UBS Projects 11% Increase in Global Stocks by End of 2026 Driven by AI Influence
UBS Market Forecast: UBS targets a 1090 for the MSCI AC World Index by the end of 2026, driven by artificial intelligence, which is expected to significantly boost productivity.
Potential Market Bubble: UBS notes that conditions for a market bubble are aligning due to the rapid adoption of generative AI, with a 35% probability of a bubble forming.
U.S. Market Outperformance: The bank anticipates U.S. markets will outperform globally, projecting a 14% growth in earnings per share for U.S. companies in 2026, aided by faster AI adoption.
Revised Global GDP Growth: Global GDP growth projections have been increased by 40 basis points for 2025 and 2026, with expectations of a near-term slowdown in U.S. domestic demand but potential upside from generative AI.
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Analyst Views on ACWI

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- International Market Performance: Investors are increasingly looking beyond U.S. markets, leading to significant outperformance in international investments.
- ETF Comparison: In 2025, the iShares MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. ETF achieved a 30% return, which was more than double the S&P 500's gain during the same period.
International Market Performance: Investors are increasingly looking beyond U.S. markets, leading to significant outperformance in international investments.
ETF Comparison: In 2025, the iShares MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. ETF achieved a 30% return, which was more than double the S&P 500's gain during the same period.
52-Week Range Analysis: ACWI's share price has a 52-week low of $101.25 and a high of $143.045, with the last trade recorded at $141.13, indicating a strong position near its high.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the underlying assets.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly tracking of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), which can affect the individual components of the ETFs.
Disclaimer on Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.

UBS Market Forecast: UBS targets a 1090 for the MSCI AC World Index by the end of 2026, driven by artificial intelligence, which is expected to significantly boost productivity.
Potential Market Bubble: UBS notes that conditions for a market bubble are aligning due to the rapid adoption of generative AI, with a 35% probability of a bubble forming.
U.S. Market Outperformance: The bank anticipates U.S. markets will outperform globally, projecting a 14% growth in earnings per share for U.S. companies in 2026, aided by faster AI adoption.
Revised Global GDP Growth: Global GDP growth projections have been increased by 40 basis points for 2025 and 2026, with expectations of a near-term slowdown in U.S. domestic demand but potential upside from generative AI.
Market Resilience: The U.S. stock market remains strong despite various challenges, including geopolitical tensions and credit issues, and is near record highs.
Investor Confidence: Dips in the market are being quickly bought up as investors anticipate lower interest rates and robust corporate earnings, contributing to significant gains in major indices.
Performance Metrics: The S&P 500 has increased by 14.6% in 2025, while the Nasdaq Composite has risen by 18.8%.
Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment reflects optimism among investors regarding future economic conditions and corporate profitability.
Current Share Price Analysis: ACWI's share price is currently at $133.43, close to its 52-week high of $133.74, with a low of $101.25, indicating a strong performance relative to its historical range.
ETFs Trading Dynamics: ETFs function similarly to stocks, allowing for the buying and selling of units that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, which affects the underlying holdings and market flows.









