Not a good buy right now: trend is still bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and price is just barely holding support (~7.12).
Options sentiment is bullish (very low put/call ratios), but that looks more like speculative call positioning than confirmation of a trend reversal.
With no Intellectia AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal today/recently, there’s no “must-buy-now” trigger for an impatient entry.
Best stance right now: HOLD/avoid new buying until price reclaims the pivot (~7.98) and momentum improves; otherwise downside risk toward ~6.59 remains elevated.
Technical Analysis
Price/levels: Close ~7.16, sitting just above S1 support 7.118; next support S2 6.587. Overhead pivot resistance at 7.977, then R1 8.837.
MACD: Histogram -0.18 (below zero) but contracting negatively → bearish momentum is slowing, not yet reversing.
RSI(6): ~27.3 (typically oversold) → bounce potential exists, but oversold alone is not a reliable “buy now” signal without confirmation.
Pattern-based forward odds (model): modest edge near-term (+0.07% next day, +0.69% next week) but negative over the next month (-2.47%) → rallies may be sellable rather than trend-changing.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/sentiment: Put-call ratios are very low (calls dominate) → bullish/speculative sentiment.
Activity: Today’s volume 68k, about ~59% of avg 30D volume (not a volume spike). Open interest is large (1.06M total) and slightly elevated vs avg (~110.9%).
Volatility: 30D IV ~88.8% vs HV ~75.0% → options are pricing in big moves; IV percentile ~51.6 (mid-range), so not extremely stretched but still expensive in absolute terms.
Read-through: Options market leans bullish, but without a price trend reversal this can reflect lottery-ticket call buying rather than informed accumulation.
Technical Summary
Sell
8
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
Sector/competitive backdrop: News notes Boeing’s Wisk delays (commercial launch pushed out to 2030+) which can improve relative positioning for Archer in the eVTOL race.
Long-term narrative support: Articles highlight potential revenue ramp projections into 2028–2029 (market optimism around eVTOL TAM).
Upcoming catalyst: Earnings on 2026-03-05 (after hours) can reset expectations if guidance/updates are favorable.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
quickly.
can introduce downside if cash burn/timelines disappoint.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 0 (no operating revenue yet).
Net income: -$129.9M, improved ~12.66% YoY (loss narrowed), but still deeply negative.
EPS: -0.20, down ~31.03% YoY (worse per-share results), consistent with a pre-revenue, capital-intensive buildout phase.
Growth takeaway: Small improvement in net loss YoY, but no revenue traction yet; the equity raise discussed by analysts underscores ongoing funding needs.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent changes skew cautious-to-constructive:
Canaccord (Buy): PT cut to $12 from $13 (2025-11-11) on weaker EBITDA trajectory/dilution + airport acquisition; later raised to $13 from $12 (2025-11-21) citing a new potential revenue stream (dual-use powertrain tech).
JPMorgan (Neutral): PT lowered to $8 from $10 (2025-11-07) after Q3.
Wall Street pros: Buys highlight strategic model shift/new revenue stream potential and long-run eVTOL upside.
Wall Street cons: Neutral stance and PT cuts reflect execution risk, ongoing losses, and dilution/capital intensity.
Influential/political trading: No recent Congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show Neutral trend (no notable recent directional activity).
Wall Street analysts forecast ACHR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACHR is 12.4 USD with a low forecast of 8 USD and a high forecast of 18 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ACHR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACHR is 12.4 USD with a low forecast of 8 USD and a high forecast of 18 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 6.490
Low
8
Averages
12.4
High
18
Current: 6.490
Low
8
Averages
12.4
High
18
Canaccord
Buy
maintain
$12 -> $13
AI Analysis
2025-11-21
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$12 -> $13
AI Analysis
2025-11-21
maintain
Buy
Reason
Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Archer Aviation to $13 from $12 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted the company announcement of making its proprietary, dual-use battery-electric powertrain technology available to a third party, signalling a material shift in the company's operating model that introduces a new revenue stream for the business. Omen is a Group 3 hover-to- cruise autonomous air vehicle being co-developed by Anduril and EDGE Group in the UAE and powered by Anduril's Lattice mission AI software.
Canaccord
Austin Moeller
Buy
downgrade
$13 -> $12
2025-11-11
Reason
Canaccord
Austin Moeller
Price Target
$13 -> $12
2025-11-11
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Canaccord analyst Austin Moeller lowered the firm's price target on Archer Aviation to $12 from $13 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted their shareholder letter which disclosed adjusted EBITDA came in at the low end of management's previous guidance for Q3 and reflects a roughly 24% year-over-year widening of the bottom line. They also anounced the company will acquire Hawthorne Airport in the LA metro area for $126M and the launching of a $650M equity raise which will partly fund the airport purchase and reddevelopment at the site.
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