The Indian Rupee Hits Record Lows Against the US Dollar as Decline Persists
USD Overview: The US Dollar saw a slight recovery following Trump's announcement of a deal framework for Greenland and the decision to avoid tariffs, while the focus shifts to US economic data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate path for 2026.
INR Performance: The Indian Rupee is on a bearish trend against the US Dollar, with recent technical breakouts leading to record lows, despite a temporary bounce due to improved global risk sentiment after Trump's tariff threats were lifted.
Inflation and Trade Concerns: India's annual inflation rose to 1.33%, still below the RBI's target, and traders are cautious about potential tariff hikes from the US, particularly concerning India's trade relations with Iran.
Technical Analysis: The USDINR is approaching an all-time high, with bullish momentum observed on various timeframes; traders are watching for potential breakouts or reversals around key levels, with upcoming US Jobless Claims and Flash PMIs as market catalysts.
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USD Performance: The US Dollar rebounded due to the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair, with improving labor market data and strong manufacturing PMI suggesting potential for further appreciation if upcoming data remains positive.
INR Developments: The Indian Rupee is on a bearish trend against the US Dollar, but recent tariff reductions announced by President Trump have provided a boost, while the RBI is expected to maintain steady interest rates amid rising inflation.
Technical Analysis - USDINR: The USDINR pair is approaching the bottom trendline on the daily chart, with potential for buyers to step in, while a break below could lead to further bearish movement towards the 89.00 level.
Upcoming Economic Data: Key economic indicators to watch include the US ADP, ISM Services PMI, Jobless Claims, and the RBI rate decision, which could significantly impact market sentiment and currency movements.

USD Market Movement: The US Dollar experienced a sell-off due to rumors of potential intervention by the NY Fed to strengthen the Japanese Yen, leading to a technical reaction rather than a fundamental shift, with the FOMC expected to keep interest rates unchanged.
Indian Rupee Trends: The Indian Rupee remains in a bearish trend against the US Dollar, despite a newly signed free trade agreement with the EU that may provide short-term support, while inflation rates are still below the RBI's target.
USDINR Technical Analysis: The USDINR pair has reached the upper bound of its channel, with sellers expected to enter around the 92.00 level, while buyers are looking for a breakout to new highs, supported by a strong level around 91.00.
Upcoming Economic Data: Key economic reports are on the horizon, including US ADP jobs data, Consumer Confidence, FOMC policy announcement, Jobless Claims figures, and the PPI report, which could influence market movements.

USD Overview: The US Dollar saw a slight recovery following Trump's announcement of a deal framework for Greenland and the decision to avoid tariffs, while the focus shifts to US economic data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate path for 2026.
INR Performance: The Indian Rupee is on a bearish trend against the US Dollar, with recent technical breakouts leading to record lows, despite a temporary bounce due to improved global risk sentiment after Trump's tariff threats were lifted.
Inflation and Trade Concerns: India's annual inflation rose to 1.33%, still below the RBI's target, and traders are cautious about potential tariff hikes from the US, particularly concerning India's trade relations with Iran.
Technical Analysis: The USDINR is approaching an all-time high, with bullish momentum observed on various timeframes; traders are watching for potential breakouts or reversals around key levels, with upcoming US Jobless Claims and Flash PMIs as market catalysts.

- Acquisition Deal: Infinity Natural Resources agrees to acquire Chase Oil's working interest in the South Bend field in Pennsylvania for approximately $36 million in stock, enhancing its core dry gas assets in the Appalachian Basin.
- Production Capacity Boost: The acquired asset includes 18 producing wells that generated a net natural gas production of 14 million cubic feet per day in December 2022, with three additional wells expected to come online in H1 2026, further increasing the company's production capacity.
- Future Development Potential: Infinity also gains access to 40 additional gross Marcellus locations and 38 gross Utica locations, providing significant opportunities for future development and enhancing the company's growth outlook.
- Strategic Consolidation: This acquisition is part of Infinity's post-IPO strategy for strategic consolidation, with CEO Zack Arnold stating that the deal allows the company to utilize its equity currency for the first time to solidify its core dry gas position in Pennsylvania.

High NRIL Leases: Infinity Natural Resources has added high NRIL leases to enhance immediate production capabilities.
Production Timeline: The company aims to achieve production and EBITDA in 2026 while maintaining a creative approach in 2026 and 2027.

USD Strengthening: The US Dollar gained strength due to positive jobless claims data, leading traders to reduce dovish expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which may continue if economic data remains strong.
INR Bearish Trend: The Indian Rupee is on a bearish trend against the US Dollar, with recent inflation data showing an increase, but still below the Reserve Bank of India's target, leading traders to anticipate no further rate cuts in the near future.
USDINR Technical Analysis - Daily: The USDINR pair broke above a key resistance level at 90.40, with bullish momentum expected to continue towards the upper channel bound around 92.00, indicating a buy-on-dips market.
USDINR Technical Analysis - Short-Term: On shorter timeframes, buyers are looking for opportunities to buy on dips around the 90.40 support level, while sellers are waiting for a price drop below this support for potential deeper pullbacks.





