Tesla's Sharp Drop Sends Shockwaves Through These ETFs
Tesla's Stock Decline: Tesla Inc.'s stock has dropped approximately 40% since late 2024, impacting various ETFs with significant Tesla exposure due to declining European sales and concerns over CEO Elon Musk's leadership. Leveraged ETFs have been particularly affected, with some losing over 80% since December.
Market Outlook for Tesla: Analysts predict limited catalysts for a turnaround in Tesla's performance, citing high stock valuation and increasing competition, particularly from China's BYD Co. Investors are cautious as options traders prepare for further declines amid the current market pressures.
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Market Dynamics: Stock markets are continuously changing, with past stock picks potentially becoming new investment opportunities as trends evolve.
Technical Reset: Many previously strong stocks are undergoing technical resets after consolidations or pullbacks, indicating potential for renewed growth.
Investor Patience: Investors who are patient may find rewarding setups in stocks that are beginning to show signs of recovery.
Revisiting Stocks: It is beneficial to revisit earlier stock selections that may now present fresh opportunities due to recent market adjustments.
Holiday Spending Growth: Visa's U.S. holiday spending report indicates a 4.2% year-over-year increase in overall retail spending, with online sales rising 7.8% due to early promotions and convenience.
Category Performance: Electronics sales surged by 5.8% driven by demand for advanced devices, while home improvement sales fell by 1.0%, negatively impacting companies like Home Depot and Lowe's.
Consumer Behavior Insights: Visa's Chief Economist noted that AI is influencing consumer shopping habits, leading to more informed and intentional spending during the holiday season.
Global Spending Trends: International markets also experienced solid seasonal spending growth, with notable increases in countries like Australia, Canada, South Africa, and the U.K.
Consumer Discretionary Sector Performance: The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF rose by 1%, making it the top-performing sector among the 11 S&P groups last week.
Weakness in Major Holdings: Despite the sector's overall gain, major holdings like Home Depot and Nike saw declines of 4% and 13%, respectively.
Nike's Notable Decline: Nike's 13% drop represents its worst weekly performance since late June 2024, indicating ongoing challenges in the athletic apparel market.
Adidas Struggles: Adidas is also facing difficulties, currently trading 30% below its most recent 52-week high.
Consumer Discretionary Sector Performance: The S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector has gained +7.2% year-to-date in 2025, underperforming compared to the overall S&P 500, which has a higher gain. The sector ranks eighth among 11 major sectors, while the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) has increased by +9.1% YTD.
Top Automotive Retail Stocks: Carvana leads the automotive retail stocks with a remarkable YTD performance of +129.02%, followed by Ultrapar Participações S.A. (+39.92%) and AutoNation (+19.15%). O’Reilly Automotive holds the highest Quant Rating at 3.97, indicating a "Buy" designation.
Struggling Stocks: CarMax has faced significant challenges, showing a YTD decline of -51.88% and receiving a "Strong Sell" Quant Rating of 1.47. Other stocks like Asbury Automotive and Group 1 Automotive also show negative performance despite having "Buy" or "Hold" ratings.
Consumer Discretionary ETFs: Various consumer discretionary ETFs are mentioned, including XLY, VCR, FXD, FDIS, RSPD, and RXI, indicating a broader interest in this sector's investment opportunities.

U.S. Stock Market Performance: U.S. stocks rose on Friday, driven by optimism in the AI sector, with the Nasdaq-100 leading gains, particularly in tech and chipmaker stocks like Micron Technology and Nvidia, which saw significant increases following strong earnings reports.
Earnings Reports Impact: Carnival Corp's shares surged 8% after exceeding quarterly earnings expectations, while Nike Inc. saw a 10% drop despite beating profit estimates due to concerns over margin pressure and slowing sales.
Commodity Market Trends: Commodities experienced gains, with silver reaching record highs and gold trading near its peak, while crude oil prices rose for the third consecutive session after recent lows.
Cryptocurrency and Equities: Crypto-linked stocks advanced alongside digital assets, with Bitcoin trading above $87,000 and notable gains in companies like Strategy Inc., reflecting a positive trend in the cryptocurrency market.








