Should I Buy ARLO? ARLO 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Arlo Technologies Inc (ARLO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

12.400

1 Day change

3.16%

52 Week Range

19.940

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: trend is still bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and momentum remains negative (MACD histogram below 0).
Price is sitting near key support (S1=12.085) with pre-market ~12.47; downside risk remains if support breaks, while upside needs reclaiming the pivot (13.043) first.
Options positioning is bullish (very low put/call ratios), but it’s paired with extremely elevated IV (IV percentile ~93), implying the market is pricing a big move and the stock can stay volatile without confirming a reversal.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Pre-market price: 12.47 (market context: S&P 500 -0.1% pre-market).
Trend: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked down (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) = prevailing downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0667 (below zero) and negatively contracting, suggesting bearish momentum is easing but not reversed.
RSI(6): 34.36 (near oversold-ish but still labeled neutral here) — can bounce, but not a confirmed reversal signal.
Key levels:
- Support: S1 12.085, S2 11.492
- Resistance: Pivot 13.043, R1 14.002, R2 14.595
Pattern-based forward bias (from provided analogs): next day +1.39% (20% chance), next week -0.92%, next month +6.65% — mild near-term headwinds with better 1-month skew if trend turns.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Strongly call-skewed (OI put/call 0.16; volume put/call 0.08) = bullish/options traders leaning upside.
Activity: Today’s option volume 27 vs 30D average factor 27.84; open interest elevated vs avg (today vs OI avg 125.98) — unusual interest despite low absolute volume.
Volatility: IV_30d 88.89 vs historical vol 60.84; IV percentile 93.2 — options are pricing high movement/uncertainty.
Net read: Bullish positioning, but with very expensive volatility and no confirmed technical reversal yet.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

— potential event-driven catalyst if results/guide surprise positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

indicates the market expects big swings; price can drop through support quickly if risk-off moves intensify.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 139.53M, +1.35% YoY (modest growth).
Net income: 6.87M, -254.83% YoY (sharp decline).
EPS: 0.06, -250.00% YoY (sharp decline).
Gross margin: 40.5%, +15.15% YoY (notable improvement; a key positive trend to monitor).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so the recent trend in Wall Street upgrades/downgrades cannot be confirmed from this dataset.
Practical bull case (what pros would likely like): improving gross margin and potential operating leverage if demand stabilizes.
Practical bear case (what pros would likely cite): weak/declining earnings power despite slightly higher revenue, plus a technically bearish chart.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ARLO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARLO is 23.5 USD with a low forecast of 22 USD and a high forecast of 26 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 12.020

Low

Averages

23.5

High

Current: 12.020

Low

Averages

23.5

High

BWS Financial

Hamed Khorsand

Buy

maintain

$24 -> $26

AI Analysis

2025-08-11

Reason

BWS Financial

Hamed Khorsand

Price Target

$24 -> $26

AI Analysis

2025-08-11

maintain

Buy

Reason

BWS Financial analyst Hamed Khorsand raised the firm's price target on Arlo Technologies to $26 from $24 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares post the Q2 report. The company added more paid users than expected, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Raymond James

Outperform

maintain

$15 -> $22

2025-08-08

Reason

Raymond James

Price Target

$15 -> $22

2025-08-08

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Raymond James raised the firm's price target on Arlo Technologies to $22 from $15 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Arlo's Q2 results were above expectations on all key metrics, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says big picture thesis points remain, including that Services is on track to exceed a $300M annual run rate business.

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ARLO Should I Buy

ARLO Should I Buy

Should You Buy Arlo Technologies Inc (ARLO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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