VTI ETF Daily Update - November 20, 2025
VTI Overview: The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) offers broad exposure to the U.S. equity market with a low expense ratio of 0.03%, making it a cost-effective investment option.
Recent Performance: VTI has experienced a 2.74% decline over the past week but is up 13.0% year-to-date, with a recent gain of 0.33% and an additional 1.14% in pre-market trading.
Top Holdings and Analyst Consensus: VTI's top holdings include Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, with a Moderate Buy consensus from analysts and a price target suggesting a 19.5% upside.
Potential Upside and Downside: The ETF's holdings with the highest upside potential include Jupiter Neurosciences and Cibus, while those with the greatest downside risk include LXP Industrial Trust and iHeartMedia.
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- Record Device Base: CEO Tim Cook announced during the Q1 2026 earnings call that Apple has surpassed 2.5 billion active devices, a milestone that underscores the company's extensive consumer reach and solidifies its market position.
- Significant Services Revenue Growth: CFO Kevan Parekh reported that Apple's services revenue hit an all-time high of $30 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase, which not only enhances the company's revenue mix but also lays a strong foundation for future growth, especially in the competitive landscape of artificial intelligence.
- Buffett's Sell Signal: Despite Berkshire Hathaway's investment in Apple yielding a remarkable 1,040% gain since Q1 2016, Warren Buffett has sold shares in six of the last eight quarters, reducing holdings from over 900 million to 238 million, indicating concerns over current valuations.
- Caution for Investors: With Apple's price-to-earnings ratio at 34.1, analysts suggest that while the company remains competitive, Buffett's selling may signal a decline in the attractiveness of investment opportunities, prompting investors to carefully evaluate before purchasing.
- Product Launch Anticipation: OpenAI is set to launch its first AI earbuds this year, although its more complex smartphone-like device has been delayed due to surging memory chip prices, which may impact its competitive positioning in the market.
- Design Team Integration: The acquisition of Jony Ive's design startup last year aims to enhance the design quality of OpenAI's consumer hardware products, potentially leading to innovations in its future product lines.
- Patent Leak Insights: A recent patent filing in China reveals that OpenAI's consumer hardware product is internally dubbed “Sweetpea” and is expected to be marketed as “Dime,” with the public disclosure of this information suggesting an imminent product reveal.
- IPO Preparations: OpenAI is preparing for an initial public offering (IPO) this year, with a potential valuation of $1 trillion, while also working on a $100 billion private funding round, indicating strong appeal in the capital markets.
- Tesla Position Change: Peter Thiel reduced his Tesla holdings by 76% in Q3 2025, yet it remains the largest position in his portfolio, indicating ongoing confidence in the electric vehicle market despite skepticism towards Musk's humanoid robot strategy.
- Microsoft Investment Increase: Thiel purchased 49,000 shares of Microsoft in Q3, elevating it to the second-largest holding at 34% of his total portfolio, reflecting his optimism about Microsoft's cloud services and AI integration, even as the company faces growth slowdowns.
- New Investment in Apple: Thiel initiated a new position in Apple by acquiring over 79,000 shares in Q3, suggesting he sees potential in Apple's AI capabilities, particularly its vast iPhone sales network and upcoming AI-powered smart glasses.
- AI Stock Selection: Although Thiel's hedge fund holds only three AI stocks, his choices of Microsoft and Apple demonstrate a preference for technology builders, indicating a belief that these companies will play a more significant role in future technological revolutions.
- Tesla Stake Reduction: Thiel slashed his Tesla holdings by 76% in Q3 2025, although it remains his largest position, indicating a cautious stance towards the electric vehicle market, possibly due to skepticism about Musk's humanoid robot strategy.
- Increased Microsoft Investment: Thiel purchased 49,000 shares of Microsoft in Q3, elevating its share to 34% of his hedge fund, reflecting his endorsement of Microsoft's focus on AI-integrated products, despite lower-than-expected growth in its cloud services.
- New Position in Apple: Thiel initiated a new position in Apple by acquiring over 79,000 shares in Q3, signaling confidence in Apple's AI potential, particularly its vast iPhone user base and upcoming AI-powered smart glasses.
- AI Investment Portfolio Analysis: Although Thiel's hedge fund does not hold Nvidia or Palantir, his investments in Microsoft and Apple demonstrate a preference for
- Significant Performance Growth: American Express achieved a 10% year-over-year revenue increase and a 16% rise in earnings per share (EPS) in Q4 2025, demonstrating its strong performance and market leadership in the financial services sector.
- Increased Marketing Investment: The company invested $6.3 billion in marketing in 2025, a 75% increase since 2019, which not only boosted customer demand and engagement but also improved credit quality and retention rates, further solidifying its competitive advantage.
- Attraction to Younger Consumers: Although Gen-Z spending accounted for only 6% of total spending, it grew by 36% year-over-year, making it the fastest-growing age group, indicating a broad growth runway for American Express as it penetrates the younger market.
- Outstanding Stock Performance: Over the past five years, American Express's stock has surged 201%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 91%, and this trend is expected to continue as the company invests for the future and expands its market share.
- Strategic Partnership Expansion: STMicroelectronics has announced a multi-year, multi-billion-dollar commercial agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to support the development of next-generation high-performance compute infrastructure, thereby enhancing capabilities for cloud and AI data centers.
- Warrant Issuance: Under the agreement, STM issued warrants to AWS for the acquisition of up to 24.8 million ordinary shares, which will vest in tranches tied to payments for STM products and services, positioning STM as a key player in the semiconductor supply chain.
- Comprehensive Technology Solutions: The collaboration encompasses a wide range of semiconductor solutions from STMicroelectronics, including high-bandwidth connectivity, advanced microcontrollers, and analog and power ICs, aimed at addressing the increasing demands for compute performance and efficiency in hyperscale data centers.
- Financial Outlook and Market Reaction: While STMicroelectronics reported fourth-quarter net revenues of $3.329 billion, surpassing analyst expectations, its adjusted EPS of 11 cents fell short of the 25 cents forecast; however, the stock rose 4.22% in premarket trading, reflecting market optimism about its growth potential.










