Should I Buy APTV? APTV 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Aptiv PLC (APTV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

82.380

1 Day change

3.34%

52 Week Range

88.930

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price is sitting on the pivot (~78.06) with no proprietary buy signals and a still-negative MACD backdrop.
Near-term edge looks weak: pattern-based stats skew negative over 1-week (-3.1%) and 1-month (-16.99%), so upside follow-through is less likely without a clear breakout.
What would change this to a buy quickly: a decisive reclaim/break above 80.80 (R1) would signal momentum returning; otherwise risk of slipping toward 75.32 (S1) remains.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.385) but contracting (selling pressure easing, not reversed yet).
RSI: RSI(6) ~49 (neutral), consistent with consolidation rather than a fresh uptrend.
Moving averages: converging MAs indicate a balance/coil; typically needs a breakout to confirm direction.
Key levels: Pivot 78.06 (current pre-market ~78.39 is essentially at pivot).
- Resistance: 80.80 (R1), then 82.49 (R2).
- Support: 75.32 (S1), then 73.63 (S2).
Practical read: technically “range-bound” with slightly bearish momentum; not a clean high-probability long entry at the pivot.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put/Call ratios below 1 (OI 0.53, Volume 0.48) lean bullish (more call interest/flow than puts).
Volatility: 30D IV ~40.25 vs historical vol ~28.06 suggests options are pricing elevated move expectations.
IV percentile ~70 (relatively high vs the past year), which often coincides with event-driven pricing (e.g., earnings/guidance/spin-off narrative).
Activity: Today’s option volume is ~203% of the 30D average (unusual activity), implying heightened speculation/positioning.
Takeaway: options sentiment is constructive, but elevated IV means the market expects big swings—direction still needs price confirmation.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analyst tone improved: multiple upgrades/raised targets into 2026, supporting a higher perceived floor for the stock.
- Q4 2025 revenue grew ~5% YoY to ~$5.153B–$5.2B and management issued a positive 2026 revenue outlook.
- Corporate action catalyst: plan to spin off the Electrical Distribution Systems business could unlock value and sharpen the narrative.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Profitability deterioration: Q4 included margin pressure and a goodwill impairment headline; net income and EPS fell sharply YoY.
- Market reaction risk: shares declined despite “strong quarterly earnings and guidance,” signaling investors may be focused on margins/quality of earnings.
- Quant/pattern read points to weak near-term expectancy (notably negative 1-week and 1-month bias).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $5.153B, +5.01% YoY (top-line growth intact).
Net income: $138M, -48.51% YoY (profitability weakened materially).
EPS: $0.64, -43.86% YoY.
Gross margin: 17.68%, down ~6.90% YoY (key concern—growth not translating to better margins).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend is clearly improving: multiple firms raised price targets and/or upgraded (Piper to Overweight; Morgan Stanley to Equal Weight; Oppenheimer and Evercore reiterated Outperform while raising PTs).
Highest-conviction bullish calls cite improved growth targets/valuation attractiveness and longer-cycle innovation/ADAS-autonomy optionality.
Wall Street “pros” view: upside to ~$100+ targets if execution and the spin-off narrative land.
Wall Street “cons” view: EV softness into 2026 and near-term margin compression/earnings quality keep the stock from being a clean momentum buy today.

10 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast APTV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APTV is 99.2 USD with a low forecast of 84 USD and a high forecast of 107 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

8 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 79.720

Low

Averages

99.2

High

107

Current: 79.720

Low

Averages

99.2

High

107

UBS

Neutral

downgrade

$99 -> $89

AI Analysis

2026-02-04

New

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$99 -> $89

AI Analysis

2026-02-04

New

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

UBS lowered the firm's price target on Aptiv to $89 from $99 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

Oppenheimer

Colin Rusch

Outperform

maintain

$102 -> $106

2026-02-03

New

Reason

Oppenheimer

Colin Rusch

Price Target

$102 -> $106

2026-02-03

New

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Oppenheimer analyst Colin Rusch raised the firm's price target on Aptiv to $106 from $102 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. As Aptiv works through the remaining hurdles to complete its spin-out, the firm is encouraged by progress into the Physical AI space and growth in non-Autos. Oppenheimer sees a rapid evolution of form factors in Physical AI, which will require significant dexterity in design, manufacturing, and supply chain management. The firm believes Oppenheimer is uniquely positioned to support those elements of the ecosystem while offering augmentation to customer platforms on sensor fusion, operating system optimization, and lean device design.

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APTV Should I Buy

APTV Should I Buy

Should You Buy Aptiv PLC (APTV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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