Not a good buy right now: price (~59.08 pre-market) is pressing into resistance (R1 58.81 / R2 60.17) while short-term momentum looks stretched.
Upside looks limited near-term because the stock is trading at/above most fresh Wall St targets (54–59) despite “Hold/Neutral” consensus.
Options sentiment is mildly bullish (put/call < 1), but implied volatility is extremely elevated, signaling higher uncertainty and less favorable risk/reward for chasing here.
If you already own it: holding is reasonable given improving margins and EPS growth; for a new position today, I would not chase at ~59 without a clean breakout above ~60.2.
Trend/Momentum: RSI_6 at 71.5 suggests short-term overbought / stretched conditions.
MACD: Histogram -0.117 (below zero) but negatively contracting → bearish pressure is easing, not yet flipped bullish.
Moving averages: Converging → consolidation/indecision, often precedes a larger move but doesn’t confirm direction alone.
Key levels: Pivot 56.61 (important near-term support zone); Resistance 58.81 (R1) and 60.17 (R2). With price ~59, ASO is already in the resistance band.
Pattern-based forward odds (provided): ~-1.18% next week, +1.61% next month → near-term drift slightly negative.
Takeaway: Technically this looks more like a late-stage push into resistance than an attractive “buy-now” entry for an impatient buyer.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Put/Call ratios below 1 (OI 0.93; Volume 0.75) → modestly bullish / more call activity than puts.
Activity: Today’s option volume ~122% of 30-day avg and open interest ~114% of avg → elevated participation.
Volatility: 30D IV 60.76 vs historical vol 42.53 and IV percentile 96.8 → options are very expensive, implying the market is pricing in outsized moves/uncertainty.
Net read: Sentiment leans bullish, but the very high IV argues the market already anticipates movement—less favorable for chasing stock at resistance.
Wall St pros: stronger margins, better execution, initiatives attracting higher-income traffic, some leverage in SG&A.
Wall St cons: mixed/soft topline, exposure to lower/middle-income spending pressure, category-specific drags; and the stock now trades around the highest PT, reducing perceived upside.
Wall Street analysts forecast ASO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASO is 57 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 65 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ASO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASO is 57 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 65 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 57.120
Low
50
Averages
57
High
65
Current: 57.120
Low
50
Averages
57
High
65
Truist
Hold
maintain
$50 -> $57
AI Analysis
2025-12-10
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$50 -> $57
AI Analysis
2025-12-10
maintain
Hold
Reason
Truist raised the firm's price target on Academy Sports to $57 from $50 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares after its Q3 results. Overall topline trends remain softer/mixed, with growth initiatives generating strong results, and gross margins "handily beat", the analyst tells investors in a research note. The company executed well to elevate their assortment and attract higher-income traffic, but it is also facing potential headwinds around lower/middle income consumer base spending, the firm added.
UBS
Michael Lasser
Neutral
maintain
$52 -> $54
2025-12-10
Reason
UBS
Michael Lasser
Price Target
$52 -> $54
2025-12-10
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Michael Lasser raised the firm's price target on Academy Sports to $54 from $52 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. There were some constructive data points from Academy Sports' Q3, but the positive reaction following the event was likely more a function of positioning and low expectations heading into the report, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for ASO
