Should I Buy AMPX? AMPX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Amprius Technologies Inc (AMPX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

12.240

1 Day change

15.69%

52 Week Range

16.030

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: AMPX just surged (~+11.6% regular session; +5.9% pre-market) and is near short-term resistance, while short-horizon pattern stats skew slightly negative over the next week/month.
Momentum is bullish, but overextended (RSI-6 ~77) and insiders have been net sellers recently—this combination tends to produce choppy pullbacks rather than clean continuation.
Options positioning is aggressively bullish (very low put/call), and news/analysts are strong, but the risk/reward at ~$14.67 is less attractive than on a dip toward the pivot/support zone.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) confirming an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.385 and expanding → upside momentum is strengthening.
Overbought/extension: RSI_6 ~77 → stretched short-term; higher odds of a pause/pullback than a low-risk chase.
Levels:
- Pivot support: 12.593 (key “must-hold” area for the uptrend)
- Resistance: R1 14.202 already exceeded; next is R2 15.195 (price 14.67 is closer to resistance than support).
Statistical analogs (pattern-based): ~30% chance to -2.97% next week and -2.96% next month → not ideal timing for an impatient buy after a spike.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Bullish skew (Open Interest P/C 0.26; Volume P/C 0.17) → calls dominate puts.
Activity: Total volume 5,823 with volume vs 30D avg 72% (not a blow-off volume day).
Positioning: Call OI 145,291 vs Put OI 37,252 (call-heavy).
Volatility: Very high (30D IV ~118.9%; HV ~128.9%) → market expects large swings; chasing here means paying up for volatility.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Manufacturing partnership with Nanotech Energy to expand domestic production; targets >2.0 GWh capacity and strengthens U.S. supply chain.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insiders are selling, with selling amount up ~102.9% over the last month (near-term sentiment/overhang risk).
- Stock is short-term overbought/extended after a sharp move; entry risk increases near R2 ~15.195.
- Execution risk remains: scaling manufacturing and converting partnerships into sustained profitability.
- No supportive “must-buy-now” proprietary timing signal today (no AI Stock Picker / SwingMax entry).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3
Growth: Revenue $21.426M, +172.77% YoY (strong top-line acceleration).
Profitability: Net income - $3.892M (still loss-making; deterioration indicated by the provided YoY drop figure).
EPS: -0.03, worse YoY (provided: -70% YoY).
Margin: Gross margin 15.49 with a large YoY decline (provided: -123.85% YoY) → growth is coming with meaningful margin pressure; profitability trend is not yet stable.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: More bullish coverage and higher targets.
- 2026-01-29: Needham initiated Buy, PT $20 (UAS “supercycle”, silicon-anode advantage).
- 2026-01-08: Northland reiterated Outperform, PT $20; named AMPX top idea for FY26.
- 2025-11-07: Multiple raises after Q3 beat: Cantor Overweight PT to $16 (from $12); B. Riley Buy PT to $16 (from $11); Roth Buy PT to $16 (from $14).
Wall Street pros: differentiated silicon-anode tech, drone/defense demand tailwinds, scaling pathway/capacity expansion.
Wall Street cons: margins and earnings quality still weak; execution risk in commercial scale-up.
Politicians/congress: No recent congress trading data available (last 90 days).

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AMPX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMPX is 17.17 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

7 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 10.580

Low

Averages

17.17

High

Current: 10.580

Low

Averages

17.17

High

Needham

initiated

$20

AI Analysis

2026-01-29

Reason

Needham

Price Target

$20

AI Analysis

2026-01-29

initiated

Reason

Needham initiated coverage of Amprius Technologies with a Buy rating and $20 price target. The firm believes the "global, multi-year" unmanned aerial systems "supercycle" is in the "early innings." Amprius "stands out" as a key pure-play unmanned aerial systems battery supplier, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Needham says the company is "supercharging this cycle" by offering the "holy grail" in silicon-anode batteries that enable drones to fly farther and stay airborne longer.

Northland

Outperform

maintain

$20

2026-01-08

Reason

Northland

Price Target

$20

2026-01-08

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Northland is maintaining an Outperform rating and $20 price target on Amprius Technologies while naming it the analyst's top investment idea for FY26. The company is well positioned to benefit from the secular growth in drones and management is positioning Amprius to capture meaningful market share, the analyst tells investors.

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AMPX Should I Buy

AMPX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Amprius Technologies Inc (AMPX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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