Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: the stock is technically extended (RSI very overbought) and sitting near resistance after a strong run.
Options activity is mixed-to-cautious (very high put volume vs calls) and insider selling has accelerated, which weakens the immediate risk/reward.
If you already own it, the trend is still bullish; if you don’t, the current price is a chase rather than an attractive entry.
Overbought: RSI_6 at 84.466 suggests the move is stretched and vulnerable to a near-term pullback.
Levels: Price ~65.23 is above R1 (64.347) and close to R2 (65.782), implying near-term upside may be limited unless it cleanly breaks and holds above ~65.78.
Near-term pattern odds (model): ~60% chance of a flat/slightly negative next day (-0.1%), but constructive 1-month bias (+9.27%).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio 0.23 is bullish (calls dominate outstanding positioning).
Today’s flow (Volume): Put/Call volume ratio 22.0 is sharply bearish/defensive (puts dominate today’s trading), despite low absolute volume (23 contracts).
Volatility: IV (30D) 52.86 vs HV 37.03 with IV percentile 77.2 indicates elevated option pricing and heightened expectation of movement.
Activity spike: Today’s volume is ~18.55x the 30-day average, suggesting sentiment/hedging demand picked up meaningfully today.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Momentum/market tone: News flow flags ANDE with A+ momentum grading (supports continued trend-following interest).
Macro/industry: Prior analyst commentary points to supportive ethanol fundamentals and potential benefit from 45Z-related tailwinds.
Upcoming event: Earnings on 2026-02-17 (after hours) can act as a catalyst if margins/outlook surprise to the upside.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
adds event risk if margins or guidance disappoint.
Profitability: Net income $20.1M, -26.41% YoY; EPS $0.59, -26.25% YoY (earnings contraction).
Margins: Gross margin 6.38, -5.62% YoY (margin pressure is the key negative trend).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
2025-12-10: BMO upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform and lifted PT to $65 (from $50), citing an achievable pathway to ~$7 EPS run-rate by 2028 and long growth runway.
2025-11-06: BMO maintained Market Perform but raised PT to $50 (from $45) after Q3 showed strong ethanol margins offsetting weaker grain merchandising/storage and higher expenses.
Wall Street pros: Clear longer-term upside narrative tied to ethanol/credits and improving fundamentals.
Wall Street cons: Recent quarter showed margin/earnings deterioration, and the stock is now priced near/above the most recent $65 target, limiting immediate upside at today’s level.
Wall Street analysts forecast ANDE stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ANDE is 65 USD with a low forecast of 65 USD and a high forecast of 65 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ANDE stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ANDE is 65 USD with a low forecast of 65 USD and a high forecast of 65 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 65.770
Low
65
Averages
65
High
65
Current: 65.770
Low
65
Averages
65
High
65
Benjamin Klieve
NULL -> Buy
initiated
$75
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Benjamin Klieve
Price Target
$75
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
initiated
NULL -> Buy
Reason
Benchmark analyst Benjamin Klieve last night initiated coverage of Andersons with a Buy rating and $75 price target. Growth momentum continues to build in its ethanol business, easing headwinds in its Agribusiness segment, notes the analyst, who adds that visibility into that growth ramp in 2026 and beyond is "exceptionally high." The stock remains at "a still compelling entry point" despite now trading at an all-time high, the analyst added.
Benchmark
NULL -> Buy
initiated
2026-02-04
New
Reason
Benchmark
Price Target
2026-02-04
New
initiated
NULL -> Buy
Reason
Benchmark initiated coverage of Andersons with a Buy rating.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for ANDE
