Options Volatility and Implied Earnings Moves Today, June 11, 2025
Earnings Reports: Major companies such as Oracle, Oxford Industries, and Chewy are set to report earnings today, with expected stock movements based on options prices indicating potential volatility.
Options Trading Insights: Investors can access detailed information about options activity for these stocks, including expected earnings moves and trading data, but should be aware of the risks associated with options trading.
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- Price Target Increase: Telsey Advisory Group raised the price target for Five Below Inc from $195 to $240, with analyst Joseph Feldman maintaining an Outperform rating, indicating strong confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Rating Maintained: Despite HC Wainwright & Co. cutting Lexeo Therapeutics Inc's price target from $13 to $10, analyst Mitchell S. Kapoor maintained a Buy rating, reflecting optimism about its long-term potential.
- Price Target Cut: Needham reduced the price target for Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc from $29 to $28, yet analyst Joseph Stringer upheld a Buy rating, demonstrating ongoing confidence in the company's fundamentals.
- Rating Downgrade: Daiwa Capital lowered PayPal Holdings Inc's price target from $77 to $61 and downgraded the rating from Outperform to Neutral, indicating a cautious outlook on its future performance.
- Attractive Dividend Yield: Vail Resorts boasts a 6.44% dividend yield, appealing to investors seeking stable returns during market turbulence, indicating the company's strong cash flow and shareholder reward capabilities.
- Analyst Rating Update: Truist Securities analyst Patrick Scholes maintains a Buy rating on Vail Resorts but lowers the price target from $237 to $234, reflecting concerns about future market uncertainties.
- Upcoming Earnings Report: Newell Brands is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opens on February 6, 2026, with a dividend yield of 6.65%, drawing investor attention to its performance.
- Strong Financial Performance: Oxford Industries, with a 7.66% dividend yield, saw UBS analysts raise the price target from $35 to $36 on January 8, 2026, demonstrating confidence in the company's future growth prospects.

- Active Options Trading: Toll Brothers recorded an options trading volume of 5,126 contracts, equivalent to approximately 512,600 shares, representing 44% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, indicating heightened market interest in the company's future performance.
- Specific Options Volume Surge: The $135 strike put option saw a notable trading volume of 687 contracts today, representing about 68,700 shares, reflecting investor expectations of potential price declines, which could impact the company's stock price trajectory.
- Increased Market Participation: Oxford Industries also experienced active options trading with 2,851 contracts traded, equating to approximately 285,100 shares, showcasing the company's market appeal, although this volume represents only 43% of its average daily trading volume.
- Investor Sentiment Analysis: The significantly elevated options trading volumes for both TOL and OXM suggest that investors are cautiously assessing the future trajectories of these companies, which may influence short-term stock price volatility.
- Conference Announcement: Oxford Industries will present at the ICR Conference 2026 on January 12, 2026, at 9:00 a.m. ET, where Chairman and CEO Tom Chubb will outline the company's strategic direction and market outlook.
- Live Webcast: The presentation will be webcasted via the company's website, allowing investors and the public to access real-time information, enhancing transparency and improving shareholder engagement.
- Brand Influence: With a portfolio of well-known lifestyle brands such as Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer, Oxford Industries maintains a leadership position in the apparel industry, and this conference is expected to further solidify its market influence.
- Investor Relations: By participating in this conference, the company demonstrates its commitment to investor relations, aiming to attract more investor attention to its stock and promote long-term shareholder value enhancement.
CEO Stock Purchase: Oxford Industries' CEO Thomas Chubb bought 5,000 shares at $35.12 each, indicating confidence in the company's future despite current challenges.
Holiday Season Challenges: Chubb noted a softer start to the holiday season due to tariff-related issues and a competitive retail environment, but emphasized ongoing focus on inventory and expense management.
Stock Performance: Following the CEO's purchase, shares of Oxford Industries rose 5.7%, helping to recover from a previous decline of over 10% after earnings reports.
Dividend and Short Interest: The stock offers a 7.9% dividend yield for new investors, with short interest at 15.9% of the total float, reflecting market sentiment.
Market Performance: The S&P 500 closed up 0.21% at a 6-week high, while the Dow Jones reached an all-time high with a 1.34% increase; however, the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.35% due to a significant drop in Oracle's shares after disappointing earnings.
Economic Indicators: Weekly initial unemployment claims rose to a 3-month high of 236,000, indicating a weaker labor market, while the US trade deficit unexpectedly shrank to $52.8 billion, the smallest in over five years.
Corporate Earnings: Q3 earnings season showed strong results, with 83% of S&P 500 companies exceeding forecasts, leading to a 14.6% increase in earnings, significantly above the expected 7.2%.
Stock Movements: Notable gainers included Royal Caribbean and managed healthcare stocks, while Oracle and Oxford Industries faced significant declines due to disappointing forecasts and earnings reports.










