Should I Buy AMWD? AMWD 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy American Woodmark Corp (AMWD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

67.540

1 Day change

3.62%

52 Week Range

78.880

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: the stock is extended short-term (RSI6 ~72.7) and trading just under resistance (R1 ~64.46), which skews risk toward a near-term pullback.
Fundamentals recently deteriorated sharply (2026/Q2 revenue, EPS, margins down double-digits), and the only recent Street update cut the price target to $57—below the current pre-market price (~$64.32).
No Intellectia priority signals today to override the mixed setup.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure with moving averages stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive and expanding (0.0339), supporting continued momentum.
Overbought/extension risk: RSI_6 at 72.668 suggests the stock is stretched short-term and prone to a pullback/consolidation.
Levels: Pivot 61.249; immediate resistance R1 64.456 (price 64.32 is very close), next resistance R2 66.438; support S1 58.043.
Pattern-based drift: Similar-pattern stats imply modest near-term upside (next day +0.64%, next week +1.47%) but a negative 1-month bias (-4.85%), arguing against chasing strength.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Open interest is call-heavy (OI put/call 0.11: 67 puts vs 607 calls), which can read as longer-horizon bullish positioning.
Flow today: Put/call volume ratio is 3.0, but absolute volume is tiny (total volume 4), so the signal is noisy.
Volatility: IV percentile is very high (96.4) with 30D IV ~61.86 vs HV ~52.65, implying elevated event/risk pricing and expensive options.
Activity spike: Today’s volume vs 30D avg is high (18.18x) but off a small base; treat as a sentiment hint rather than a strong confirmation.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Clear technical uptrend (bullish MA stack + positive/expanding MACD).
- Call-heavy open interest suggests some market participants are positioned for upside.
- Upcoming earnings (2026-02-24 pre-market) can act as a catalyst if results/guidance stabilize versus the weak 2026/Q2 print.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

showed sharp fundamental deterioration: revenue -12.78% YoY, EPS -76.54% YoY, net income -77.98% YoY, gross margin down to 15.18%.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q2.
Revenue: $394.637M, down -12.78% YoY (top-line contraction).
Profitability: Net income $6.097M, down -77.98% YoY; EPS $0.42, down -76.54% YoY.
Margins: Gross margin 15.18, down -19.85% YoY (meaningful margin compression).
Takeaway: Growth and profitability trends are negative, making the current technical strength more vulnerable to reversal if demand/margins don’t stabilize by the next earnings.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Most recent action: 2025-11-26 Baird lowered price target to $57 (from $67) while maintaining Outperform, citing weaker Q2 results.
Trend: Price target revision down (negative directional change), even though the rating stayed positive.
Wall Street pro view: Outperform label implies belief in recovery/upside over time.
Wall Street con view: The cut target below the current price suggests limited upside near-term and reflects reduced confidence after weak operating results.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AMWD stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMWD is 60 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 65.180

Low

Averages

High

Current: 65.180

Low

Averages

High

Baird

Outperform -> NULL

downgrade

$67 -> $57

AI Analysis

2025-11-26

Reason

Baird

Price Target

$67 -> $57

AI Analysis

2025-11-26

downgrade

Outperform -> NULL

Reason

Baird lowered the firm's price target on American Woodmark to $57 from $67 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its estimates following weaker Q2 results which were not unexpected.

Loop Capital

Garik Shmois

Buy

downgrade

$75 -> $72

2025-05-30

Reason

Loop Capital

Garik Shmois

Price Target

$75 -> $72

2025-05-30

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Loop Capital analyst Garik Shmois lowered the firm's price target on American Woodmark (AMWD) to $72 from $75 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported a Q4 EBITDA that missed slightly as the cabinet market remains weak, though the results weren't "terribly surprising" given the MasterBrand (MBC) read throughs from a few weeks ago, along with general headlines around softer consumer sentiment, home improvement sentiment, and a volatile tariff environment, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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AMWD Should I Buy

AMWD Should I Buy

Should You Buy American Woodmark Corp (AMWD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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