Should I Buy APLE? APLE 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Apple Hospitality REIT Inc (APLE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

12.160

1 Day change

1.67%

52 Week Range

15.570

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now at ~$11.82 pre-market: price is below the pivot ($12.041) with no proprietary buy signal, implying limited immediate edge for an impatient entry.
Near-term upside exists (analyst PT $14; call-skewed options), but the current setup looks more like a consolidation/mean-reversion trade than a clean trend buy.
If you must act now, this is closer to a tactical nibble near support than a high-conviction buy; otherwise, best decision is to hold off until strength reclaims ~$12.04+.

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0783) but contracting, suggesting bearish momentum is fading—not yet a bullish reversal.
RSI(6) ~43.1: neutral-to-slightly weak; no oversold bounce signal.
Moving averages: converging, consistent with sideways consolidation rather than an uptrend.
Key levels: price (11.82) is below Pivot 12.041; first support S1=11.564 (nearby), then S2=11.269. Resistance R1=12.519, R2=12.814.
Pattern-based odds: +0.78% next day / +1.96% next week, but -2.65% next month → short-term bounce potential, weaker medium-term bias.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment/skew: Put/call ratios are very low (OI 0.33; volume 0.24) → options positioning is notably call-heavy (bullish tilt).
Positioning: Call OI 7,790 vs Put OI 2,575 → more upside positioning than downside hedging.
Volatility: 30D IV 26.55 vs HV 21.09 → options are priced somewhat rich vs realized; IV percentile 59.2 (mid), IV rank 13.24 (low vs range) suggests IV isn’t extreme, but still above realized.
Activity: Today’s volume is elevated vs 30D average (19.92x), but absolute volume is small (47 contracts) → interpret as a mild signal, not a decisive one.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analyst catalyst: Barclays initiated Overweight with a $14 target (meaningful upside vs ~$11.82).
- Options market tone is bullish (call-skewed put/call ratios), supporting potential near-term upside attempts.
- Technical setup is near support (S1 11.564), which can attract dip-buyers for a bounce.
- Upcoming earnings (QDEC 2025 on 2026-02-23 after hours) can act as a volatility/catalyst window if expectations improve.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Fundamentals (latest reported quarter) are trending down YoY (revenue, net income, EPS), which can cap sustained upside.
- Technicals are not yet bullish: price below pivot and MACD still negative.
- Pattern-based outlook points to a negative 1-month bias (-2.65%), implying rallies may fade.
- News flow provided is not APLE-specific and does not introduce a clear positive event-driven catalyst.
- No supportive signal from hedge fund/insider trend data (both neutral); no notable politician/congress activity reported.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $373.878M, down 1.31% YoY (slight contraction).
Net income: $50.88M, down 9.57% YoY (profitability weakening faster than revenue).
EPS: $0.21, down 8.70% YoY (earnings power softening).
Gross margin: 57.66%, down 1.74% YoY (modest margin compression).
Next known event: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-23 (after hours), EPS est. 0.29.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent change: 2026-01-06 Barclays initiated coverage with Overweight and a $14 price target.
Trend summary: only a single recent initiation provided (no series of upgrades/downgrades shown), so sentiment is modestly positive but not broadly confirmed.
Wall Street pros: sees balance-sheet/strategy strength among hotel REITs; APLE framed as favorable within the group.
Wall Street cons: hotel REITs viewed as more of a short-term trading sector vs a consistent source of long-term excess returns.

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast APLE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APLE is 12.83 USD with a low forecast of 11 USD and a high forecast of 14 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

4 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 11.960

Low

Averages

12.83

High

Current: 11.960

Low

Averages

12.83

High

Barclays

Overweight

initiated

$14

AI Analysis

2026-01-06

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$14

AI Analysis

2026-01-06

initiated

Overweight

Reason

Barclays initiated coverage of Apple Hospitality REIT with an Overweight rating and $14 price target. The firm launched coverage of seven hotel real estate investment trusts. The firm believes the hotel REITs will continue to function mainly as a short- term trading sector for many REIT investors, rather than as a potential source of long-term excess returns. Barclays favors companies with "definable business strategies and solid balance sheets."

BofA

Dany Asad

Buy -> Neutral

downgrade

$15 -> $11

2025-11-04

Reason

BofA

Dany Asad

Price Target

$15 -> $11

2025-11-04

downgrade

Buy -> Neutral

Reason

BofA analyst Dany Asad downgraded Apple Hospitality REIT to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $11, down from $15.

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APLE Should I Buy

APLE Should I Buy

Should You Buy Apple Hospitality REIT Inc (APLE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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