Trend is clearly bullish: moving averages are stacked bullishly (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and MACD histogram is positive and expanding (1.904), confirming strong upside momentum.
However, the stock is technically stretched: RSI_6 at 87.18 signals overbought conditions and elevated pullback risk.
Price is above R1 (133.806) and approaching R2 (139.04); upside from here is more “late-trend” unless it cleanly breaks and holds above ~139.
Key levels: Pivot support ~125.33 (first meaningful technical “reset” zone); failure back below ~133.8 would be an early sign of momentum cooling.
Short-term pattern model suggests mild weakness near-term (next day/week expected drift negative), with a more constructive 1-month bias.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Open interest put/call ~0.91 is fairly balanced (positioning not extremely bearish), but today’s option volume is overwhelmingly put-dominated (put/call volume ~66.2), which is a strong near-term caution signal.
Options activity is unusually elevated: today’s volume vs 30D average ~182.6% and open interest vs average ~118.8% (attention rising into a catalyst).
Implied volatility is elevated: IV 30D ~35.64 vs historical vol ~28.97, with IV percentile ~79.6—market is pricing bigger moves (often seen into earnings), making directional “buy now” less attractive without a clear edge.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Upcoming earnings (2026-02-05 after hours) could validate the uptrend if results/guidance beat expectations (EPS est. 3.55).
Momentum/trend structure remains bullish (MACD expanding; bullish MA stack), which can keep buyers in control if resistance breaks (~139).
Latest reported quarter shows solid top-line and EPS growth (supports a constructive medium-term narrative).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
increases probability of a near-term pullback/mean reversion.
or lower.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $7.712B, up 13.03% YoY (strong top-line growth).
Net income: $109.19M, up 8.58% YoY (profit up, but slower than revenue).
EPS: $2.09, up 11.17% YoY (healthy per-share growth).
Wall Street analysts forecast ARW stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARW is 107 USD with a low forecast of 94 USD and a high forecast of 120 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ARW stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARW is 107 USD with a low forecast of 94 USD and a high forecast of 120 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 141.100
Low
94
Averages
107
High
120
Current: 141.100
Low
94
Averages
107
High
120
Wells Fargo
Underweight
downgrade
$98 -> $94
AI Analysis
2025-10-31
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$98 -> $94
AI Analysis
2025-10-31
downgrade
Underweight
Reason
Wells Fargo lowered the firm's price target on Arrow Electronics to $94 from $98 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. While Arrow reiterated its view of a cyclical recovery continuing to take shape, the firm expects shares to trade down given the company's view that 2026 street EBIT% / EPS estimates are too high, as mix remains a headwind.
Truist
William Stein
Hold
maintain
$118 -> $124
2025-08-01
Reason
Truist
William Stein
Price Target
$118 -> $124
2025-08-01
maintain
Hold
Reason
Truist analyst William Stein raised the firm's price target on Arrow Electronics to $124 from $118 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares after its Q2 earnings beat. The company's cyclical revenue recovery is here, but a lack of margin clarity challenges bullishness, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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