Not a good buy right now: price is extended short-term (RSI~71) and trading just below near-term resistance (R1 ~31.93), which limits immediate upside for an impatient entry.
Trend is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but momentum is cooling (MACD histogram still positive but contracting), increasing the odds of a pullback/mean reversion.
No supportive Intellectia signals today (no AI Stock Picker / SwingMax), and there’s no fresh news catalyst to justify chasing.
Wall Street stance turned more cautious (downgrade to Hold with lower target), reinforcing a wait/hold rather than an aggressive buy at current levels.
Momentum: MACD histogram is above zero (0.0438) but positively contracting, suggesting bullish momentum is fading.
RSI: RSI_6 at 71.041 indicates short-term overbought/extended conditions (risk of near-term pullback).
Levels: Pivot ~30.71 is the key near-term support reference; immediate resistance at R1 ~31.93 (price 31.78 is very close), next resistance R2 ~32.69.
Probabilistic trend read: Pattern-based outlook suggests modest expected gains (next day ~+1.08%, next week ~+3.47%), but current positioning near resistance makes risk/reward less attractive for a new entry today.
Technical uptrend remains intact (bullish MA stack).
Revenue growth is strong in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3 +61.83% YoY).
Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-18 After Hours (Street EPS est. 0.52), which could confirm/drive a profitability inflection if delivered.
No notable insider/hedge fund selling pressure flagged (both neutral).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
and sitting just under resistance (R1 ~31.93), raising the chance of a near-term stall/pullback.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $305.6M, up +61.83% YoY (strong top-line growth).
Net income: -$17.9M, down -83.40% YoY (larger loss).
EPS: -0.15, down -88.28% YoY (weaker per-share profitability).
Gross margin: 37.12%, up +25.62% YoY (operational improvement on margins, but not yet translating into positive earnings).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
2026-01-26: Canaccord downgraded AAUC to Hold (from Buy) and cut price target to C$44 (from C$55).
Wall Street pro view (pros): strong revenue growth and improving gross margin suggest operational momentum.
Wall Street con view (cons): earnings are still negative and recently deteriorated, prompting a more cautious rating/target reset.
Wall Street analysts forecast AAUC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAUC is 29.15 USD with a low forecast of 25.19 USD and a high forecast of 33.11 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AAUC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAUC is 29.15 USD with a low forecast of 25.19 USD and a high forecast of 33.11 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 31.080
Low
25.19
Averages
29.15
High
33.11
Current: 31.080
Low
25.19
Averages
29.15
High
33.11
Canaccord
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$55 -> $44
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$55 -> $44
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Canaccord downgraded Allied Gold to Hold from Buy with a price target of C$44, down from C$55.
