Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Adjusted EBITDA $18 million, which is towards the high end of the guidance range of $10 million to $20 million. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations stands at $87 million, up from $26 million during the same period last year. This increase is driven mostly by efforts to reduce fixed costs and 4 incremental months of Augusta results included in the P&L.
Net Sales $399 million, up 1% year-over-year, driven by a 3% increase in paperboard shipment volumes partially offset by lower market pricing.
Net Loss from Continuing Operations $54 million or $3.34 per diluted share, primarily due to a $48 million noncash impairment of goodwill. This impairment was driven by the decline in market capitalization as compared to the increase in book value, which was driven by the gain from divestiture of the tissue business late last year.
Fixed Cost Reduction Initiatives Savings are now tracking to around $50 million for the year, exceeding the original estimate of $30 million to $40 million. These savings are helping offset some of the margin pressure during the industry down cycle.
Cash from Operations $34 million during the quarter.
Free Cash Flow Approximately $3.5 million during the quarter.
Net Leverage Ratio 2.7x, with aggregate debt level remaining stable despite the current industry down cycle.
Available Liquidity $455 million, providing ample financial flexibility.
SG&A as a Percent of Sales 6.2%, at the lower end of the targeted range of 6% to 7% of net sales, demonstrating a lean, cost-effective operation.
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- Market Weakness: Home furnishings stocks collectively fell by approximately 2.5%, indicating a decline in market confidence that could impact future investment decisions.
- Arhaus Leads Decline: Arhaus shares dropped by about 5%, reflecting weak consumer demand and increased market competition, which may lead to a decrease in the company's short-term sales.
- RH Struggles: RH's stock fell by approximately 4.9%, indicating challenges in the high-end home market that could affect its profitability and market share.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: Other sectors like paper and forest products also performed poorly, suggesting that the overall economic environment may exert pressure on the home improvement industry, necessitating close monitoring of future market dynamics.
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- Brinker International Potential: TD Cowen analyst Andrew M. Charles initiated coverage on Brinker International Inc (NYSE:EAT) with a Buy rating and a price target of $192, showing a clear increase from Friday's close of $157.68, reflecting a positive outlook on its future profitability.
- Clearwater Paper Stability: Truist Securities analyst Michael Roxland initiated coverage on Clearwater Paper Corp (NYSE:CLW) with a Hold rating and a price target of $21, slightly above Friday's close of $20.09, indicating a cautious market stance on its stability.

- Active Options Trading: Microsoft options have seen a trading volume of 171,422 contracts today, equivalent to approximately 17.1 million shares, indicating a robust activity level at 78.4% of the average daily volume of 21.9 million shares over the past month.
- High Put Option Volume: Notably, the $510 strike put option has traded 10,335 contracts today, representing about 1.0 million shares, reflecting market concerns regarding potential future declines in the stock price.
- Clearwater Options Activity: Clearwater Paper Corp's options volume stands at 1,524 contracts today, equivalent to approximately 152,400 shares, reaching 76% of its average daily volume of 200,630 shares over the past month, indicating investor interest in the company.
- Call Option Trading: Among Clearwater's options, the $20 strike call option has seen 1,510 contracts traded, representing about 151,000 shares, suggesting investor expectations for future price increases in the stock.
- Ranking Improvement: Clearwater's ascent to 36th place on MSSP Alert's 2025 Top Global MSSPs list highlights strong growth in its managed security services, reflecting increased client trust, particularly in the healthcare and defense sectors.
- Rising Client Demand: As cyber threats intensify, demand for Clearwater's Managed Security Services (MSS) is surging, especially among organizations in highly regulated environments, showcasing the company's market leadership in complex compliance-driven industries.
- Service Innovation: Clearwater's offerings, including continuous monitoring, threat detection and response, and cloud security, enable clients to enhance their security posture while meeting regulatory obligations, further solidifying its competitive advantage in the industry.
- Team Recognition: President Baxter Lee emphasized that the dedication of the team and the trust of clients are key to the company's continued rise, and this recognition not only enhances brand image but also strengthens customer loyalty.
ETF Analyst Target Price: The iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT) has an implied analyst target price of $160.92, indicating a potential upside of 10.09% from its current trading price of $146.17.
Notable Holdings with Upside: Key underlying holdings of ITOT, such as Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF), Clearwater Paper Corp (CLW), and Red Cat Holdings Inc (RCAT), show significant upside potential, with target prices suggesting increases of 64.60%, 61.29%, and 52.82% respectively from their recent trading prices.










