IV ~82.5% vs HV ~62.4% (options pricing in elevated movement), but IV percentile (8) / IV rank (4.41) suggests IV is low relative to its own history—less “panic hedging,” more complacency/normalization.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Options market positioning is strongly call-skewed (bullish sentiment).
- Gross margin improved materially (61.08%, +19.06% YoY), which can support earnings quality if sustained.
- No negative news flow in the last week (no fresh headline risk flagged in the dataset).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No Intellectia buy triggers today: AI Stock Picker = no signal; SwingMax = no recent signal (reduces conviction for an immediate entry).
- Technical momentum is losing strength (MACD histogram contracting) while price sits near pivot resistance.
- Pattern-based forward odds point to statistically higher downside risk over 1D/1W/1M horizons.
- Earnings quality concern: despite strong revenue growth, net income and EPS fell sharply YoY (suggests profitability volatility and/or prior-period one-offs).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $49.46M, +69.36% YoY (strong top-line acceleration).
Profitability: Net income $11.45M, -491.82% YoY; EPS 1.61, -450.00% YoY (major YoY deterioration).
Margins: Gross margin 61.08%, +19.06% YoY (a clear operational bright spot, but it did not translate into higher bottom-line YoY in this snapshot).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

2026-01-05: H.C. Wainwright reiterated Buy and raised price target to $35 from $3, explicitly tied to the one-for-15 reverse split adjustment.
Wall Street pro view (pros): bullish rating and substantially higher stated target; indicates at least one covering analyst sees significant upside.
Wall Street pro view (cons): target change is mechanically influenced by reverse split math; limited breadth of analyst confirmation shown in the provided data, so the signal is less robust.
Ownership/trading signals: hedge funds neutral (no significant last-quarter trend), insiders neutral (no significant last-month trend), and no recent Congress trading data (no political/influential trading catalyst identified).

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ASRT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASRT is 27.67 USD with a low forecast of 3 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 11.620

Low

Averages

27.67

High

Current: 11.620

Low

Averages

27.67

High

H.C. Wainwright

Raghuram Selvaraju

upgrade

$3 -> $35

AI Analysis

2026-01-05

Reason

H.C. Wainwright

Raghuram Selvaraju

Price Target

$3 -> $35

AI Analysis

2026-01-05

upgrade

Reason

H.C. Wainwright analyst Raghuram Selvaraju adjusted the firm's price target on Assertio to $35 from $3 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the the one-for-15 reverse split.

H.C. Wainwright

Buy

downgrade

2025-08-12

Reason

H.C. Wainwright

Price Target

2025-08-12

downgrade

Buy

Reason

H.C. Wainwright lowered the firm's price target on Assertio to $3 from $3.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported a sales beat and earnings miss, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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ASRT Should I Buy

ASRT Should I Buy

Should You Buy Assertio Holdings Inc (ASRT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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