Super Group Leads Casino Stocks in Year-to-Date Performance
Consumer Discretionary Sector Performance: The S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector has underperformed compared to the broader market in 2025, with a year-to-date gain of +7.2%, making it the eighth best performing sector among 11.
Top Performing Stocks: Super Group leads the casino and gaming stocks with a remarkable +91.17% YTD performance, followed by Wynn Resorts at +46.83% and Rush Street Interactive at +45.41%, with the latter two holding a "Buy" rating.
Underperforming Stocks: Several stocks have seen negative YTD performance, notably Caesars Entertainment at -28.25% and Flutter Entertainment at -14.81%, both rated as "Hold."
Consumer Discretionary ETFs: Various consumer discretionary ETFs are mentioned, including XLY, VCR, and FXD, indicating a broader interest in this sector despite mixed individual stock performances.
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- Stable Revenue Outlook: Super Group anticipates full-year revenue for 2023 to be between $2.17B and $2.27B, aligning with the consensus estimate of $2.22B, indicating the company's stability and growth potential in the market.
- EBITDA Guidance: The adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $555M and $565M, reflecting strong core business drivers that are expected to continue supporting future profitability.
- Special Dividend Announcement: The Board has declared a special cash dividend of $0.25 per ordinary share, payable on February 9, 2026, which enhances shareholder returns and demonstrates confidence in future cash flows.
- Outstanding Market Performance: Super Group is the best-performing casino stock year-to-date, with a premarket increase of 9.72% to $10.61, reflecting investor optimism regarding the company's growth prospects.
- Special Dividend Announcement: Super Group has declared a special dividend of $0.25 per share, payable on February 9, with a record date of February 2, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholder returns and enhancing investor confidence.
- Ex-Dividend Date Setup: The ex-dividend date is set for February 2, meaning investors purchasing shares before this date will qualify for the dividend, potentially attracting more short-term investors to the stock.
- Outstanding Performance: Super Group is recognized as the best-performing casino stock year-to-date, reflecting significant growth in a competitive market and raising market expectations for its future development.
- Tax Impact Outlook: The company anticipates that UK gambling tax hikes will reduce its EBITDA by approximately 6% in 2026, which may exert pressure on its future profitability, prompting investors to monitor its strategic responses.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Super Group's internet casino revenue in Africa surged by 37% in Q3, reflecting not only the rising interest in sports betting among young consumers but also the company's advantageous position in a rapidly growing market.
- Massive Market Potential: While Super Group's primary market is South Africa, its African revenue now accounts for 40% of total revenue, indicating an increasing market penetration and promising future growth opportunities in the region.
- Strong Financial Position: As of Q3, Super Group held $462 million in cash with no debt, providing the company with substantial financial flexibility to support future expansion and investments in a competitive landscape.
- Shareholder Returns Priority: Over the trailing 12 months ending November 2025, Super Group returned $136 million to shareholders, including dividend payments, which not only boosts investor confidence but also demonstrates the company's commitment to capital returns.

- Significant Revenue Growth: Super Group's Africa revenue has tripled since 2021, now accounting for 40% of total revenue, indicating strong consumer spending growth potential in the region, particularly in South Africa, the continent's largest economy.
- Enhanced Market Position: Ranking among the top three internet casino and sportsbook operators in eight African nations, Super Group's increasing recognition in local markets further solidifies its competitive advantage in the rapidly growing betting industry.
- Strong Financial Health: With $462 million in cash and no debt as of the third quarter, Super Group's robust financial position provides strong support for future expansion and investment opportunities.
- Shareholder Return Strategy: Over the trailing 12 months ending November 2025, Super Group returned $136 million to shareholders, including dividend payments, highlighting its appeal as a capital return story, especially in a sector where few peers offer dividends.
Consumer Discretionary Sector Performance: The S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector has underperformed compared to the broader market in 2025, with a year-to-date gain of +7.2%, making it the eighth best performing sector among 11.
Top Performing Stocks: Super Group leads the casino and gaming stocks with a remarkable +91.17% YTD performance, followed by Wynn Resorts at +46.83% and Rush Street Interactive at +45.41%, with the latter two holding a "Buy" rating.
Underperforming Stocks: Several stocks have seen negative YTD performance, notably Caesars Entertainment at -28.25% and Flutter Entertainment at -14.81%, both rated as "Hold."
Consumer Discretionary ETFs: Various consumer discretionary ETFs are mentioned, including XLY, VCR, and FXD, indicating a broader interest in this sector despite mixed individual stock performances.

Divestment Details: Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP sold 5,036,343 shares of Remitly Global, reducing its position by approximately $94.68 million, which now accounts for only 0.04% of the fund's $2.29 billion AUM.
Impact on Remitly Global: The significant sell-off removes a major institutional holder, prompting investors to reassess Remitly's current market position and future profitability in the competitive digital remittance landscape.
Company Overview: Remitly Global specializes in digital cross-border remittance services, primarily targeting immigrant families, and aims to provide secure and efficient money transfer solutions across approximately 150 countries.
Market Challenges: The company faces increased competition from digital-first rivals and traditional banks, alongside high customer acquisition costs and tightening regulatory requirements, necessitating a focus on profitability and customer retention.







