Not a good buy right now: trend is bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and momentum is still deteriorating (MACD histogram negative and expanding).
Price (5.81) is sitting at/just below near-term support (S1 ~5.816; S2 ~5.78). With an impatient timeframe, the setup does not favor immediate upside follow-through.
Options positioning is skewed defensive/bearish (very high put/call open interest), which typically does not support aggressive dip-buying.
No supportive near-term catalyst from news; next notable event is earnings (2026-02-09 after hours), which is an event risk rather than a clear bullish driver.
Trend: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked down (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), consistent with an ongoing downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0156 below zero and negatively expanding → selling pressure is increasing, not stabilizing.
RSI: RSI_6 at 32.684 (near oversold/low end of neutral) suggests the stock is weak; it can bounce, but there is no confirmed reversal signal here.
Levels: Pivot 5.876 (needs reclaim for bullish shift). Immediate support 5.816 then 5.78; resistance 5.935 then 5.971.
Pattern-based outlook (similar candlesticks): modest downside bias near-term (next week -1.73%) with potential rebound over a month (+5.89%), but that favors patience rather than an “buy now” impulse entry.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Open interest: Calls 4,109 vs Puts 16,886 (Put/Call OI = 4.11) → strongly bearish/hedged positioning.
Volume: 0 call volume and 0 put volume reported today → sentiment read is based on positioning (OI), not fresh trading.
Volatility: 30D IV ~54.21 vs historical vol ~104.15; IV percentile ~60.8 (elevated vs its own history, but not extreme).
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Earnings on 2026-02-09 (after hours) could act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary surprise positively.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
signals defensive/bearish market stance.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 35.132M, down -0.55% YoY (flat-to-down top-line).
Net income: 286.713M, down -1407.04% YoY; EPS 2.06, down -1387.50% YoY → indicates a major YoY swing (likely driven by prior-period non-recurring items), not a stable improvement trend.
Gross margin: 5.74, down -154.72% YoY → profitability metrics deteriorated materially versus last year.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided, so a Wall Street consensus shift cannot be confirmed from the dataset.
Practical “pros vs cons” read from available data: Pros—possible support-zone bounce and an upcoming earnings catalyst. Cons—bearish trend/momentum, weak recent fundamentals vs YoY, and defensive options positioning.
Wall Street analysts forecast AIV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AIV is 10 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AIV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AIV is 10 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 5.930
Low
10
Averages
10
High
10
Current: 5.930
Low
10
Averages
10
High
10
Wolfe Research
Peer Perform
to
Outperform
upgrade
$10
AI Analysis
2025-11-03
Reason
Wolfe Research
Price Target
$10
AI Analysis
2025-11-03
upgrade
Peer Perform
to
Outperform
Reason
Wolfe Research upgraded Aimco to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $10 price target.
Wolfe Research
Peer Perform
to
Outperform
upgrade
$10
2025-08-04
Reason
Wolfe Research
Price Target
$10
2025-08-04
upgrade
Peer Perform
to
Outperform
Reason
Wolfe Research upgraded Aimco to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $10 price target, implying a year-end total return of 19%. The firm sees an attractive entry point at current shared levels with Aimco's asset sale catalysts nearing. The company currently has $852M book value of land, construction in progress, and development properties in lease-up, or about 67% of today's equity value, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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