Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: momentum is still bearish (MACD histogram negative and worsening) and price is trading below the key pivot (13.557).
Price is sitting right on first support (~12.10). If that level breaks, the next notable support is ~11.20, creating near-term downside risk.
Options are mixed (bullish longer-positioning via open interest, but bearish near-term flow via volume put/call), and implied volatility is extremely elevated—this usually signals unstable pricing rather than a clean entry.
Trend/momentum: MACD histogram = -0.202 and negatively expanding → bearish momentum is strengthening.
RSI_6 = 28.572 → near oversold territory, which can enable short bounces, but it’s not a confirmed trend reversal signal.
Moving averages: converging → consolidation/indecision, not a confirmed uptrend.
Levels: Pivot 13.557 (price below = bearish bias). Support S1 12.099 is being tested; S2 11.198 is the next downside level if S1 fails. Resistance starts at R1 15.016.
Short-term pattern odds provided: ~-1.98% next week bias, suggesting downside drift is more likely than an immediate sustained breakout.
Implied vol (30d) = 115.43 vs historical vol = 71.36; IV percentile = 83.96 → options are pricing very large moves; sentiment is nervous/uncertain.
Today’s option volume (217) is far below 5–10D averages (~528–545) → no strong “capitulation”/confirmation from volume despite elevated IV.
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
Event-driven catalyst: selection of Chemelot Industrial Park (Netherlands) for the first industrial-scale facility is a tangible step toward commercialization.
Planned initial capacity of 10,000 tonnes/year could re-rate sentiment if timelines, funding, and commissioning milestones are met.
Q2 revenue grew +221.70% YoY (from a small base), reinforcing the “scaling up” narrative.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Very high implied volatility signals unstable expectations and can coincide with sharp drawdowns.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2026/Q2.
Revenue: 122,706 (up 221.70% YoY) → growth is strong in percentage terms but remains very small in absolute dollars.
Net income: -6,461,987 (loss widened; reported as up 107.47% YoY in magnitude) → scaling is costing significantly more than current revenue supports.
EPS: -0.21 (reported improvement YoY) → still loss-making.
Gross margin: 100 (likely reflects accounting effects and low revenue base; not yet a stable indicator of mature unit economics).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade trend cannot be confirmed.
Practical “pros vs cons” view based on available info: Pros = commercialization milestone (Chemelot site) and strong YoY revenue growth; Cons = significant ongoing losses, early-stage financial scale, and currently bearish technical momentum.
Political/influential trading: No recent congress trading data available; insiders show no significant recent trend.
Wall Street analysts forecast ADUR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADUR is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast ADUR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADUR is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 10.430
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 10.430
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
H.C. Wainwright
Amit Dayal
Buy
initiated
$22
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
Reason
H.C. Wainwright
Amit Dayal
Price Target
$22
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
initiated
Buy
Reason
H.C. Wainwright analyst Amit Dayal initiated coverage of Aduro Clean Tech with a Buy rating and $22 price target. Aduro is in the process of commercializing its recycling technology that breaks down waste materials into products like fuels and chemicals, instead of burning or landfilling them, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says the company is "disrupting" traditional pyrolysis with its hydrochemolytic technology. The shares representsa "play on the circular economy and heavy oil upgrading sectors," contends H.C. Wainwright.
