The Math Shows XSMO Can Go To $78
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 30 2025
0mins
Should l Buy CVCO?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The Invesco S&P SmallCap Momentum ETF (XSMO) has an implied analyst target price of $77.58, suggesting a potential upside of 13.90% from its current trading price of $68.11.
Stock Performance Insights: Notable underlying holdings such as Cavco Industries Inc, Merit Medical Systems, and Plexus Corp show significant upside potential based on analysts' target prices, raising questions about the validity and optimism of these targets.
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Analyst Views on CVCO
Wall Street analysts forecast CVCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVCO is 550.00 USD with a low forecast of 550.00 USD and a high forecast of 550.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 522.960
Low
550.00
Averages
550.00
High
550.00
Current: 522.960
Low
550.00
Averages
550.00
High
550.00
About CVCO
Cavco Industries, Inc. designs and produces factory-built homes primarily distributed through a network of independent and Company-owned retailers, planned community operators and residential developers. Its segments include Factory-built housing and Financial services. The Factory-built housing segment includes wholesale and retail factory-built housing operations. The Financial services segment includes manufactured housing, consumer finance and insurance. The Company also produces park model recreational vehicles (RVs), vacation cabins and factory-built commercial structures. It operates homebuilding production lines in Millersburg and Woodburn, Oregon; Riverside, California; Nampa, Idaho; Glendale, Goodyear and Phoenix, Arizona; Deming, New Mexico; Duncan, Oklahoma; Austin, Fort Worth, Seguin and Waco, Texas; Ojinaga, Mexico (two lines); Montevideo, Minnesota; Dorchester, Wisconsin; Nappanee and Goshen, Indiana; Lafayette, Tennessee, and Douglas and Moultrie.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Cavco and Standex Executives Increase Stock Holdings
- Cavco Executive Purchase: Cavco Industries CEO William C. Boor purchased 1,000 shares of CVCO at $495 each for a total of $495,000 on Wednesday, with the stock currently up about 7.2%, indicating short-term profit potential from his investment.
- Market Performance Recovery: Cavco Industries saw a 4% increase in stock price on Thursday, reflecting optimistic market sentiment towards the company, likely bolstered by the executive's purchase enhancing investor confidence.
- Standex Executive Transaction: Standex International Director Andy L. Nemeth bought 2,000 shares at $245 each for a total of $490,000 on Wednesday, demonstrating his confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Price Comparison Analysis: Standex International's stock is currently trading at $236.16, which is 3.6% lower than Nemeth's purchase price, providing investors with a more attractive entry point and potentially attracting further interest in the stock.
See More
Cavco Industries Reports Q3 2026 Earnings with Positive Synergy Outlook
- Acquisition Impact: Cavco Industries highlighted in its Q3 report that the acquisition of American Homestar is expected to yield annual synergies exceeding $10 million, with approximately half already realized as of Q4, indicating smooth integration progress and enhancing future profitability.
- Strong Revenue Growth: The company reported net revenue of $581 million for the third quarter, an 11.3% year-over-year increase, with American Homestar contributing $42 million, despite a reduction in base business units sold, reflecting proactive efforts to expand market share.
- Gross Margin Decline: Despite revenue growth, gross margin decreased from 24.9% to 23.4%, primarily due to rising unit costs and retail price compression; management anticipates that operating costs will gradually decline as synergies are realized, improving future profitability.
- Ongoing Stock Buybacks: The company repurchased $44 million worth of stock during the quarter, demonstrating confidence in its own value while providing additional returns to shareholders, further solidifying market trust in Cavco.
See More
CVCO Stock 52-Week High and Low Analysis
- Price Volatility Analysis: CVCO's 52-week low is $393.53 per share, while the high is $713.005, with the last trade at $507.58, indicating significant price fluctuations over the past year and reflecting varying market expectations for its future performance.
- Market Trend Observation: The current price of $507.58 is below the 52-week high, suggesting that investors may have a cautious outlook on CVCO's short-term prospects, which could impact market confidence and investment appeal.
- Technical Indicator Reference: CVCO's stock price has fallen below the 200-day moving average, potentially signaling further downside risk in the short term, prompting investors to monitor subsequent market dynamics to adjust their investment strategies.
- Investor Sentiment Assessment: Although the current stock price is positioned in the middle of the 52-week range, the market's divided views on CVCO may lead to high volatility in the short term, necessitating careful risk-reward evaluations by investors.
See More
Cavco Industries Reports Q3 Earnings Miss
- Earnings Miss: Cavco Industries reported a GAAP EPS of $5.58 for Q3, missing expectations by $0.68, indicating pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth Challenges: The company's revenue of $581 million, while up 11.3% year-over-year, fell short of market expectations by $12.37 million, reflecting challenges from intensified market competition and demand fluctuations.
- Acquisition and Buyback Strategy: Cavco's acquisition of American Homestar and stock buyback initiatives aim to strengthen market position and shareholder value, suggesting that despite short-term financial setbacks, long-term strategies may yield positive outcomes.
- Market Expansion Signals: The company's expansion of its retail footprint post-acquisition indicates confidence in a balanced market, potentially laying the groundwork for future growth, even though current financial metrics did not meet expectations.
See More
Cavco to Announce Q3 Earnings on January 29
- Earnings Announcement: Cavco (CVCO) is set to release its Q3 earnings on January 29 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $6.00, reflecting a 13% year-over-year decline, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q3 stands at $593.37 million, representing a 7.5% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's potential for stable growth in a challenging economic environment.
- Performance Consistency: Over the past year, Cavco has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating financial consistency and market adaptability, which could attract more investor interest.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates saw no upward revisions but one downward adjustment, while revenue estimates experienced two upward revisions, suggesting a growing confidence in Cavco's future performance that may influence stock price movements.
See More
Consumer Discretionary Stocks Show Strong Earnings Momentum, AENT and Others Rated A+
- Earnings Revision Ratings: Several mid-to-low cap consumer discretionary stocks, including Alliance Entertainment (AENT) and American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), have received an A+ earnings revision rating, indicating a significant increase in analysts' confidence regarding their profitability outlook, which may attract more investor interest.
- Market Appeal: The A+ ratings for these stocks reflect optimistic future earnings expectations from analysts, especially as the earnings season kicks off, potentially driving their stock prices higher and increasing market participation.
- Industry Performance: Companies like Century Communities (CCS), Crocs (CROX), and Cavco Industries (CVCO) also received A+ ratings, showcasing strong earnings momentum across the consumer discretionary sector, which may prompt investors to reassess the industry.
- ETF Focus: Consumer discretionary ETFs, such as XLY and VCR, may also gain attention due to the performance of these high-rated stocks, further driving capital inflows into the consumer sector and enhancing market activity.
See More
Cavco and Standex Executives Increase Stock Holdings
- Cavco Executive Purchase: Cavco Industries CEO William C. Boor purchased 1,000 shares of CVCO at $495 each for a total of $495,000 on Wednesday, with the stock currently up about 7.2%, indicating short-term profit potential from his investment.
- Market Performance Recovery: Cavco Industries saw a 4% increase in stock price on Thursday, reflecting optimistic market sentiment towards the company, likely bolstered by the executive's purchase enhancing investor confidence.
- Standex Executive Transaction: Standex International Director Andy L. Nemeth bought 2,000 shares at $245 each for a total of $490,000 on Wednesday, demonstrating his confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Price Comparison Analysis: Standex International's stock is currently trading at $236.16, which is 3.6% lower than Nemeth's purchase price, providing investors with a more attractive entry point and potentially attracting further interest in the stock.
See More
Cavco Industries Reports Q3 2026 Earnings with Positive Synergy Outlook
- Acquisition Impact: Cavco Industries highlighted in its Q3 report that the acquisition of American Homestar is expected to yield annual synergies exceeding $10 million, with approximately half already realized as of Q4, indicating smooth integration progress and enhancing future profitability.
- Strong Revenue Growth: The company reported net revenue of $581 million for the third quarter, an 11.3% year-over-year increase, with American Homestar contributing $42 million, despite a reduction in base business units sold, reflecting proactive efforts to expand market share.
- Gross Margin Decline: Despite revenue growth, gross margin decreased from 24.9% to 23.4%, primarily due to rising unit costs and retail price compression; management anticipates that operating costs will gradually decline as synergies are realized, improving future profitability.
- Ongoing Stock Buybacks: The company repurchased $44 million worth of stock during the quarter, demonstrating confidence in its own value while providing additional returns to shareholders, further solidifying market trust in Cavco.
See More
CVCO Stock 52-Week High and Low Analysis
- Price Volatility Analysis: CVCO's 52-week low is $393.53 per share, while the high is $713.005, with the last trade at $507.58, indicating significant price fluctuations over the past year and reflecting varying market expectations for its future performance.
- Market Trend Observation: The current price of $507.58 is below the 52-week high, suggesting that investors may have a cautious outlook on CVCO's short-term prospects, which could impact market confidence and investment appeal.
- Technical Indicator Reference: CVCO's stock price has fallen below the 200-day moving average, potentially signaling further downside risk in the short term, prompting investors to monitor subsequent market dynamics to adjust their investment strategies.
- Investor Sentiment Assessment: Although the current stock price is positioned in the middle of the 52-week range, the market's divided views on CVCO may lead to high volatility in the short term, necessitating careful risk-reward evaluations by investors.
See More
Cavco Industries Reports Q3 Earnings Miss
- Earnings Miss: Cavco Industries reported a GAAP EPS of $5.58 for Q3, missing expectations by $0.68, indicating pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth Challenges: The company's revenue of $581 million, while up 11.3% year-over-year, fell short of market expectations by $12.37 million, reflecting challenges from intensified market competition and demand fluctuations.
- Acquisition and Buyback Strategy: Cavco's acquisition of American Homestar and stock buyback initiatives aim to strengthen market position and shareholder value, suggesting that despite short-term financial setbacks, long-term strategies may yield positive outcomes.
- Market Expansion Signals: The company's expansion of its retail footprint post-acquisition indicates confidence in a balanced market, potentially laying the groundwork for future growth, even though current financial metrics did not meet expectations.
See More
Cavco to Announce Q3 Earnings on January 29
- Earnings Announcement: Cavco (CVCO) is set to release its Q3 earnings on January 29 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $6.00, reflecting a 13% year-over-year decline, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q3 stands at $593.37 million, representing a 7.5% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's potential for stable growth in a challenging economic environment.
- Performance Consistency: Over the past year, Cavco has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating financial consistency and market adaptability, which could attract more investor interest.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates saw no upward revisions but one downward adjustment, while revenue estimates experienced two upward revisions, suggesting a growing confidence in Cavco's future performance that may influence stock price movements.
See More
Consumer Discretionary Stocks Show Strong Earnings Momentum, AENT and Others Rated A+
- Earnings Revision Ratings: Several mid-to-low cap consumer discretionary stocks, including Alliance Entertainment (AENT) and American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), have received an A+ earnings revision rating, indicating a significant increase in analysts' confidence regarding their profitability outlook, which may attract more investor interest.
- Market Appeal: The A+ ratings for these stocks reflect optimistic future earnings expectations from analysts, especially as the earnings season kicks off, potentially driving their stock prices higher and increasing market participation.
- Industry Performance: Companies like Century Communities (CCS), Crocs (CROX), and Cavco Industries (CVCO) also received A+ ratings, showcasing strong earnings momentum across the consumer discretionary sector, which may prompt investors to reassess the industry.
- ETF Focus: Consumer discretionary ETFs, such as XLY and VCR, may also gain attention due to the performance of these high-rated stocks, further driving capital inflows into the consumer sector and enhancing market activity.
See More
