Sum Up The Parts: ESML Could Be Worth $50
ETF Analyst Target Price Insights: The iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA Small-Cap ETF (ESML) has an implied analyst target price of $49.84, indicating a potential upside of 19.16% from its current trading price of $41.83.
Notable Holdings with Upside Potential: Key underlying holdings such as IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA), Klaviyo Inc (KVYO), and CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) show significant upside potential based on analysts' target prices, with IDYA having a target 102.34% higher than its recent price.
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- Severe Market Drawdown: The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (NYSE:IGV) has fallen for seven consecutive sessions, resulting in a 16% drop, marking the worst performance since the COVID panic in 2020, indicating immense pressure on the software sector.
- Widespread Negative Returns: Year to date, 100 out of 110 constituents in the software sector have posted negative returns, with over 20 stocks down more than 30%, reflecting growing concerns about the sustainability of software business models.
- Deteriorating Technical Indicators: A striking 97 of the IGV ETF's constituents are trading below their 200-day moving average, highlighting a broad breakdown in technical momentum, while the 14-day RSI has plummeted to 16, the lowest since September 2001, indicating extreme market pessimism.
- Pressure from Business Model Shifts: Macro strategists have noted that the rise of AI tools is replacing expensive SaaS platforms, leading to pricing pressures, slower renewals, and declining customer retention, prompting investors to rethink growth and value in the AI era.
- New App Launch: Klaviyo announced the release of a new app integrated with OpenAI's ChatGPT, initially focusing on reporting, with plans for additional features to enhance marketing organizations' efficiency.
- Stock Price Reaction: Klaviyo's shares rose 1% in midday trading, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the new app, which may drive further growth in the marketing technology sector.
- Marketing Transformation: Co-founder and CEO Andrew Bialecki stated that the app will enable marketers to create, review, or prep campaigns directly within ChatGPT, streamlining workflows and enhancing decision-making efficiency.
- Strategic Significance: The app's launch marks a significant step for Klaviyo in integrating data with action, aiming to provide marketers with real-time customer insights and reduce reliance on separate dashboards, thereby boosting the company's competitiveness in the rapidly evolving AI market.
- AI Integration Innovation: Klaviyo's new app in ChatGPT allows marketers to access Klaviyo data in real-time, thereby accelerating decision-making processes and enhancing marketing efficiency.
- Real-Time Insight Capability: By simply tagging @Klaviyo, users can quickly obtain deep analyses on campaign performance, revenue fluctuations, and customer behavior, significantly reducing data processing complexity.
- Future Workflow Expansion: The current version focuses on reporting, with future iterations set to support a broader range of marketing workflows, such as creating and reviewing campaigns directly within ChatGPT, further enhancing user experience.
- Market Leadership Position: Klaviyo's AI-driven platform serves over 183,000 brands, combining marketing automation and analytics to help businesses deliver personalized customer experiences and drive revenue growth.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Klaviyo will release its Q4 and full year 2025 results after the U.S. market close on February 10, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Webcast Timing: The company will host a live earnings call at 4:30 PM ET / 1:30 PM PT on the same day, aiming to enhance investor understanding and confidence in its performance.
- Investor Relations Website: The earnings release and webcast link will be available on Klaviyo's investor relations website, ensuring all investors can easily access key information and improving information accessibility.
- Customer Base: Klaviyo currently serves over 183,000 brands, including Mattel and Glossier, showcasing its strong influence and market position in the B2C CRM sector.
- Put Contract Appeal: The $30.00 put contract for KVYO has a current bid of $1.60, and if an investor sells-to-open this contract, they commit to buying the stock at $30.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $28.40, which represents a 9% discount to the current price of $33.10, making it attractive for potential buyers.
- Expiration Risk Analysis: There is a 66% chance that the put contract will expire worthless, which would yield a 5.33% return on cash commitment, or an annualized return of 32.44%, highlighting the potential profitability of this option.
- Call Contract Returns: The $35.00 call contract has a current bid of $1.50, and if an investor buys KVYO shares at $33.10 and sells this call, they could achieve a total return of 10.27% if the stock is called away at expiration in February 2026, indicating significant upside potential.
- Market Volatility: The implied volatility for the put contract is 56%, while for the call contract it is 55%, closely aligning with the actual trailing volatility of 54%, suggesting a stable market expectation for KVYO's price fluctuations.

NASDAQ 100 After Hours Performance: The NASDAQ 100 After Hours Indicator rose by 46.55 to 24,694.16, with a total volume of 165,656,971 shares traded.
Active Stocks Overview: NVIDIA (NVDA) and Micron Technology (MU) showed significant activity, with NVDA trading at $172.15 (+1.21) and MU at $240.40 (+14.69), both having positive earnings forecast revisions.
Stock Recommendations: Most active stocks, including Robinhood (HOOD), AT&T (T), Apple (AAPL), and Amazon (AMZN), are currently in the "buy range" according to Zacks.
Other Notable Stocks: Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) remained unchanged in after-hours trading, with XOM having positive earnings forecast revisions and a consensus EPS forecast of $1.63.









