Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price is still in a confirmed downtrend and there are no Intellectia entry signals to justify jumping in pre-market.
Best near-term setup is only a speculative oversold bounce attempt: price (12.57) is sitting just above key support S1 (12.504); if support breaks, downside opens toward S2 (10.809).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: No signal on given stock today. (AI Stock Picker: no signal; SwingMax: no recent signal)
Options positioning looks bullish-leaning (low put/call ratios), but flow is not strong enough to override the bearish trend.
Overall: wait/hold rather than buy today.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating an established downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.695) but contracting, suggesting bearish momentum is easing (possible basing), not yet reversing.
RSI: RSI_6 at ~21 indicates heavy short-term oversold conditions (bounce potential), but oversold alone is not a buy trigger without trend confirmation.
Levels: Price 12.57 is just above S1 (12.504). A clean hold could bounce toward Pivot (15.247). A breakdown risks a move toward S2 (10.809). Resistance levels above: Pivot 15.247 then R1 17.989.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/Call ratios are very low (OI PCR 0.24; Volume PCR 0.39), which is typically bullish (call-skewed positioning).
Volatility: IV is extremely high (30D IV ~120% vs HV ~126.6%), implying the market expects large swings; directional conviction should ideally be confirmed by price action.
Activity: Today’s options volume (1104) is light versus the 5D/10D averages (1530 / 1266), suggesting limited fresh flow today despite high open interest.
Takeaway: Options skew is supportive, but not decisive—especially while price remains below key moving averages.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
3
Positive Catalysts
increases odds of a short-term bounce.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Trend remains decisively bearish (bearish MA stack), making “buy now” riskier for an impatient entry.
No near-term news catalysts in the past week to trigger a momentum reversal.
Financial quality concerns: profitability and margins deteriorated sharply in the latest reported quarter.
Quant pattern outlook provided: modest near-term upside odds but negative bias over the next month (-1.21% expectation).
No supportive accumulation signal: hedge funds and insiders show neutral activity; no notable congressional trading data.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $3.579M, +59.07% YoY (strong top-line growth off a small base).
Net income: reported as 107.495M with -387.45% YoY change (directionally indicates a major deterioration versus prior year).
Gross margin: 12.01%, sharply lower YoY (margin compression is a clear negative trend).
Takeaway: Growth is improving, but profitability/margins are trending the wrong way—harder for the stock to sustain rallies without a catalyst.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Most recent update (2025-11-07): Morgan Stanley (Joseph Moore) Equal Weight, price target cut to $18.55 from $19.
Trend: Slightly less bullish on target (minor reduction), but maintains a neutral stance rather than upgrading.
Wall Street pros: Sees opportunity pipeline and existing OEM engagement (Daimler trucking) as supportive.
Wall Street cons: Target cut suggests tempered confidence; combined with weak profitability/margins, it argues against chasing shares immediately.
Notable influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; no flagged politician activity in provided data.
Wall Street analysts forecast AEVA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AEVA is 23.89 USD with a low forecast of 18.55 USD and a high forecast of 33 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AEVA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AEVA is 23.89 USD with a low forecast of 18.55 USD and a high forecast of 33 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 11.350
Low
18.55
Averages
23.89
High
33
Current: 11.350
Low
18.55
Averages
23.89
High
33
Morgan Stanley
Joseph Moore
Equal Weight
downgrade
$19
AI Analysis
2025-11-07
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Joseph Moore
Price Target
$19
AI Analysis
2025-11-07
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore lowered the firm's price target on Aeva to $18.55 from $19 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The quarter was largely previewed, with Aeva communicating optimism both about top-of-funnel opportunities, as well as on existing engagements with Daimler trucking, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Roth Capital
Buy
downgrade
$25 -> $20
2025-11-06
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$25 -> $20
2025-11-06
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital lowered the firm's price target on Aeva to $20 from $25 but keeps a Buy rating on the shares after its Q3 earnings miss. The company noted customer progress on multiple fronts reflecting an increasingly diverse opportunity for ramp over the next several quarters, the analyst tells investors in a research note. With an additional funding opportunity, Aeva is well positioned to achieve vehicle lidar program ramp starts in the late-2026/2027 timeframe, the firm added.
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