Not a good buy right now: price is extended/overbought and sitting near/just above first resistance, with limited immediate upside before the next ceiling.
Options positioning is very bullish (calls dominate), which often means sentiment is crowded—good for momentum, but not great for a fresh entry at an overbought level.
Fundamentals are weakening in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) with notable YoY declines in revenue, earnings, and margins.
With no Intellectia buy signals today and no near-term news catalysts, the risk/reward for an impatient buy right now is not attractive; prefer to avoid chasing and only reconsider on a pullback toward support.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, indicating an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.122) but contracting—uptrend remains, yet momentum is cooling.
Overbought: RSI_6 at 79.462 signals overbought conditions (higher odds of a near-term pause/pullback).
Key levels: Pivot 12.279; Support S1 11.774 (then S2 11.463). Resistance R1 12.783 (already being tested/cleared pre-market at 12.83); next Resistance R2 13.094.
Pattern-based forward odds: ~60% chance of +1.64% next day, but model also suggests -2.26% over the next week (near-term chop/pullback risk).
Sentiment: Extremely call-skewed open interest and volume (P/C ratios near 0.1 and 0.05) = strongly bullish positioning.
Activity: Today’s options volume is elevated vs 30-day average (112.5%), suggesting increased attention.
Volatility: IV (38.93) modestly above historical vol (35.55), but IV percentile (20.8) / IV rank (13.64) are low—options are not pricing in a major move relative to recent history.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
11
Positive Catalysts
Technical uptrend remains intact (bullish moving average stack).
Wall Street-style cons (from available info): weakening YoY financial performance and overbought technical condition reduce attractiveness for a new entry at current levels.
Wall Street analysts forecast ASC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASC is 16 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 16 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ASC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASC is 16 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 16 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 12.500
Low
16
Averages
16
High
16
Current: 12.500
Low
16
Averages
16
High
16
Evercore ISI
Jonathan Chappell
Outperform
maintain
$13 -> $15
AI Analysis
2025-10-28
Reason
Evercore ISI
Jonathan Chappell
Price Target
$13 -> $15
AI Analysis
2025-10-28
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Jonathan Chappell raised the firm's price target on Ardmore Shipping to $15 from $13 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Heading into the winter season, which is traditionally a time for rising rates, the tanker market setup "looks promising," the analyst tells investors in a note on the group.
Evercore ISI Group
Jonathan Chappell
Buy
Maintains
$14 → $13
2025-04-22
Reason
Evercore ISI Group
Jonathan Chappell
Price Target
$14 → $13
2025-04-22
Maintains
Buy
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Jonathan Chappell lowered the firm's price target on Ardmore Shipping to $13 from $14 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Despite the stocks in the firm's tanker coverage trading at valuation discounts "only before seen in periods of liquidity/going concern risks" at a time when balance sheets across the sector have "never been stronger," headwinds to widespread interest in the group remain elevated, the analyst tells investors in a tanker sector note. Escalating fears regarding a potential global economic recession amid punitive trade policies is leading to meaningful resets lower of the oil demand picture, adds the analyst, who notes that recessionary periods historically have been "unfavorable to tanker rates" and equities.
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