Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is sitting near the pivot (~72.14) while the broader trend is still bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), implying limited immediate upside unless it reclaims resistance.
Near-term price odds lean soft: pattern-based estimate suggests ~-0.92% over the next week vs ~+2.07% over the next month, which is not ideal for an immediate buy.
Earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-10 after hours is the next clear catalyst; without a bullish technical turn, risk/reward today looks mediocre.
Influential/congress trading check: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show neutral activity (no notable accumulation signal).
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), suggesting the path of least resistance remains sideways-to-down until proven otherwise.
Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.00749 (below zero) but negatively contracting, implying downside momentum is fading—yet not flipped bullish.
RSI(6) = 52.8 (neutral): no oversold condition to justify an “urgent dip-buy.”
Key levels:
Pivot: 72.144 (current price ~72.2 is essentially on it—indecision zone)
Support: 71.066 (S1), then 70.401 (S2)
Resistance: 73.221 (R1), then 73.886 (R2)
Practical read: a cleaner buy setup would be either (1) a breakout/close above ~73.22 (trend improving) or (2) a pullback closer to ~71.07 with stabilization; at 72.2 it’s in the middle.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/sentiment split:
Open interest put/call = 1.14: slightly more puts outstanding (mildly defensive/hedged positioning).
Volatility: IV (30d) ~22.45 vs historical vol ~11.7; IV percentile 76.4 suggests options are relatively expensive (market pricing more uncertainty into the next month).
Activity: today’s volume (12) is below the 5D/10D averages, so the volume skew is not a high-conviction options “rush.”
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
12
Positive Catalysts
Next catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-10 after hours (Street EPS est. ~1.07), which can re-rate the stock if guidance/FFO outlook surprises positively.
Fundamentals trend supportive: latest reported quarter showed strong YoY growth in revenue, net income, and EPS.
Momentum stabilization sign: MACD downside pressure is weakening (histogram negative but contracting).
Net income: 50,146,000 (up 18.26% YoY) — profitability growing in step with revenue.
EPS: 0.45 (up 7.14% YoY) — positive growth, but slower than revenue/net income (suggests share count/financing mix or other items dampening per-share growth).
Recent trend: price targets have been mostly trimmed modestly (RBC 80→79, Mizuho 77→75, Evercore 85→83) with one small raise (Barclays 77→78). Net effect: cautious optimism, but less enthusiasm than before.
Wall Street “pros” view: high-quality net lease REIT with steady operating conditions; still gets multiple Outperform/Overweight ratings.
Wall Street “cons” view: upside appears more incremental (targets drifting down), and near-term total return may be capped without a clearer catalyst or improved rate/backdrop.
Wall Street analysts forecast ADC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADC is 81.32 USD with a low forecast of 75 USD and a high forecast of 90 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ADC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADC is 81.32 USD with a low forecast of 75 USD and a high forecast of 90 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 76.130
Low
75
Averages
81.32
High
90
Current: 76.130
Low
75
Averages
81.32
High
90
RBC Capital
Outperform
maintain
$80 -> $79
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$80 -> $79
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital lowered the firm's price target on Agree Realty to $79 from $80 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Agree Realty's acquisition total for Q4 was slightly below the firm's expectations, but still in line with guidance, while cap rates were in line, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Mizuho
Neutral
downgrade
$77 -> $75
2025-12-17
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$77 -> $75
2025-12-17
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Mizuho lowered the firm's price target on Agree Realty to $75 from $77 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
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