Should I Buy ACDC? ACDC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy ProFrac Holding Corp (ACDC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

5.370

1 Day change

8.48%

52 Week Range

10.700

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: near-term pattern-based outlook skews bearish (model suggests -3.83% next week, -27.31% next month).
Technicals are improving but not decisive; price is close to resistance (R1 ~5.46) with momentum starting to cool.
Fundamentals show sharp revenue contraction and negative margins (2025/Q3), limiting the case for a sustained rally without a new catalyst.
Options positioning is relatively bullish (calls > puts), but overall options activity is very light—weak confirmation.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0527) but “positively contracting,” implying upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI: RSI(6) at 68.14 is near the upper end of neutral/approaching overbought—risk of short-term pullback if it fails to break resistance.
Moving averages: Converging MAs indicate consolidation (no strong trend confirmation).
Key levels: Pivot 5.134 is the near-term line in the sand; resistance at R1 5.463 then R2 5.666. Support at S1 4.806 then S2 4.603.
Practical read: This looks like a “stall zone” under resistance; unless it cleanly reclaims and holds above ~5.46, odds favor chop-to-down.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put-call ratios are low (OI PCR 0.41; Volume PCR 0.67) → relatively bullish/call-leaning sentiment.
Activity: Total options volume is extremely low (todays_volume 5 vs 30D average volumes in the hundreds), so sentiment signal is not strongly reliable.
Volatility: IV is elevated (30D IV ~89.6%, HV ~118.3%; IV percentile ~65.6), implying the market is pricing big moves, but direction is unclear.
Open interest: Calls OI (9631) materially exceeds puts OI (3927), supportive—yet not enough on its own to override weak fundamentals/near-term trend risks.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Options market skew is call-heavy (bullish tilt), which can help support squeezes/bounces if price breaks above 5.46 (R1).
- MACD remains above zero, so the tape is not outright bearish; a break-and-hold above R1 could open room toward ~5.67 (R2).
- No negative news flow in the past week (no fresh headline pressure).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Pattern-based forward probabilities are unfavorable (expected weakness over 1-week and 1-month horizons).
- Momentum is losing steam (MACD contracting) while RSI is already elevated—often a setup for pullbacks if resistance holds.
- No near-term event-driven catalyst from news to change narrative.
- Wall Street stance is negative (Underweight) with a price target below the current price, reinforcing downside framing.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 403.1M, down -29.93% YoY (clear top-line contraction).
Earnings: Net income improved (less negative) to -102.2M; EPS improved to -0.60 (loss narrowing), but still loss-making.
Margins: Gross margin deteriorated to -5.95 (negative), signaling operational stress; this is a major fundamental headwind for a sustained upside trend.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Morgan Stanley assumed/maintained an Underweight view; price target lifted slightly (3.50 → 4.00) but still below the current price (~5.34).
Wall Street pros view (Pros): modest target raise suggests the “worst-case” may be easing at the margin.
Wall Street cons view (Cons): Underweight rating and sub-market price target imply the stock is viewed as overvalued versus expected fundamentals/sector backdrop.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds/insiders show no significant recent trend (neutral).

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ACDC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACDC is 3.38 USD with a low forecast of 2 USD and a high forecast of 5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

2 Hold

2 Sell

Moderate Sell

Current: 4.950

Low

Averages

3.38

High

Current: 4.950

Low

Averages

3.38

High

Morgan Stanley

Underweight

maintain

AI Analysis

2026-01-21

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

AI Analysis

2026-01-21

maintain

Underweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on ProFrac Holding to $4 from $3.50 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. Heading into Q4 results, the firm's forecasts are roughly in-line with consensus for its energy services and equipment coverage overall on Q4 and 2026 EBITDA estimates, the analyst tells investors in a preview for the group.

Morgan Stanley

Underweight

initiated

$3.50

2025-12-15

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$3.50

2025-12-15

initiated

Underweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley assumed coverage of ProFrac Holding with an Underweight rating and $3.50 price target. Energy Services stocks have rallied off the lows, pushing valuations higher, but against an uncertain oil backdrop the firm expects shorter cycle North American onshore spending to remain constrained and views it as "too early to step in," the analyst tells investors while assuming coverage of North America Energy Services & Equipment.

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for ACDC

Unlock Now

ACDC Should I Buy

ACDC Should I Buy

Should You Buy ProFrac Holding Corp (ACDC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch