Should I Buy ARHS? ARHS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Arhaus Inc (ARHS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

11.100

1 Day change

3.64%

52 Week Range

12.990

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: pre-market ~$10.70 is close to near-term resistance (R1 ~$10.925), leaving limited immediate upside before hitting supply.
Signals don’t support an aggressive buy today: Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Fundamentals are improving, but street targets were cut and the short-term statistical trend skews slightly negative over the next week/month.
Better risk/reward would be either (1) a clean breakout/hold above ~~$10.93–$11.27, or (2) a pullback closer to pivot support (~~$10.36). At $10.70 pre-market, it’s a “wait/hold,” not a chase-buy.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive and expanding (bullish momentum building).
RSI (6): ~64.8, still below overbought but getting close—momentum is strong, yet not giving a fresh low-risk entry.
Moving averages: converging, suggesting consolidation/transition rather than a clean established trend.
Key levels:
- Pivot (near support): $10.36
- Resistance: R1 $10.925, then R2 $11.274
- Supports: S1 $9.794, S2 $9.445
Context vs price: pre-market $10.70 sits between pivot and R1, closer to resistance—technically a tougher spot to initiate a new long.
Pattern-based forward bias (provided): ~50% odds of modest drift lower (-0.56% next week, -1.87% next month), which argues against rushing an entry here.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Open Interest Put/Call 0.26 is bullish (calls dominate open interest).
But volume is extremely light: total volume ~4 contracts and put volume ~0 → the volume-based signal is not very informative today.
Volatility: IV30 ~52.9 vs HV ~41.7 (options pricing in elevated forward moves); IV percentile ~30 and IV rank ~15 suggest IV is not stretched versus its own history.
Takeaway: Options lean bullish by open interest, but today’s trading activity is too thin to treat as a strong sentiment confirmation.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Q3 growth was solid: revenue +7.97% YoY, EPS +28.57% YoY, net income +23.13% YoY.
- Margins stable-to-better: gross margin ~38.72% (+0.41 YoY).
- Options open interest skew (low put/call) suggests the market is positioned more for upside than downside (though not strongly confirmed by volume).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No fresh news catalysts in the past week to drive a near-term re-rate.
- Analyst price targets were cut after Q3, implying tempered expectations.
- Near-term technical overhead: price is approaching R1 (~$10.925), increasing odds of a stall/rejection.
- Provided short-horizon trend odds tilt slightly negative over the next week/month.
- Influential trading: No notable hedge fund/insider trend (both neutral), and no recent politician/congress activity available to signal conviction.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3
- Revenue: $344.57M (+7.97% YoY)
- Net Income: $12.22M (+23.13% YoY)
- EPS: $0.09 (+28.57% YoY)
- Gross Margin: 38.72% (+0.41 YoY)
Read-through: profitability is growing faster than revenue (good operating leverage), supporting the longer-term story even if the near-term setup isn’t an ideal buy point today.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent changes (2025-11-07):
- Stifel: Buy, PT cut $14 → $12 after Q3.
- Morgan Stanley: Equal Weight, PT cut $12.50 → $10.50.
Wall Street pro view (pros): still at least one Buy rating; acknowledges improving earnings power (consistent with Q3 growth).
Wall Street con view (cons): targets moving down post-earnings suggests the street is less confident about near-term upside; MS staying Equal Weight reinforces a “not a must-own right now” stance.

10 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ARHS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARHS is 12.21 USD with a low forecast of 10.5 USD and a high forecast of 14 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

4 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 10.710

Low

10.5

Averages

12.21

High

Current: 10.710

Low

10.5

Averages

12.21

High

Stifel

Buy

downgrade

$14 -> $12

AI Analysis

2025-11-07

Reason

Stifel

Price Target

$14 -> $12

AI Analysis

2025-11-07

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Stifel lowered the firm's price target on Arhaus to $12 from $14 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the company's Q3 report.

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight

downgrade

2025-11-07

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

2025-11-07

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Arhaus to $10.50 from $12.50 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares.

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ARHS Should I Buy

ARHS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Arhaus Inc (ARHS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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