Should I Buy AMTX? AMTX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Aemetis Inc (AMTX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

1.590

1 Day change

-0.63%

52 Week Range

3.660

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: the setup lacks a proprietary buy signal and fundamentals remain weak.
Short-term technicals are improving (MACD positive), but price is still below nearby resistance (R1 ~1.826) and the move is not confirmed.
Options positioning is very call-heavy (bullish), yet implied volatility is extremely elevated, implying expensive risk and potential for sharp reversals.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Pre-market price: 1.76 (near pivot 1.636; between support S1 1.445 and resistance R1 1.826).
Momentum: MACD histogram 0.0158 above 0 and expanding → bullish momentum building.
RSI(6): 59.787 → neutral-to-slightly bullish, not overbought.
Moving averages: converging → trend is transitioning; not a clean uptrend yet.
Key levels:
- Support: 1.636 (pivot), then 1.445 (S1), 1.327 (S2)
- Resistance: 1.826 (R1), then 1.944 (R2)
Pattern-based odds provided: ~50% chance of -0.68% next day, but positive bias on 1-week/1-month horizons (+9.61% / +14.09%) → choppy near-term, better if a breakout confirms.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: strongly bullish skew (puts are light vs calls):
- Put/Call OI ratio: 0.13 (very call-dominant)
- Put/Call volume ratio: 0.36 (calls leading today)
Activity: todays volume 763; today vs 30d avg volume 121.88% → elevated interest.
Positioning depth: call OI 55,997 vs put OI 7,104 → aggressive upside positioning.
Volatility: implied vol (30d) 136.14 vs historical vol 103.21; IV percentile 74 → options are expensive and pricing in big moves (higher whipsaw risk).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

if buyers follow through.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No Intellectia buy signal today (no AI Stock Picker pre-market buy; no SwingMax entry) → lacks a high-conviction timing trigger.
- Extremely high IV (136%+) implies large swings and can punish late entries.
- Fundamentals show deteriorating revenue and very weak margins (see financials), limiting confidence in sustained upside.
- No recent news catalysts to explain/drive a durable re-rating in the immediate term.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 59.19M, down -27.32% YoY → clear top-line contraction.
Net income: -23.747M (still a loss), improved 32.41% YoY → losses narrowing, but still meaningfully negative.
EPS: -0.37, down -2.63% YoY → per-share profitability not improving.
Gross margin: -1.89, down -169.23% YoY → deeply negative margin profile is a major red flag for near-term quality of earnings.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided in the dataset, so the recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade and PT revision picture cannot be verified here.
Practical takeaway from available data: the “pro” case is mainly technical/positioning-driven (momentum + call skew), while the “con” case is fundamentals-driven (shrinking revenue, deeply negative gross margin, ongoing losses).

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AMTX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMTX is 20 USD with a low forecast of 20 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 1.600

Low

Averages

High

Current: 1.600

Low

Averages

High

UBS

Manav Gupta

maintain

AI Analysis

2025-06-30

Reason

UBS

Manav Gupta

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-06-30

maintain

Reason

UBS analyst Manav Gupta raised the firm's price target on Aemetis to $3 from $2.20 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Aemetis announced that the California Air Resources Board has approved provisional pathways under the Low Carbon Fuel Standard for seven dairy digesters built and operated by Aemetis Biogas, which are effective as of January 1, 2025, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Ascendiant

Edward Woo

Buy

maintain

$19 -> $20

2025-06-06

Reason

Ascendiant

Edward Woo

Price Target

$19 -> $20

2025-06-06

maintain

Buy

Reason

Ascendiant analyst Edward Woo raised the firm's price target on Aemetis to $20 from $19 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported weaker Q1 revenue but a positive outlook for 2025, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says Aemetis' large product potential for renewable fuels makes the stock attractive.

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AMTX Should I Buy

AMTX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Aemetis Inc (AMTX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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