Should I Buy APPS? APPS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Digital Turbine Inc (APPS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

4.150

1 Day change

-2.01%

52 Week Range

8.280

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Pre-market +21.46% to ~$6 is being driven by an earnings beat and raised FY2026 revenue guidance—this is a classic momentum/catalyst setup.
Options positioning is broadly bullish (very low OI put/call), supporting risk-on sentiment after the print.
Technicals are mixed: longer-term MAs are bullish, but MACD momentum was still deteriorating pre-gap and price is now extended above near-term resistance—expect a momentum-driven tape rather than a “clean” trend.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.
Bottom line (impatient buyer): Buy now for post-earnings momentum, with the understanding you’re buying strength after a gap.

Technical Analysis

Price action: pre-market ~$6 vs pivot 5.234; trading above R2 (5.861) suggests a breakout/gap extension rather than a mean-reversion entry.
Trend: Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), consistent with improving intermediate trend structure.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0252 and negatively expanding → momentum had been weakening before the catalyst; near-term follow-through depends on post-earnings demand.
RSI_6 = 29.86 → near-oversold/washed-out conditions before the gap, which can fuel sharp rebounds when fundamentals surprise.
Key levels: Support S1 4.846 / S2 4.607; resistance R1 5.622 / R2 5.861 (now exceeded pre-market).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Open Interest Put/Call = 0.28 (call-heavy) → bullish positioning.
Flow: Volume Put/Call = 0.86 → slightly more call than put activity; not extreme, but supportive.
Activity: today’s option volume 1376, about 41.35% of 30-day average (below average), but open interest is elevated (today vs OI avg 107.98%), implying positioning is already built.
Volatility: IV30 93.89 vs HV 106.15 with IV percentile 18 / IV rank 11.2 → IV is relatively low vs its own history, which often aligns with bullish “vol not bid up” conditions going into/after a move.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Q3 FY2026 earnings beat: reported $0.18 EPS (headline beat) and $151.4M revenue.
- Revenue +12% YoY and raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance.
- Reported GAAP net income $5.1M, described as a meaningful turnaround vs prior year.
- Improved profitability profile: gross margin 49.39% (+19.30% YoY).
- Pattern-based trend model indicates a constructive bias: 70% chance of +2.42% next day, +3.73% next week, +6.92% next month (probabilistic, not guaranteed).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Post-gap technical risk: pre-market price is above R2, so near-term upside may be choppier as early buyers take profits.
- Momentum indicator conflict: MACD histogram still negative and worsening pre-event, suggesting the move is catalyst-led rather than a fully established momentum trend.
- Reported YoY financial deltas show Net Income and EPS down in the provided snapshot metrics, which could create confusion around quality of earnings (despite the GAAP profit headline).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q3.
Revenue: $151.399M, +12.45% YoY (clear top-line re-acceleration).
Profitability: Gross margin 49.39%, +19.30% YoY, signaling better unit economics.
Earnings/profit snapshot provided shows: Net income $5.107M and EPS $0.04 with YoY percentage declines listed; however, the news summary highlights a GAAP profitability turnaround, which the market appears to be rewarding (pre-market +21%).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided in the dataset, so recent Wall Street revisions can’t be confirmed here.
Wall Street-style bull case (based on provided info): accelerating revenue, raised guidance, margin improvement, and a return to GAAP profitability.
Bear case: sharp post-earnings gap can be prone to fade/volatility; prior momentum (MACD) was negative, implying the move may rely heavily on sustained post-print demand.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast APPS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APPS is 8.75 USD with a low forecast of 7.5 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 4.235

Low

7.5

Averages

8.75

High

Current: 4.235

Low

7.5

Averages

8.75

High

Craig-Hallum

Buy

upgrade

$8 -> $10

AI Analysis

2025-11-05

Reason

Craig-Hallum

Price Target

$8 -> $10

AI Analysis

2025-11-05

upgrade

Buy

Reason

Craig-Hallum raised the firm's price target on Digital Turbine (APPS) to $10 from $8 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm believes investors should own Digital Turbine now as the company's app install and advertising business grows and the longer-term potential for significant revenue from SingleTap customers as they prepare for alternative app store launches. Craig-Hallum continues to highlight the ongoing crackdown on the Google Play Store, with recent judgements forcing Google (GOOGL) to open up their store to alternative app stores before July 2026. The firm thinks many app developers are working with Digital Turbine behind the scenes preparing for launch in the coming months.

BofA

Underperform -> Neutral

upgrade

2025-08-06

Reason

BofA

Price Target

2025-08-06

upgrade

Underperform -> Neutral

Reason

BofA upgraded Digital Turbine to Neutral from Underperform with a price target of $5.50, up from $4.50. The company's fiscal Q1 beat highlights the progress on its turnaround, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes Digital Turbine's "de-risked" fiscal 2026 outlook limits share downside.

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APPS Should I Buy

APPS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Digital Turbine Inc (APPS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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