Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price is already pushing into near-term resistance (above R1 and approaching R2) while short-term momentum looks stretched.
No Intellectia proprietary buy signals today (AI Stock Picker and SwingMax both inactive), so there’s no strong “act now” edge.
Fundamentals and guidance trend are weakening (YoY revenue/EPS down; analysts cut targets after cautious outlook), which reduces urgency to chase strength.
Trend/momentum: MACD histogram is below 0 (-0.00788) but contracting → bearish momentum is fading, yet not flipped bullish.
RSI(6) at 72.01 → stretched/near-overbought, increasing odds of a pullback rather than an attractive “buy now” entry.
Moving averages are converging → more consistent with consolidation than a clean uptrend.
Levels: Pivot 8.852; price (~9.36–9.41) is above R1 (9.274) and nearing R2 (9.535) → upside is closer to resistance than support, making immediate risk/reward less favorable.
Pattern-based forward bias: similar-pattern stats imply negative drift over 1W (-2.09%) and 1M (-16.46%).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/sentiment: extremely low put/call OI ratio (0.04) suggests heavy call skew (bullish/speculative positioning), but today’s volume is tiny (total volume 1; puts 0) → weak signal quality.
Volatility: 30D IV ~86.14 vs historical vol ~38.57; IV percentile 88 → options are pricing large moves and are expensive, consistent with uncertainty and/or speculative demand.
Activity: today’s volume vs 30D avg is elevated (16.67x), but off a very small base, so sentiment inference should be tempered.
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Analysts still maintain Buy ratings (Roth, Lake Street) despite cutting targets, implying they still see upside longer-term.
Q2 beat versus expectations (per analyst notes) and management cited retail POS demand up ~4% YoY, which could support replenishment.
MACD bearish momentum is contracting, which can precede stabilization if price holds above the pivot area.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
with RSI(
~72 → higher near-term pullback risk if buyers fade.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2026/Q2.
Revenue: 57.199M, down 5.04% YoY → top-line contraction.
Net income: 2.075M, down 33.30% YoY → profitability pressured.
EPS: 0.16, down 33.33% YoY.
Gross margin: 45.62%, down 4.94% YoY → margin compression is a notable headwind.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent actions show targets being cut while ratings stay positive:
2025-12-16 Roth Capital: Buy maintained; PT cut to $11 from $11.50 (still constructive, but trimming).
2025-12-10 Lake Street: Buy maintained; PT cut to $14 from $19 after Q2 beat, citing cautious guidance.
Wall Street “pros” view: Q2 execution and POS demand improvement support the bull case.
Wall Street “cons” view: near-term growth outlook is weakening (guided declines), e-commerce softness and macro/tariff/consumer pressures are key risks; target cuts signal reduced conviction on near-term upside.
Wall Street analysts forecast AOUT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AOUT is 12.5 USD with a low forecast of 11 USD and a high forecast of 14 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AOUT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AOUT is 12.5 USD with a low forecast of 11 USD and a high forecast of 14 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.010
Low
11
Averages
12.5
High
14
Current: 9.010
Low
11
Averages
12.5
High
14
Roth Capital
Buy
downgrade
$11
AI Analysis
2025-12-16
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$11
AI Analysis
2025-12-16
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital lowered the firm's price target on American Outdoor Brands to $11 from $11.50 but keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company delivered a Q2 beat, with strength in the Traditional channel offsetting e-commerce softness that continues from a large customer resetting inventory - seemingly in response to tariff/consumer pressures, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Encouragingly, the management cited retail point of sales demand being up 4% YoY, which should bode well for replenishment ahead, the firm added.
Lake Street
Mark Smith
Buy
maintain
$19 -> $14
2025-12-10
Reason
Lake Street
Mark Smith
Price Target
$19 -> $14
2025-12-10
maintain
Buy
Reason
Lake Street analyst Mark Smith lowered the firm's price target on American Outdoor Brands to $14 from $19 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company's Q2 results came in above the firm's expectations. Management guided Q3 revenue to decline about 8% year-over-year and expects FY26 sales down 13%-14% including last year's pull-forward, notes the analyst, who cites the "cautious guidance" for the firm's lowered target.
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