ARLP Should I Buy
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["Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals", "- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.", "- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.", "Despite no proprietary buy signal, ARLP looks like a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price is sitting near the pivot (~25.08) with mild bullish momentum and very bullish options positioning (low put/call, heavy call skew).", "Near-term trade map: a clean push above ~25.76 (R1) increases odds of a move toward ~26.18 (R2); downside risk is primarily a slip below ~24.40 (S1).", "Fundamentals are mixed (revenue down, coal-cycle scrutiny), but the latest quarter showed sharp profit/EPS improvement and management provided 2026 volume/price guidance, which can keep dip-buyers engaged."]
["Pre-market price ~25 is right on the pivot (25.076) \u2192 market is deciding; not extended.", "MACD histogram above 0 (0.119) but contracting \u2192 bullish momentum is present, though not accelerating (more \u201cgrind higher\u201d than breakout).", "RSI(6) 61.18 (neutral-to-slightly-bullish) \u2192 room to run without being overbought.", "Moving averages converging \u2192 consolidation/coil; tends to precede a directional move, and current bias is slightly up due to positive MACD.", "Key levels: Support 24.40 (S1) then 23.98 (S2); Resistance 25.76 (R1) then 26.18 (R2)."]
["Q4 2025 results delivered strong profitability: adjusted EBITDA $191.1M and net income $82.7M.", "Company provided 2026 sales volume guidance (33.75\u201335.25M tons) and pricing expectations (IL Basin $50\u2013$52/ton, Appalachia $66\u2013$71/ton) \u2192 reduces uncertainty and supports valuation floor for income-focused buyers.", "Bullish options structure (call-heavy) can support upside follow-through if price clears nearby resistance."]
["Q4 2025 revenue missed/declined to $535.5M (down YoY), reflecting lower coal sales\u2014headline risk for sentiment.", "Coal cycle concerns remain in focus; recent commentary notes profitability/revenue pressure and only 25% beat rate over the past year.", "Estimate trend is not supportive: no upward EPS revisions in 3 months and two downward adjustments."]
["Latest quarter: 2025/Q4", "Revenue: $535.5M, -9.25% YoY (top-line contraction).", "Net income: $82.7M, +395.39% YoY (major rebound).", "EPS: $0.64, +392.31% YoY (profitability improved sharply).", "Gross margin: 83.34%, +4.36% YoY (margin expansion supports cash generation narrative, even with softer revenue)."]
["Recent trend implied by the summary: no upward revisions and multiple downward EPS adjustments over the last three months \u2192 Wall Street bias has tilted more cautious.", "Pros view: strong profitability/cash generation profile (shown by Q4 earnings power) plus concrete 2026 volume/price guidance can keep income/value buyers interested.", "Cons view: revenue softness + coal-cycle decline scrutiny keeps a lid on enthusiasm; higher capex guidance ($280M\u2013$300M) may raise questions about free-cash-flow durability.", "Influential trading check: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are reported Neutral with no significant recent trend."]
