Should I Buy ARMN? ARMN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Aris Mining Corp (ARMN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

17.760

1 Day change

-0.62%

52 Week Range

21.980

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Buy now for a momentum/swing setup: trend structure is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and pre-market strength (+3.55% to 20.13) supports continuation.
Upside levels to watch: first target near R1 21.476, then R2 22.73 if momentum holds.
Risk line in the sand: a sustained drop back below the pivot (~19.446) weakens the immediate bullish thesis; below S1 17.415 would be a clear technical breakdown.
No Intellectia signals today, but options positioning and analyst upgrades tilt sentiment bullish enough to justify an entry now (given the user is unwilling to wait for a perfect pullback).

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish overall (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating price is aligned with an uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.214) but negatively contracting, often consistent with downside pressure fading and potential continuation higher if price remains supported.
RSI: RSI(6) at 52.74 is neutral—no overbought condition yet, leaving room for upside.
Key levels: Pivot 19.446 is the key near-term “hold” level; resistance at R1 21.476 and R2 22.73; supports at S1 17.415 and S2 16.161.
Pattern/stat edge: Similar-pattern projection suggests a positive short-term bias (reported 70% chance of gains across next day/week/month).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Very low put-call ratios (OI 0.2; volume 0.23) indicate bullish skew (calls dominating).
Activity: Today’s option volume 675 is elevated vs 30-day average (109.22%), reinforcing active bullish interest.
Volatility: 30D IV 77.39 vs HV 70.25 with IV percentile 89.26 suggests options are expensive; sentiment is strong but implied move expectations are high.
Interpretation: Options market is positioned bullish, consistent with a buy-now momentum thesis.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analysts recently raised price targets and maintained Buy/Outperform ratings, improving sentiment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Momentum confirmation is not perfect: MACD is still below zero (even if improving).
- 2025/Q3 profitability showed a sharp YoY decline (net income and EPS down materially), which can cap upside if investors refocus on earnings quality.
- No fresh news catalysts in the last week—near-term move may rely mainly on technicals/flows.
- No notable hedge fund/insider accumulation signals (both reported neutral).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 258,115,000 (+91.59% YoY), strong top-line acceleration.
Gross margin: 50.74 (+60.98% YoY), notable improvement in margin profile.
Net income: 42,011,000 (-2125.60% YoY) and EPS: 0.21 (-2200.00% YoY), indicating a major YoY profitability deterioration despite revenue/margin strength (potentially driven by non-operating items, prior-year comps, or one-offs).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Trend: Clearly improving—multiple price target raises clustered on 2026-01-22 to 2026-01-23.
2026-01-23: BMO Capital raised PT to C$32 (from C$28) and reiterated Outperform.
2026-01-23: Canaccord raised PT to C$35 (from C$30) and reiterated Buy.
2026-01-22: Canaccord raised PT to C$30 (from C$28) and reiterated Buy.
Wall Street pro view (pros/cons): Pros—upgraded targets and consistently bullish ratings suggest confidence in the forward story; Cons—earnings quality/profitability volatility (seen in latest YoY net income/EPS) is the main fundamental pushback.
Influential/politician trading: No recent congress trading data available (no signal from that channel).

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ARMN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARMN is 16.02 USD with a low forecast of 15.48 USD and a high forecast of 16.56 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 17.870

Low

15.48

Averages

16.02

High

16.56

Current: 17.870

Low

15.48

Averages

16.02

High

16.56

BMO Capital

NULL -> Outperform

maintain

$28 -> $32

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

BMO Capital

Price Target

$28 -> $32

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

maintain

NULL -> Outperform

Reason

BMO Capital raised the firm's price target on Aris Mining to C$32 from C$28 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.

Canaccord

Buy

maintain

$30 -> $35

2026-01-23

Reason

Canaccord

Price Target

$30 -> $35

2026-01-23

maintain

Buy

Reason

Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Aris Mining to C$35 from C$30 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

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ARMN Should I Buy

ARMN Should I Buy

Should You Buy Aris Mining Corp (ARMN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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