York Space Systems Debuts on NYSE with 11.7% Price Surge
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 29 2026
0mins
Should l Buy YSS?
Source: Newsfilter
- IPO Performance: York Space Systems opened at $38 on the NYSE, an 11.7% increase from its $34 IPO price, resulting in a market valuation of $4.75 billion, reflecting strong investor confidence in its growth potential.
- Defense Project Contribution: CEO Dirk Wallinger stated that the company is positioned to be a key player in President Trump's 'Golden Dome' missile defense initiative, which aims to integrate disparate systems to enhance national defense capabilities while reducing costs.
- Technical Expertise: Since its founding in 2012, York Space Systems has completed 74 space missions and has established contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. Space Development Agency, showcasing its robust capabilities in low-earth orbit satellite manufacturing.
- Market Outlook: With renewed interest in military technology and the ongoing growth of the space sector, 2026 is expected to present significant opportunities for expansion, positioning York Space Systems to capture a larger market share in this evolving landscape.
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Analyst Views on YSS
Wall Street analysts forecast YSS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for YSS is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
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About YSS
Yellowstone Midco Holdings II, LLC is a space and defense prime providing a suite of mission-critical solutions for national security, government and commercial customers. The Company is a provider of proliferated warfighter space solutions, delivering fully integrated, mission-ready systems, combining performance spacecraft and software-defined operations. Its capabilities include a differentiated suite of spacecraft solutions. It offers the S-CLASS, LX-CLASS, and M-CLASS spacecraft, which are quality satellite platforms that are scalable to an array of space market needs. Its spacecraft is supported by satellite software enabling versatile integration of a variety of payloads for customers and supply chain commonalities across platforms. Its S-CLASS is a payload-capable platform with an extensive on-orbit heritage, tailored for rapid fielding and flexible use cases. Its M-CLASS spacecraft is designed for a total mass of up to approximately 2,000 kgs and an 8kW peak power system.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Stock Price Below Purchase: On Wednesday, DXC shares traded as low as $13.40, which is 12.1% below Fernandez's purchase price, presenting a more attractive entry point for investors and potentially stimulating further buying activity.
- York Space Systems Insider Buy: Tami A. Erwin purchased 2,941 shares of York Space Systems at $34.00 each for a total of $99,994, reflecting optimism about the company's growth potential.
- York Stock Price Decline: York Space Systems' shares fell 3.8% on Wednesday, with the latest trading price at $25.00, which is 26.5% lower than Erwin's purchase price, offering investors a potential low-cost buying opportunity.
See More
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- IPO Overview: York Space Systems had its IPO on the NYSE, initially planning to offer 16 million shares at $30 to $34, ultimately selling 18.5 million shares at the top price of $34, indicating strong market demand.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Despite opening at $38.10, York's stock closed at $33.95 on its first trading day, reflecting investor concerns about its future prospects, thus marking it as a 'broken IPO'.
- Financial Condition Analysis: According to the IPO prospectus, York's estimated sales for 2025 are capped at $387.8 million, with potential losses exceeding $90 million, and total debt reaching $415.5 million as of Q3 2025, indicating significant financial strain.
- Market Outlook and Risks: York anticipates a total addressable market of approximately $140 billion by 2028; however, its reliance on U.S. Space Force contracts poses risks, as any cancellation of related projects could severely impact future revenues.
See More
