Should I Buy AMSC? AMSC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy American Superconductor Corp (AMSC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

28.170

1 Day change

8.55%

52 Week Range

70.490

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: trend is still bearish (SMA200 > SMA20 > SMA5) and momentum is weakening (MACD histogram negative and expanding).
Price (~30.1 pre-market) is below the key pivot (31.587); upside is less favorable until it reclaims ~31.6 and holds.
Options positioning is bullish (very low put/call ratios), but there is no Intellectia “must-buy” trigger today (no AI Stock Picker / no SwingMax), so the tape should be respected.
Near-term catalyst risk is rising with earnings (QDEC 2025 / FY2025 Q3 on 2026-02-11 after hours); combined with heavy insider selling recently, this argues against chasing.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish structure (SMA200 > SMA20 > SMA5) indicates the broader downtrend remains intact.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0853 and negatively expanding = bearish momentum increasing.
RSI(6): 32.7 (near oversold) suggests selling pressure may be late-stage, but not yet a confirmed reversal.
Key levels: Support S1 ~29.391 then S2 ~28.034; Resistance pivot ~31.587 then R1 ~33.784.
Tactical read: At ~30.1, the stock is closer to support than resistance, but still below pivot—technically this is more “wait for confirmation” than “buy now.”
Pattern odds (similar candlesticks): ~80% chance of -1.81% next day; modest +1.57% next week, +0.93% next month → near-term chop/down bias.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Put/call ratios are very low (OI PCR 0.25; volume PCR 0.22) → options market skew is bullish/risk-on.
Positioning: Call OI 31,696 vs Put OI 7,990 shows notable call dominance.
Volatility: 30D IV 84.82 vs HV 161 (IV below realized); IV percentile 62 suggests options are not “cheap,” but not extreme.
Activity: Today volume 1,623 vs 30D avg (77%) = not a high-conviction volume surge; open interest today vs avg 127% suggests positioning is built but not necessarily today’s flow-driven.
Takeaway: Options lean bullish, but flow is not screaming urgency; without a price reclaim of the pivot, the bullish options skew alone isn’t enough to justify an impatient buy.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Upcoming earnings and guidance event (FY2025 Q3 results on 2026-02-11 after hours; call on 2026-02-05 for prior release info) can re-rate the stock if margins/order commentary improves.
- Hedge funds are accumulating (buying amount +106% last quarter) → supportive demand from sophisticated holders.
- Business narrative tailwinds: grid resiliency / smart energy solutions focus; potential data center project revenues mentioned previously by analysts.
- Gross margin improvement trend (latest quarter) supports longer-term operating leverage if growth continues.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insiders are selling aggressively (selling amount +873% last month) → near-term confidence signal is weak.
- Technical backdrop is bearish (downtrend + weakening MACD), increasing the probability of further downside tests (29.4 / 28.0).
- Earnings proximity increases gap risk; for an impatient entry this is a poor setup without a clear technical reversal.
- Prior commentary points to “mixed” results and moderated expectations in some segments (per analyst notes), which can cap near-term multiple expansion.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2026/Q2.
Revenue: $65.862M, +20.91% YoY (strong top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income $4.75M, -2.80% YoY; EPS $0.11, -15.38% YoY → growth is not yet translating to higher EPS.
Margins: Gross margin 30.52%, +9.51% YoY (clear operational improvement), but bottom-line leverage remains inconsistent.
Overall: Fundamentals show improving gross profitability with solid revenue growth, but EPS contraction limits “buy right now” urgency into a bearish tape.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent Street trend (latest items): generally constructive with Buy bias, but with some near-term trimming.
Clear Street: upgraded to Buy (2025-11-18) with $50 PT; later raised PT to $52 (2025-12-11) citing Comtrafo acquisition strategic benefits (Latin America utility/grid exposure), though cross-sell benefits may take 12–24 months.
Roth Capital: maintained Buy but cut PT to $55 from $63 (2025-11-06) on slightly weaker topline/guidance despite EPS beat.
Wall Street pros: multi-year drivers (grid modernization, margin expansion, acquisitions) and PTs far above current price (~30).
Wall Street cons: execution/timing risk (moderated grid expectations, wind timing), and near-term results/guidance variability that can keep the stock range-bound.
Politicians/congress: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AMSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMSC is 58.5 USD with a low forecast of 52 USD and a high forecast of 67 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 25.950

Low

Averages

58.5

High

Current: 25.950

Low

Averages

58.5

High

Clear Street

Buy

maintain

$50 -> $52

AI Analysis

2025-12-11

Reason

Clear Street

Price Target

$50 -> $52

AI Analysis

2025-12-11

maintain

Buy

Reason

Clear Street raised the firm's price target on AMSC to $52 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's acquisition of Comtrafo, a privately-held company based in Brazil, which makes and sells transformers for utility-scale power and distribution for utility and industrial customers, helps AMSC access more products and solutions for utilities customers to power the grid in Brazil and Latin America, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Clear Street adds that it expects AMSC to cross-sale some of its own offerings into Brazil late 2026 or early 2027, though it also anticipates it might take over 12-24 months to cross-sell from Brazil into the U.S.

Clear Street

Tim Moore

Hold

Buy

upgrade

$50

2025-11-18

Reason

Clear Street

Tim Moore

Price Target

$50

2025-11-18

upgrade

Hold

Buy

Reason

Clear Street analyst Tim Moore upgraded AMSC to Buy from Hold with a $50 price target. The stock's pullback has created a more appealing entry point, supported by clearer medium-term drivers for EBITDA margin expansion, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm is trimming its revenue forecasts 2%-6% over the next three fiscal years due to moderated Grid expectations and timing of Wind sales, but EBITDA estimates fall only 1%-3% as improved SG&A leverage is expected to offset much of the topline adjustment, Clear Street says.

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AMSC Should I Buy

AMSC Should I Buy

Should You Buy American Superconductor Corp (AMSC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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