Not a good buy right now: price is below the key pivot (4.471) with bearish MACD momentum, suggesting upside follow-through is not confirmed.
Options positioning is moderately bullish (low put/call open interest ratio), but elevated implied volatility implies the market is pricing large swings rather than a clean uptrend.
Fundamentals show strong revenue growth but worsening losses and deeply negative gross margin, which keeps near-term downside risk elevated.
No supportive Intellectia signals today (AI Stock Picker / SwingMax), so there’s no system-driven “strong buy” trigger.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0978) and still below zero (bearish), though the negative momentum is contracting (selling pressure easing, not reversing yet).
RSI: RSI(6) at 46.6 is neutral—no oversold bounce signal.
Moving averages: Converging MAs indicate consolidation rather than a confirmed uptrend.
Levels to watch: Current ~4.245 is below Pivot 4.471 (bearish tilt). Near-term support S1=4.007 (break risks S2=3.72). Resistance R1=4.935 then R2=5.222.
Pattern-based projection: Similar-pattern stats suggest slight positive bias over 1 month (+1.9%), but near-term is flat-to-slightly negative (next day/week marginally down), which is not ideal for an impatient entry.
Sentiment: Open interest put/call of 0.36 is bullish-leaning (calls dominate positioning), while volume put/call of 0.87 is closer to neutral (today’s flow not extremely call-skewed).
Activity: Today’s options volume (10,692) is above recent averages (today vs 30D avg volume ~54.8% higher), showing elevated attention.
Volatility: Very high historical vol (248%) and high 30D IV (141.6%); IV percentile 60 suggests options are pricey vs the past year’s range—often a sign of uncertainty and event-risk pricing rather than steady bullish conviction.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Analyst support: Alliance Global reiterated Buy and raised price target to $7 (from $6), reinforcing a bullish longer-term narrative.
Business narrative: Battery recycling operations “ramping” and Tonopah Flats “de-risking” provides a credible strategic catalyst (domestic critical minerals theme).
Upcoming event: Next earnings scheduled 2026-02-13 (after hours) can re-rate the stock if progress metrics surprise positively.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
with resistance at 4.935/5.222 means upside may be capped until buyers prove strength.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2026/Q1.
Revenue: $937,589, up +364.24% YoY (strong top-line growth off a small base).
Net income: -$10.30M, down -12.57% YoY (losses widened).
EPS: -$0.09, down -47.06% YoY (deterioration).
Gross margin: -375.07% (still deeply negative; improvement is needed before the growth story translates into healthier unit economics).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst action (2025-11-19): Alliance Global raised PT to $7 from $6 and maintained a Buy.
Wall Street pros: Emerging U.S. critical minerals supplier angle; recycling ramp + Tonopah Flats progress could drive multi-year upside if execution continues.
Wall Street cons: Financial profile is still far from profitability (large losses, severely negative gross margin), making the bull case heavily dependent on execution and future scaling rather than current fundamentals.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show neutral activity (no strong conviction signal).
Wall Street analysts forecast ABAT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ABAT is 7 USD with a low forecast of 7 USD and a high forecast of 7 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ABAT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ABAT is 7 USD with a low forecast of 7 USD and a high forecast of 7 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.530
Low
7
Averages
7
High
7
Current: 3.530
Low
7
Averages
7
High
7
Alliance Global
Buy
maintain
$6 -> $7
AI Analysis
2025-11-19
Reason
Alliance Global
Price Target
$6 -> $7
AI Analysis
2025-11-19
maintain
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global raised the firm's price target on American Battery to $7 from $6 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the fiscal Q1 report. The firm believes the company is positioned as an emerging critical minerals supplier in the U.S. given that its battery recycling operations are "ramping" while the "de-risking" of Tonopah Flats continues. The pre-feasibility study indicates Tonopah Flats is one of the largest undeveloped lithium projects in the United States that has the potential to serve as a key source of domestic supply in the coming years, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Alliance Global Partners
Jake Sekelsky
Buy
downgrade
$9 -> $6
2025-07-24
Reason
Alliance Global Partners
Jake Sekelsky
Price Target
$9 -> $6
2025-07-24
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global Partners analyst Jake Sekelsky lowered the firm's price target on American Battery to $6 from $9 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm views American Battery as well positioned to benefit from recent tailwinds in the U.S. related to the onshoring of the critical mineral supply chain, but is lowering its price target is primarily due to an update to its share count following the company's financing activities completed in recent quarters.
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