WDC, SNDK, and STX Stocks Drive Down Memory Chip Prices Amid Rising Costs: Is the AI Surge Losing Momentum?
Memory Chip Market Trends: Over the past year, memory chip stocks have seen unprecedented gains due to supply shortages, leading to higher prices, although recent declines have been noted among major companies like SanDisk and Western Digital.
Stock Performance: Major memory chip producers have experienced significant stock declines recently, with shares of Western Digital dropping 8.2% and Seagate 6.8%, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.
Continued Price Surge: Despite recent stock declines, memory chip prices are expected to continue surging due to ongoing high demand, particularly driven by the expansion of AI data centers.
Industry Outlook: Analysts predict that supply shortages will persist beyond one or two quarters, affecting various sectors including phones, PCs, and automotive, as companies face pressure on pricing and earnings.
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- Demand-Driven Growth: Micron Technology's stock has quadrupled over the past year, primarily fueled by strong demand for memory chips from AI hyperscalers, which not only enhances the company's market position but also lays the groundwork for sustained future growth.
- Changing Market Dynamics: The CEO believes this market cycle is different, as memory has become a strategic asset for AI functionalities, strengthening the company's competitive edge, particularly in real-time data processing capabilities.
- Diverse Market Opportunities: Accelerating data center builds, an upgrade cycle in PC hardware, and increasing memory demand in smartphones are benefiting Micron across multiple markets, with expectations for continued performance growth in the coming years.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Micron plans to increase capital expenditures to $20 billion to meet growth demands by 2026; despite potential risks of supply gluts, the company is committed to expanding production capacity to maintain market competitiveness.
- Nvidia's Strong Performance: Nvidia has become the first publicly traded company to surpass a $5 trillion market cap, reporting $57 billion in revenue for fiscal 2023, a 62% year-over-year increase, which underscores the robust demand for its semiconductors and solidifies its leadership in the AI market.
- Google Cloud Growth: Alphabet achieved an 18% revenue growth in Q4 2025, with its cloud computing segment soaring by 48% year-over-year, indicating a surge in demand for AI applications, and cloud revenue now constitutes over 10% of Alphabet's business, showcasing its competitive strength in the AI sector.
- Waymo's Significant Potential: Alphabet's self-driving vehicle fleet, Waymo, is operational in several U.S. cities, and while limited details were provided in the earnings report, its potential compared to Uber's $150 billion market cap suggests it could become a major revenue contributor for Google, further driving company growth.
- Micron's Promising Outlook: Micron reported a 57% revenue growth in its fiscal Q1 2026, with net income nearly tripling, and as the company pivots towards AI infrastructure, it anticipates continued revenue and margin growth, positioning itself to potentially outperform Nvidia in the coming years.
- Nvidia's Market Milestone: Nvidia has become the first publicly traded company to reach a $5 trillion market cap, reporting $57 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a 62% year-over-year increase, which underscores its dominant position in the AI chip market.
- Google Cloud Growth: Alphabet achieved an 18% revenue growth in Q4 2025, with its cloud computing segment soaring by 48% year-over-year, indicating that the company is leveraging AI to enhance both search engine and cloud service revenues, thereby strengthening its competitive edge.
- Micron's Successful Pivot: Micron reported a 57% revenue growth in its fiscal Q1 2026, with net income nearly tripling, and its stock has quadrupled over the past year as it shifts focus from consumer products to AI infrastructure, showcasing significant growth potential.
- Future Growth Outlook: Micron anticipates continued acceleration in growth over the coming quarters, with a focus on AI infrastructure expected to yield higher profit margins and free cash flow, positioning it to potentially outperform Nvidia in returns in the future.
- Micron's Market Demand: Micron announced in its fiscal Q1 update that its entire supply of high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for 2026 has sold out, with expectations for the HBM market to grow at a compound annual growth rate of around 40%, expanding from $35 billion in 2025 to $100 billion by 2028, indicating strong market demand and profit potential.
- Microsoft's Valuation Advantage: Despite Microsoft's stock price declining over 20% since late October 2025, its earnings multiple is near its lowest level in the past decade, suggesting long-term growth potential in the cloud computing sector, particularly with the widespread adoption of AI technologies that could yield significant returns for investors.
- Competition and Opportunities: While Microsoft's revenue growth for its Azure cloud unit was slightly below expectations and increased competition raises concerns, CEO Satya Nadella highlighted that the proliferation of AI agents will create new growth opportunities, especially as over 80% of Fortune 500 companies are utilizing its Copilot Studio and Agentbuilder tools.
- Investor Strategy: Although Micron may offer higher returns in the short term, Microsoft's strong market dynamics suggest it could be the bigger winner in the long run, as historically, investors who bought Microsoft shares during significant declines have reaped substantial rewards, advising investors to choose wisely amid current market fluctuations.
- Micron's Market Advantage: Micron Technology's high-bandwidth memory (HBM) supply sold out in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with demand projected to drive the total addressable market from $35 billion to $100 billion at a compound annual growth rate of around 40% over the next three years, indicating strong profit growth potential.
- Diverse Supply Agreements: Micron is negotiating multi-year supply deals, reflecting robust demand for DRAM and NAND memory, which have not been common in the past, suggesting an increasing competitive edge in the market.
- Microsoft's Attractive Valuation: Microsoft's earnings multiple is near its lowest level in the past decade; despite slightly lower-than-expected revenue growth in its Azure cloud unit, CEO Satya Nadella believes AI diffusion will significantly expand the total addressable market, indicating substantial future growth potential.
- Growth Opportunities in AI Agents: Over 80% of Fortune 500 companies have built AI agents using Microsoft's Copilot Studio and Agentbuilder tools, with Nadella noting that as agents proliferate, customers will need new ways to manage and protect them, creating significant growth opportunities for Microsoft.

Memory Chip Market Trends: Over the past year, memory chip stocks have seen unprecedented gains due to supply shortages, leading to higher prices, although recent declines have been noted among major companies like SanDisk and Western Digital.
Stock Performance: Major memory chip producers have experienced significant stock declines recently, with shares of Western Digital dropping 8.2% and Seagate 6.8%, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.
Continued Price Surge: Despite recent stock declines, memory chip prices are expected to continue surging due to ongoing high demand, particularly driven by the expansion of AI data centers.
Industry Outlook: Analysts predict that supply shortages will persist beyond one or two quarters, affecting various sectors including phones, PCs, and automotive, as companies face pressure on pricing and earnings.









