AAON Should I Buy
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
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["Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: price is in a short-term uptrend, but downside-probability stats, heavy insider selling, and deteriorating profitability make the risk/reward unattractive at $94.", "Tactically, the stock is closer to resistance (R1 ~96.61) than support (pivot ~92.84), so upside looks capped near-term while downside to ~89.08 (S1) is plausible.", "Best stance now: HOLD/WAIT (avoid chasing). A better entry would be on a pullback toward ~92.8 or ~89 with stabilization."]
["Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, consistent with an uptrend.", "Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0318) and expanding, supporting continued bullish momentum.", "RSI(6) at 59.27 is neutral-to-slightly-bullish (not overbought), so it\u2019s not flashing an immediate exhaustion signal.", "Key levels: Pivot 92.843 (near-term line in the sand). Resistance at 96.612 (R1) then 98.94 (R2). Supports at 89.075 (S1) then 86.747 (S2).", "Statistical/candlestick analog read: indicates ~60% chance of -2.11% next day, -2.18% next week, and -11.42% next month\u2014this conflicts with the bullish MA/MACD setup and argues against buying immediately."]
on 2026-03-02 pre-market (consensus EPS est. ~0.45)."]
["Insiders are selling aggressively (selling amount up ~320% over the last month), which is a meaningful near-term overhang.", "Profitability deterioration in the latest quarter (EPS, net income, and gross margin down sharply YoY) undermines the quality of the revenue growth.", "Pattern-based outlook suggests elevated probability of near-term drawdown (projected -11.42% over next month).", "No supportive news flow in the last week to offset insider selling/profit compression."]
["Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.", "Revenue: $384.24M, up +17.41% YoY (strong top-line growth).", "Net income: $30.78M, down -41.51% YoY (earnings contraction).", "EPS: $0.37, down -41.27% YoY.", "Gross margin: 27.81%, down -20.27% YoY (margin compression is the key concern)."]
["Recent trend: price targets moved higher and Outperform ratings were maintained post-Q3.", "Baird (2025-11-07): PT raised to $125 from $116; reiterated Outperform; highlighted excellent BASX orders.", "Oppenheimer (2025-11-07): PT raised to $115 from $112; reiterated Outperform; noted beat/raise dynamics and record backlog tied to data center strength.", "Wall Street pros vs cons: Pros\u2014backlog/data center demand and constructive analyst conviction. Cons\u2014profitability and margins trending worse YoY and insider selling pressure, which can cap near-term upside."]
