The Math Shows EIPI Can Go To $22
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 07 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ET?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Performance Analysis: The FT Energy Income Partners Enhanced Income ETF (EIPI) has an implied analyst target price of $21.77 per unit, indicating a potential upside of 10.58% from its current trading price of $19.69.
Key Holdings and Analyst Targets: Notable underlying holdings such as CMS Energy Corp, Atmos Energy Corp, and Energy Transfer LP show significant upside potential based on analysts' target prices, prompting questions about the validity and optimism of these targets in light of recent market developments.
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Analyst Views on ET
Wall Street analysts forecast ET stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ET is 20.65 USD with a low forecast of 17.00 USD and a high forecast of 23.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 18.190
Low
17.00
Averages
20.65
High
23.00
Current: 18.190
Low
17.00
Averages
20.65
High
23.00
About ET
Energy Transfer LP owns and operates a diversified portfolios of energy assets in the United States, with more than 140,000 miles of pipeline and associated energy infrastructure. The Company’s strategic network spans 44 states with assets in all of the major United States production basins. Its core operations include complementary natural gas midstream, intrastate and interstate transportation and storage assets; crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGL) and refined product transportation and terminalling assets; and NGL fractionation. The Company’s segments include intrastate transportation and storage, interstate transportation and storage, midstream, NGL and refined products transportation and services, crude oil transportation and services, investment in Sunoco LP, investment in USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC), and all other. It also owns Lake Charles LNG Company, LLC, its wholly owned subsidiary, which owns an LNG import terminal and regasification facility.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Energy Transfer's Strong Financial Position Supports Income Growth
- High Yield Distribution: Energy Transfer currently offers a yield of 7.5%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 1.2%, enabling investors to achieve their financial freedom target of $84,000 annually with a lower investment.
- Stable Cash Flow: Approximately 90% of the company's cash flow is derived from long-term contracts and government-regulated rates, ensuring its financial position is the strongest in its history, with distributions accounting for just over half of stable cash flow, allowing for reinvestment to support future growth.
- Distribution Growth Plan: The company aims to increase its distribution by 3% to 5% annually, having raised it by over 3% in the past 12 months, indicating a commitment to providing returns to investors based on stable cash flow.
- Investment Risk Advisory: While Energy Transfer has a strong financial foundation, relying on a single investment for income needs carries risks, especially given its past distribution cut in 2020, prompting investors to consider its role within a diversified income portfolio.
See More
Energy Transfer Seen as Key to Financial Freedom
- Passive Income Target: According to The Motley Fool, the average retiree under 65 needs about $84,000 annually in passive income to cover expenses and achieve financial freedom.
- Investment Yield Comparison: Energy Transfer (ET) currently offers a 7.5% yield, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 1.2%, making it an attractive option for investors seeking income.
- Investment Requirement Analysis: To generate $84,000 in passive income from Energy Transfer, investors would need to own 62,687 units, translating to an investment of approximately $1.1 million at the current unit price of $18.
- Financial Stability: Energy Transfer is in its strongest financial position ever, with about 90% of its cash flow derived from long-term contracts and government-regulated rates, and it expects to increase its distribution by 3% to 5% annually.
See More
Valuation Analysis of Energy Transfer Stock
- Stock Performance: Energy Transfer's stock closed at $17.94, with a 5.8% return over the past 30 days and an 8.1% year-to-date return, yet it has declined by 2.8% over the past year, reflecting a complex sentiment in the market.
- Discounted Cash Flow Analysis: The discounted cash flow model suggests an intrinsic value of approximately $41.01 per share for Energy Transfer, indicating a 56.3% discount to the current stock price, which may attract value investors looking for undervalued opportunities.
- P/E Ratio Comparison: Energy Transfer's P/E ratio stands at 14.28x, close to the oil and gas industry average of 14.13x but below the peer group average of 20.32x, indicating a cautious market outlook on its future growth potential, which could influence investor decisions.
- Investor Narrative Tool: Simply Wall St's narrative tool allows investors to construct their investment stories about Energy Transfer, enabling them to understand the gap between stock price and intrinsic value through various assumptions and financial forecasts, thus facilitating more informed investment decisions.
See More
Energy Transfer's 2026 Outlook Shows Optimism
- Strong Price Surge: Energy Transfer kicked off 2026 with a remarkable 11.9% unit price increase in January, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.4% gain, reflecting market confidence in its growth prospects.
- Oil Price Boost: The WTI oil price surged 14% in January due to potential supply issues in Venezuela and Iran, which, while 90% of Energy Transfer's earnings are fee-based, still positively impacts 5% to 10% of its earnings, enhancing future growth potential.
- 2026 Earnings Outlook: The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA between $17.3 billion and $17.7 billion for 2026, representing a growth rate of 7.5% to 10% from last year's $16.1 billion, indicating an acceleration in growth driven by several expansion projects.
- Increased Capital Investment: Energy Transfer plans to invest between $5 billion and $5.5 billion in growth capital projects in 2026, primarily to enhance its gas pipeline network, up from $4.6 billion last year, supporting the rising power demand from AI data centers and further driving distribution growth.
See More
Energy Transfer's Attractive Yield and Associated Risks
- Attractive Yield: Energy Transfer offers a 7.3% distribution yield, appealing to dividend investors aiming to maximize portfolio income, although the underlying business structure is somewhat complex.
- Business Complexity: As one of North America's largest midstream operators, Energy Transfer owns energy infrastructure and charges fees for usage, but also serves as the general partner for two publicly traded master limited partnerships, adding management complexity.
- Dividend History Comparison: Unlike Enterprise Products Partners, Energy Transfer cut its distribution in 2020, and while it now targets annual growth of 3% to 5%, past cuts may have disappointed income-dependent investors.
- Investment Considerations: Despite the attractive high yield, the associated risks and complexities of Energy Transfer may lead conservative dividend investors to prefer Enterprise Products Partners, which offers more stable dividend growth.
See More
Top High-Yield Energy Stocks to Buy
- Enbridge's Stable Income: Enbridge (ENB) offers a forward dividend yield of 5.6% and has increased its dividend for 30 consecutive years; despite a downgrade from JP Morgan due to sluggish crude oil growth, its strong cash flow ensures continued dividend payments.
- Energy Transfer's Growth Potential: Energy Transfer (ET) attracts income investors with a 7.3% distribution yield and has signed natural gas supply agreements with multiple data center operators over the past year, benefiting from the booming construction of AI data centers.
- Enterprise Products Partners' Income Machine: Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) provides a distribution yield of approximately 6.3% and has increased distributions for 27 consecutive years; while only modest growth is expected in 2026, management projects a 10% growth in EBITDA and cash flow for 2027.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: With ongoing demand for energy infrastructure, all three companies are actively expanding their operations, particularly in renewable energy and AI-related projects, indicating strong long-term growth potential.
See More
Energy Transfer's Strong Financial Position Supports Income Growth
- High Yield Distribution: Energy Transfer currently offers a yield of 7.5%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 1.2%, enabling investors to achieve their financial freedom target of $84,000 annually with a lower investment.
- Stable Cash Flow: Approximately 90% of the company's cash flow is derived from long-term contracts and government-regulated rates, ensuring its financial position is the strongest in its history, with distributions accounting for just over half of stable cash flow, allowing for reinvestment to support future growth.
- Distribution Growth Plan: The company aims to increase its distribution by 3% to 5% annually, having raised it by over 3% in the past 12 months, indicating a commitment to providing returns to investors based on stable cash flow.
- Investment Risk Advisory: While Energy Transfer has a strong financial foundation, relying on a single investment for income needs carries risks, especially given its past distribution cut in 2020, prompting investors to consider its role within a diversified income portfolio.
See More
Energy Transfer Seen as Key to Financial Freedom
- Passive Income Target: According to The Motley Fool, the average retiree under 65 needs about $84,000 annually in passive income to cover expenses and achieve financial freedom.
- Investment Yield Comparison: Energy Transfer (ET) currently offers a 7.5% yield, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 1.2%, making it an attractive option for investors seeking income.
- Investment Requirement Analysis: To generate $84,000 in passive income from Energy Transfer, investors would need to own 62,687 units, translating to an investment of approximately $1.1 million at the current unit price of $18.
- Financial Stability: Energy Transfer is in its strongest financial position ever, with about 90% of its cash flow derived from long-term contracts and government-regulated rates, and it expects to increase its distribution by 3% to 5% annually.
See More
Valuation Analysis of Energy Transfer Stock
- Stock Performance: Energy Transfer's stock closed at $17.94, with a 5.8% return over the past 30 days and an 8.1% year-to-date return, yet it has declined by 2.8% over the past year, reflecting a complex sentiment in the market.
- Discounted Cash Flow Analysis: The discounted cash flow model suggests an intrinsic value of approximately $41.01 per share for Energy Transfer, indicating a 56.3% discount to the current stock price, which may attract value investors looking for undervalued opportunities.
- P/E Ratio Comparison: Energy Transfer's P/E ratio stands at 14.28x, close to the oil and gas industry average of 14.13x but below the peer group average of 20.32x, indicating a cautious market outlook on its future growth potential, which could influence investor decisions.
- Investor Narrative Tool: Simply Wall St's narrative tool allows investors to construct their investment stories about Energy Transfer, enabling them to understand the gap between stock price and intrinsic value through various assumptions and financial forecasts, thus facilitating more informed investment decisions.
See More
Energy Transfer's 2026 Outlook Shows Optimism
- Strong Price Surge: Energy Transfer kicked off 2026 with a remarkable 11.9% unit price increase in January, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.4% gain, reflecting market confidence in its growth prospects.
- Oil Price Boost: The WTI oil price surged 14% in January due to potential supply issues in Venezuela and Iran, which, while 90% of Energy Transfer's earnings are fee-based, still positively impacts 5% to 10% of its earnings, enhancing future growth potential.
- 2026 Earnings Outlook: The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA between $17.3 billion and $17.7 billion for 2026, representing a growth rate of 7.5% to 10% from last year's $16.1 billion, indicating an acceleration in growth driven by several expansion projects.
- Increased Capital Investment: Energy Transfer plans to invest between $5 billion and $5.5 billion in growth capital projects in 2026, primarily to enhance its gas pipeline network, up from $4.6 billion last year, supporting the rising power demand from AI data centers and further driving distribution growth.
See More
Energy Transfer's Attractive Yield and Associated Risks
- Attractive Yield: Energy Transfer offers a 7.3% distribution yield, appealing to dividend investors aiming to maximize portfolio income, although the underlying business structure is somewhat complex.
- Business Complexity: As one of North America's largest midstream operators, Energy Transfer owns energy infrastructure and charges fees for usage, but also serves as the general partner for two publicly traded master limited partnerships, adding management complexity.
- Dividend History Comparison: Unlike Enterprise Products Partners, Energy Transfer cut its distribution in 2020, and while it now targets annual growth of 3% to 5%, past cuts may have disappointed income-dependent investors.
- Investment Considerations: Despite the attractive high yield, the associated risks and complexities of Energy Transfer may lead conservative dividend investors to prefer Enterprise Products Partners, which offers more stable dividend growth.
See More
Top High-Yield Energy Stocks to Buy
- Enbridge's Stable Income: Enbridge (ENB) offers a forward dividend yield of 5.6% and has increased its dividend for 30 consecutive years; despite a downgrade from JP Morgan due to sluggish crude oil growth, its strong cash flow ensures continued dividend payments.
- Energy Transfer's Growth Potential: Energy Transfer (ET) attracts income investors with a 7.3% distribution yield and has signed natural gas supply agreements with multiple data center operators over the past year, benefiting from the booming construction of AI data centers.
- Enterprise Products Partners' Income Machine: Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) provides a distribution yield of approximately 6.3% and has increased distributions for 27 consecutive years; while only modest growth is expected in 2026, management projects a 10% growth in EBITDA and cash flow for 2027.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: With ongoing demand for energy infrastructure, all three companies are actively expanding their operations, particularly in renewable energy and AI-related projects, indicating strong long-term growth potential.
See More
